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We introduce a Poissonization method to study the coalescent structure of uniform samples from branching processes. This method relies on the simple observation that a uniform sample of size $k$ taken from a random set with positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-24 Samuel G. G. Johnston , Amaury Lambert

Empirical Bayes methods are widely used for large-scale estimation and inference in the Poisson means problem. Existing results establish theoretical properties of the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (NPMLE) for optimal posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Taehyun Kim

We consider a microstructure foundation for rough volatility models driven by Poisson random measures. In our model the volatility is driven by self-exciting arrivals of market orders as well as self-exciting arrivals of limit orders and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-24 Ulrich Horst , Wei Xu , Rouyi Zhang

In this work, we investigate the McKean-Vlasov stochastic partial differential equations driven by Poisson random measure. By adapting the variational framework, we prove the well-posedness and large deviation principle for a class of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-05 Yuhang Jiang , Jinming Li , Shihu Li

Classical entropy regularization is poorly suited to continuous-time martingale transport, since relative entropy between diffusion laws typically forces their volatility characteristics to coincide. We introduce a specific-entropy…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Francois Buet-Golfouse , Anaïs Després , Zhenjie Ren , Xin Zhang

We develop a nonanticipative calculus for functionals of a continuous semimartingale, using an extension of the Ito formula to path-dependent functionals which possess certain directional derivatives. The construction is based on a pathwise…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-05 Rama Cont , David-Antoine Fournié

We present a general construction for dependent random measures based on thinning Poisson processes on an augmented space. The framework is not restricted to dependent versions of a specific nonparametric model, but can be applied to all…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-11-21 Nicholas J. Foti , Joseph D. Futoma , Daniel N. Rockmore , Sinead Williamson

The motivation of this paper is to prove verification theorems for stochastic optimal control of finite dimensional diffusion processes without control in the diffusion term, in the case that the value function is assumed to be continuous…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Fausto Gozzi , Francesco Russo

Stricker's theorem states that a Gaussian process is a semimartingale in its natural filtration if and only if it is the sum of an independent increment Gaussian process and a Gaussian process of finite variation, see [1983, Z. Wahrsch.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-15 Andreas Basse-O'Connor , Jan Rosiński

In the present paper, a new and simple approach is provided for proving rigorously that for general L\'evy financial markets the minimal entropy martingale measure and the Esscher martingale measure coincide. The method consists in…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-17 Andrii Andrusiv , Hans-Jürgen Engelbert

Pricing of the lookback options using the Clark-Ocone formula for the underlying assets driven by stochastic L\'evy processes requires computing the Malliavin derivatives of their maximum or minimum on the Wiener-Poisson space and their…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Mahdieh Tahmasebi

We give a functional integral representation of the semigroup generated by the spin-boson Hamiltonian by making use of a Poisson point process and a Euclidean field. We present a method of constructing Gibbs path measures indexed by the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2014-04-08 Masao Hirokawa , Fumio Hiroshima , Jozsef Lorinczi

Fragmentation processes are part of a broad class of models describing the evolution of a system of particles which split apart at random. These models are widely used in biology, materials science and nuclear physics, and their asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-23 Quan Shi , Alexander R. Watson

Stochastic Hall-magnetohydrodynamics equations on ${\mathbb{R}}^{3}$ with random forces expressed in terms of the time homogeneous Poisson random measures are considered. We prove the existence of a global martingale solution. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-16 Elżbieta Motyl

We have developed and implemented a self-consistent density functional method using standard norm-conserving pseudopotentials and a flexible, numerical LCAO basis set, which includes multiple-zeta and polarization orbitals. Exchange and…

We introduce and study an alternative form of the chaotic expansion for counting processes using the Poisson imbedding representation; we name this alternative form \textit{pseudo-chaotic expansion}. As an application, we prove that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-07 Caroline Hillairet , Anthony Reveillac

A well-known It\^o formula for finite dimensional processes, given in terms of stochastic integrals with respect to Wiener processes and Poisson random measures, is revisited and is revised. The revised formula, which corresponds to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-30 István Gyöngy , Sizhou Wu

This article develops, and describes how to use, results concerning disintegrations of Poisson random measures. These results are fashioned as simple tools that can be tailor-made to address inferential questions arising in a wide range of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Lancelot F. James

Let $\eta_t$ be a Poisson point process of intensity $t\geq 1$ on some state space $\Y$ and $f$ be a non-negative symmetric function on $\Y^k$ for some $k\geq 1$. Applying $f$ to all $k$-tuples of distinct points of $\eta_t$ generates a…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-11 Matthias Schulte , Christoph Thaele

We develop nonparametric Bayesian modelling approaches for Poisson processes, using weighted combinations of structured beta densities to represent the point process intensity function. For a regular spatial domain, such as the unit square,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-10 Chunyi Zhao , Athanasios Kottas