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We propose improved standard errors and an asymptotic distribution theory for two-way clustered panels. Our proposed estimator and theory allow for arbitrary serial dependence in the common time effects, which is excluded by existing…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-12-15 Harold D Chiang , Bruce E Hansen , Yuya Sasaki

A characterization of the exponential distribution based on equidistribution conditions for maxima of random samples with consecutive sizes n-1 and n for an arbitrary and fixed n>2 is proved. This solves an open problem stated recently in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-24 Santanu Chakraborty , George P. Yanev

A conjecture by R. Stanley on a class of alternating permutations, which is proved by R. Chapman and L. Williams states that alternating permutations with the maximal number of fixed points is equidistributed with derangements. We extend…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2015-03-24 Kyoungsuk Park

Let $\{X_n,n\ge1\}$ be a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables, taking non-negative integer values, and call $X_n$ a $\delta$-record if $X_n>\max\{X_1,...,X_{n-1}\}+\delta$, where $\delta$ is an integer…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Raúl Gouet , F. Javier López , Gerardo Sanz

We consider statistics on permutations chosen uniformly at random from fixed parabolic double cosets of the symmetric group. We show that the distribution of fixed points is asymptotically Poisson and establish central limit theorems for…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-20 J. E. Paguyo

Consider n unit intervals, say [1,2], [3,4], ..., [2n-1,2n]. Identify their endpoints in pairs at random, with all (2n-1)!! = (2n-1) (2n-3) ... 3 1 pairings being equally likely. The result is a collection of cycles of various lengths, and…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Nicholas Pippenger

Consider the problem of maximizing the probability of stopping with one of the two highest values in a Bernoulli random walk with arbitrary parameter $p$ and finite time horizon $n$. Allaart \cite{Allaart} proved that the optimal strategy…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-27 José A. Islas

Nested sampling is a simulation method for approximating marginal likelihoods proposed by Skilling (2006). We establish that nested sampling has an approximation error that vanishes at the standard Monte Carlo rate and that this error is…

Computation · Statistics 2010-10-11 Nicolas Chopin , Christian Robert

Stanley introduced expressions for the normalized characters of the symmetric group and stated some positivity conjectures for these expressions. Here, we give an affirmative partial answer to Stanley's positivity conjectures about the…

Representation Theory · Mathematics 2007-11-17 Amarpreet Rattan

Stable subordinators, and more general subordinators possessing power law probability tails, have been widely used in the context of subdiffusions, where particles get trapped or immobile in a number of time periods, called constant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-11 Phillip Kerger , Kei Kobayashi

Given a random process $x(\tau)$ which undergoes stochastic resetting at a constant rate $r$ to a position drawn from a distribution ${\cal P}(x)$, we consider a sequence of dynamical observables $A_1, \dots, A_n$ associated to the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-06-08 Naftali R. Smith , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr

The paper presents improved mathematical models and methods for statistical regularities in the behavior of some important characteristics of precipitation: duration of a wet period, maximum daily and total precipitation volumes within a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-01 Victor Korolev , Andrey Gorshenin

Let $(X_i)_{i \geq 1}$ and $(Y_i)_{i\geq1}$ be two independent sequences of independent identically distributed random variables taking their values in a common finite alphabet and having the same law. Let $LC_n$ be the length of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-09 Christian Houdré , Ümit Işlak

This paper presents a new approach, based on polynomial optimization and the method of moments, to the problem of anomaly detection. The proposed technique only requires information about the statistical moments of the normal-state…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-06-02 Jose A. Lopez , Octavia Camps , Mario Sznaier

Although complete randomization ensures covariate balance on average, the chance for observing significant differences between treatment and control covariate distributions increases with many covariates. Rerandomization discards…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-15 Xinran Li , Peng Ding , Donald B. Rubin

Motivated by the task of computing normalizing constants and importance sampling in high dimensions, we study the dimension dependence of fluctuations for additive functionals of time-inhomogeneous Langevin-type diffusions on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-07 Christophe Andrieu , James Ridgway , Nick Whiteley

We consider covariance asymptotics for linear statistics of general stationary random measures in terms of their truncated pair correlation measure. We give exact infinite series-expansion formulas for covariance of smooth statistics of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-14 Manjunath Krishnapur , D. Yogeshwaran

The Central Limit Theorem (CLT) is one of the most fundamental results in statistics. It states that the standardized sample mean of a sequence of $n$ mutually independent and identically distributed random variables with finite first and…

Finding analytically the statistics of the longest common subsequence (LCS) of a pair of random sequences drawn from c alphabets is a challenging problem in computational evolutionary biology. We present exact asymptotic results for the…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-10 Satya N. Majumdar , Sergei Nechaev

The aim of this article is to establish asymptotic distributions and consistency of subsampling for spectral density and for magnitude of coherence for non-stationary, almost periodically correlated time series. We show the asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-11 Łukasz Lenart