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Quasi-Maximum Likelihood (QML) procedures are theoretically appealing and widely used for statistical inference. While there are extensive references on QML estimation in batch settings, it has attracted little attention in streaming…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-19 Nicklas Werge , Olivier Wintenberger

The empirical Bayes $g$-modeling approach via the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (NPMLE) is widely used for large-scale estimation and inference in the normal means problem, yet theoretical guarantees for uncertainty…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Taehyun Kim , Bodhisattva Sen

Latent Gaussian models (LGMs) are widely used in statistics and machine learning. Bayesian inference in non-conjugate LGMs is difficult due to intractable integrals involving the Gaussian prior and non-conjugate likelihoods. Algorithms…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-06-06 Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan , Aleksandr Y. Aravkin , Michael P. Friedlander , Matthias Seeger

In practice, there often exist unobserved variables, also termed hidden variables, associated with both the response and covariates. Existing works in the literature mostly focus on linear regression with hidden variables. However, when the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-03 Inbeom Lee , Yang Ning

We propose a novel estimation approach for a general class of semi-parametric time series models where the conditional expectation is modeled through a parametric function. The proposed class of estimators is based on a Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-21 Mirko Armillotta , Paolo Gorgi

This paper introduces a quasi-Bayesian method that integrates frequentist nonparametric estimation with Bayesian inference in a two-stage process. Applied to an endogenous discrete choice model, the approach first uses kernel or sieve…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-20 Ruixuan Liu , Zhengfei Yu

Score-based Generative Models (SGMs) approximate a data distribution by perturbing it with Gaussian noise and subsequently denoising it via a learned reverse diffusion process. These models excel at modeling complex data distributions and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Stefano Bruno , Sotirios Sabanis

Quantifying predictive uncertainty is essential for real world machine learning applications, especially in scenarios requiring reliable and interpretable predictions. Many common parametric approaches rely on neural networks to estimate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-31 Yang Yang , Chunlin Ji , Haoyang Li , Ke Deng

Estimating conditional quantiles of financial time series is essential for risk management and many other applications in finance. It is well-known that financial time series display conditional heteroscedasticity. Among the large number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-25 Yao Zheng , Qianqian Zhu , Guodong Li , Zhijie Xiao

In this paper, we propose two new algorithms for maximum-likelihood estimation (MLE) of high dimensional sparse covariance matrices. Unlike most of the state of-the-art methods, which either use regularization techniques or penalize the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-12 Ghania Fatima , Prabhu Babu , Petre Stoica

The standard efficient testing procedures in the Generalized Inverse Gaussian (GIG) family (also known as Halphen Type A family) are likelihood ratio tests, hence rely on Maximum Likelihood (ML) estimation of the three parameters of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-23 Angelo Efoevi Koudou , Christophe Ley

Semi- and non-parametric mixture of regressions are a very useful flexible class of mixture of regressions in which some or all of the parameters are non-parametric functions of the covariates. These models are, however, based on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Peterson Mambondimumwe , Sphiwe B. Skhosana , Najmeh Nakhaei Rad

As a competitive alternative to least squares regression, quantile regression is popular in analyzing heterogenous data. For quantile regression model specified for one single quantile level $\tau$, major difficulties of semiparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-29 Kani Chen , Yuanyuan Lin , Zhanfeng Wang , Zhiliang Ying

Gaussian Process (GPs) models are a rich distribution over functions with inductive biases controlled by a kernel function. Learning occurs through the optimisation of kernel hyperparameters using the marginal likelihood as the objective.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-22 Fergus Simpson , Vidhi Lalchand , Carl Edward Rasmussen

Many machine learning problems optimize an objective that must be measured with noise. The primary method is a first order stochastic gradient descent using one or more Monte Carlo (MC) samples at each step. There are settings where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-22 Sifan Liu , Art B. Owen

We consider mixtures of $k\geq 2$ Gaussian components with unknown means and unknown covariance (identical for all components) that are well-separated, i.e., distinct components have statistical overlap at most $k^{-C}$ for a large enough…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-09 Rares-Darius Buhai , David Steurer

A two-stage approach is proposed to overcome the problem in quantile regression, where separately fitted curves for several quantiles may cross. The standard Bayesian quantile regression model is applied in the first stage, followed by a…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-05 Thais Rodrigues , Yanan Fan

Empirical economic research frequently applies maximum likelihood estimation in cases where the likelihood function is analytically intractable. Most of the theoretical literature focuses on maximum simulated likelihood (MSL) estimators,…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-08-13 Michael Griebel , Florian Heiss , Jens Oettershagen , Constantin Weiser

Pseudo-marginal Metropolis-Hastings (pmMH) is a versatile algorithm for sampling from target distributions which are not easy to evaluate point-wise. However, pmMH requires good proposal distributions to sample efficiently from the target,…

Computation · Statistics 2018-07-30 Johan Dahlin , Adrian Wills , Brett Ninness

Model averaging has demonstrated superior performance for ensemble forecasting in high-dimensional framework, its extension to incomplete datasets remains a critical but underexplored challenge. Moreover, identifying the parsimonious model…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-03 Wei Xiong , Dianliang Deng , Dehui Wang