Related papers: Martingale Representation Theorem for the G-expect…
In this paper we obtain a representation as martingale transform operators for the rearrangement and shift operators introduced by T. Figiel. The martingale transforms and the underlying sigma algebras are obtained explicitly by…
We extend Robins' theory of causal inference for complex longitudinal data to the case of continuously varying as opposed to discrete covariates and treatments. In particular we establish versions of the key results of the discrete theory:…
We review the formulation of the stochastic Burgers equation as a martingale problem. One way of understanding the difficulty in making sense of the equation is to note that it is a stochastic PDE with distributional drift, so we first…
Given a set-valued stochastic process $(V_t)_{t=0}^T$, we say that the martingale selection problem is solvable if there exists an adapted sequence of selectors $\xi_t\in V_t$, admitting an equivalent martingale measure. The aim of this…
It is a well-known fact that an exchangeable sequence has empirical distributions that form a reverse-martingale. This paper is devoted to proof of the converse statement. As a byproduct of the proof for the binary case, we introduce and…
The problem of nonlinear filtering has engendered a surprising number of mathematical techniques for its treatment. A notable example is the change-of--probability-measure method originally introduced by Kallianpur and Striebel to derive…
We introduce a new class of reflected backward stochastic differential equations with two c\`adl\`ag barriers, which need not satisfy any separation conditions. For that reason, in general, the solutions are not semimartingales. We prove…
A Neural Process (NP) estimates a stochastic process implicitly defined with neural networks given a stream of data, rather than pre-specifying priors already known, such as Gaussian processes. An ideal NP would learn everything from data…
We study the dynamic indifference pricing with ambiguity preferences. For this, we introduce the dynamic expected utility with ambiguity via the nonlinear expectation--G-expectation, introduced by Peng (2007). We also study the risk…
This paper studies the latent index representation of the conditional LATE model, making explicit the role of covariates in treatment selection. We find that if the directions of the monotonicity condition are the same across all values of…
This paper studies an equity market of stochastic dimension, where the number of assets fluctuates over time. In such a market, we develop the fundamental theorem of asset pricing, which provides the equivalence of the following statements:…
A modified perturbation theory in the strength of the nonlinear term is used to solve the Nonlinear Schroedinger Equation with a random potential. It is demonstrated that in some cases it is more efficient than other methods. Moreover we…
We introduce a new class of estimators for the linear response of steady states of stochastic dynamics. We generalize the likelihood ratio approach and formulate the linear response as a product of two martingales, hence the name…
This paper introduces a martingale that characterizes two properties of evolving forecast distributions. Ideal forecasts of a future event behave as martingales, sequen- tially updating the forecast to leverage the available information as…
We prove that weakly continuous solutions to martingale problems admit a canonical regular conditional probability distribution. This allows for the construction of time consistent convex dynamic procedures in a non dominated setting.…
We introduce and study the permanence properties of the class of linear transfers between probability measures. This class contains all cost minimizing mass transports, but also martingale mass transports, the Schrodinger bridge associated…
Using results from our companion article [arXiv:1112.4824v2] on a Schauder approach to existence of solutions to a degenerate-parabolic partial differential equation, we solve three intertwined problems, motivated by probability theory and…
We generalize Taylor's theorem by introducing a stochastic formulation based on an underlying Poisson point process model. We utilize this approach to propose a novel non-linear regression framework and perform statistical inference of the…
We develop the mathematics of a filtration shrinkage model that has recently been considered in the credit risk modeling literature. Given a finite collection of points $x_1<...<x_N$ in $\mathbb{R}$, the region indicator function $R(x)$…
The studied model was suggested to design a perfect hedging strategy for a large trader. In this case the implementation of a hedging strategy affects the price of the underlying security. The feedback-effect leads to a nonlinear version of…