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Existing concentration bounds for bounded vector-valued random variables include extensions of the scalar Hoeffding and Bernstein inequalities. While the latter is typically tighter, it requires knowing a bound on the variance of the random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Diego Martinez-Taboada , Aaditya Ramdas

We consider the clustering of extremes for stationary regularly varying random fields over arbitrary growing index sets. We study sufficient assumptions on the index set such that the limit of the point random fields of the exceedances…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-23 Riccardo Passeggeri , Olivier Wintenberger

The article contains an overview over locally stationary processes. At the beginning time varying autoregressive processes are discussed in detail - both as as a deep example and an important class of locally stationary processes. In the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-06 Rainer Dahlhaus

Branching processes are models used to describe populations that reproduce and die over time. In the classical setting, an individual's reproductive capacity remains constant throughout its lifetime. However, in real-world situations,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Daniela Bertacchi , Elena Montanaro , Fabio Zucca

Since its introduction by J. Karamata, regular variation has evolved from a purely mathematical concept into a cornerstone of theoretical probability and data analysis. It is extensively studied and applied in different areas. Its…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-18 Bojan Basrak , Nikolina Milinčević , Ilya Molchanov

We provide asymptotic theory for certain functions of the sample autocovariance matrices of a high-dimensional time series with infinite fourth moment. The time series exhibits linear dependence across the coordinates and through time.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-16 Johannes Heiny , Thomas Mikosch

Methods of estimation and forecasting for stationary models are well known in classical time series analysis. However, stationarity is an idealization which, in practice, can at best hold as an approximation, but for many time series may be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-08 Shreyan Ganguly , Peter F. Craigmile

Branching processes are widely used to model phenomena from networks to neuronal avalanching. In a large class of continuous-time branching processes, we study the temporal scaling of the moments of the instant population size, the survival…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-12-18 Rosalba Garcia-Millan , Johannes Pausch , Benjamin Walter , Gunnar Pruessner

Time-varying networks describe a wide array of systems whose constituents and interactions evolve over time. They are defined by an ordered stream of interactions between nodes, yet they are often represented in terms of a sequence of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-10-23 Bruno Ribeiro , Nicola Perra , Andrea Baronchelli

Flexible spatial models that allow transitions between tail dependence classes have recently appeared in the literature. However, inference for these models is computationally prohibitive, even in moderate dimensions, due to the necessity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-03 Likun Zhang , Benjamin A. Shaby , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

The extreme event statistics plays a very important role in the theory and practice of time series analysis. The reassembly of classical theoretical results is often undermined by non-stationarity and dependence between increments.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-28 Mauro Politi , Nicolas Millot , Anirban Chakraborti

We study analytically giant fluctuations and temporal intermittency in a stochastic one-dimensional model with diffusion and aggregation of masses in the bulk, along with influx of single particles and outflux of aggregates at the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-17 Himani Sachdeva , Mustansir Barma

In this paper, we deal with a notion of Banach space-valued mappings defined on a set consisting of finite graphs with uniformly bounded vertex degree. These functions will be endowed with certain boundedness and additivity criteria. We…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2015-01-14 Felix Pogorzelski

Linear fractional Galton-Watson branching processes in i.i.d.~random environment are, on the quenched level, intimately connected to random difference equations by the evolution of the random parameters of their linear fractional marginals.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-01 Gerold Alsmeyer

Spectra of ordered eigenvalues of finite Random Matrices are interpreted as a time series. Dataadaptive techniques from signal analysis are applied to decompose the spectrum in clearly differentiated trend and fluctuation modes, avoiding…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2013-12-12 Ruben Fossion , Gamaliel Torres Vargas , Juan Carlos López Vieyra

Stopping-time Banach spaces is a collective term for the class of spaces of eventually null integrable processes that are defined in terms of the behaviour of the stopping times with respect to some fixed filtration. From the point of view…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2022-08-29 Tomasz Kania , Richard Lechner

The sums and maxima of non-stationary random length sequences of regularly varying random variables may have the same tail and extremal indices, Markovich and Rodionov (2020). The main constraint is that there exists a unique series in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-11 Natalia Markovich

In a number of applications, particularly in financial and actuarial mathematics, it is of interest to characterize the tail distribution of a random variable $V$ satisfying the distributional equation $V\stackrel{\mathcal{D}}{=}f(V)$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-04 Jeffrey F. Collamore , Guoqing Diao , Anand N. Vidyashankar

The big jump principle is a well established mathematical result for sums of independent and identically distributed random variables extracted from a fat tailed distribution. It states that the tail of the distribution of the sum is the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-07-10 Alessandro Vezzani , Eli Barkai , Raffaella Burioni

We consider the Bouchaud trap model on the integers in the case that the trap distribution has a slowly varying tail at infinity. Our main result is a functional limit theorem for the model under the annealed law, analogous to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-21 David Croydon , Stephen Muirhead
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