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Consider estimation of the regression function based on a model with equidistant design and measurement errors generated from a fractional Gaussian noise process. In previous literature, this model has been heuristically linked to an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-02 Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

In this paper, we are concerned with nonparametric inference on the volatility of volatility process in stochastic volatility models. We construct several estimators for its integrated version in a high-frequency setting, all based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-30 Mathias Vetter

In this paper we study the small noise asymptotic expansions for certain classes of local volatility models arising in finance. We provide explicit expressions for the involved coefficients as well as accurate estimates on the remainders.…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-19 Sergio ALbeverio , Francesco Cordoni , Luca Di Persio , Gregorio Pellegrini

Thanks to the nonstandard formalization of fast oscillating functions, due to P. Cartier and Y. Perrin, an appropriate mathematical framework is derived for new non-asymptotic estimation techniques, which do not necessitate any statistical…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Michel Fliess

In this paper, we are interested in testing if the volatility process is constant or not during a given time span by using high-frequency data with the presence of jumps and microstructure noise. Based on estimators of integrated volatility…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-16 Qiang Liu , Zhi Liu , Chuanhai Zhang

We propose localized spectral estimators for the quadratic covariation and the spot covolatility of diffusion processes which are observed discretely with additive observation noise. The eligibility of this approach to lead to an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Markus Bibinger , Markus Reiß

The non-gaussianity of processes observed in financial markets and relatively good performance of gaussian models can be reconciled by replacing the Brownian motion with Levy processes whose Levy densities decay as exp(-lambda|x|) or…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Sergei Levendorskii

In this paper, we present a realized range-based multipower variation theory, which can be used to estimate return variation and draw jump-robust inference about the diffusive volatility component, when a high-frequency record of asset…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-24 Kim Christensen , Mark Podolskij

In this paper, we consider estimating spot/instantaneous volatility matrices of high-frequency data collected for a large number of assets. We first combine classic nonparametric kernel-based smoothing with a generalised shrinkage technique…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-22 Ruijun Bu , Degui Li , Oliver Linton , Hanchao Wang

We consider a stochastic volatility asset price model in which the volatility is the absolute value of a continuous Gaussian process with arbitrary prescribed mean and covariance. By exhibiting a Karhunen-Lo\`{e}ve expansion for the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-08 Archil Gulisashvili , Frederi Viens , Xin Zhang

We study a new measure of codependency in the second moment of a continuous-time multivariate asset price process, which we name the realized copula of volatility. The statistic is based on local volatility estimates constructed from…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-22 Kim Christensen , Wenjing Liu , Zhi Liu , Yoann Potiron

The aim of this paper is to present an extension of the well-known as-ymptotic equivalence between density estimation experiments and a Gaussian white noise model. Our extension consists in enlarging the nonparametric class of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-18 Ester Mariucci

This paper resolves a pivotal open problem on nonparametric inference for nonlinear functionals of volatility matrix. Multiple prominent statistical tasks can be formulated as functionals of volatility matrix, yet a unified statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-02 Richard Y. Chen

We consider statistical inference for a class of continuous semimartingale regression models based on high-frequency observations subject to contamination by finite-activity jumps and spike noise. By employing density-power weighting and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-01 Shoichi Eguchi , Hiroki Masuda

We propose a new concept of modulated bipower variation for diffusion models with microstructure noise. We show that this method provides simple estimates for such important quantities as integrated volatility or integrated quarticity.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-07 Mark Podolskij , Mathias Vetter

It is well-known that density estimation on the unit interval is asymptotically equivalent to a Gaussian white noise experiment, provided the densities have H\"older smoothness larger than $1/2$ and are uniformly bounded away from zero. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-29 Kolyan Ray , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

In this paper, we investigate the asymptotic properties of Le Cam's one-step estimator for weak Fractionally AutoRegressive Integrated Moving-Average (FARIMA) models. For these models, noises are uncorrelated but neither necessarily…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-22 Samir Ben Hariz , Alexandre Brouste , Youssef Esstafa , Marius Soltane

In quantitative finance, we often model asset prices as a noisy Ito semimartingale. As this model is not identifiable, approximating by a time-changed Levy process can be useful for generative modelling. We give a new estimate of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-17 Adam D. Bull

We consider the semi-parametric estimation of a scale parameter of a one-dimensional Gaussian process with known smoothness. We suggest an estimator based on quadratic variations and on the moment method. We provide asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Jean-Marc Azaïs , François Bachoc , Agnès Lagnoux , Thi Mong Ngoc Nguyen

Grey-scale local algorithms have been suggested as a fast way of estimating surface area from grey-scale digital images. Their asymptotic mean has already been described. In this paper, the asymptotic behaviour of the variance is studied in…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-24 Anne Marie Svane