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Consider a population of fixed size that evolves over time. At each time, the genealogical structure of the population can be described by a coalescent tree whose branches are traced back to the most recent common ancestor of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-14 Jason Schweinsberg

In nature, most microbial populations have complex spatial structures that can affect their evolution. Evolutionary graph theory predicts that some spatial structures modelled by placing individuals on the nodes of a graph affect the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-30 Alia Abbara , Lisa Pagani , Celia García-Pareja , Anne-Florence Bitbol

Kingman derived the Ewens sampling formula for random partitions describing the genetic variation in a neutral mutation model defined by a Poisson process of mutations along lines of descent governed by a simple coalescent process, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Rui Dong , Alexander Gnedin , Jim Pitman

Consider a haploid population which has evolved through an exchangeable reproduction dynamics, and in which all individuals alive at time $t$ have a most recent common ancestor (MRCA) who lived at time $A_t$, say. As time goes on, not only…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 P. Pfaffelhuber , A. Wakolbinger

A multi-type neutral Cannings population model with mutation and fixed subpopulation sizes is analyzed. Under appropriate conditions, as all subpopulation sizes tend to infinity, the ancestral process, properly time-scaled, converges to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-13 Martin Möhle

The Ancestral Selection Graph (ASG) is an important genealogical process which extends the well-known Kingman coalescent to incorporate natural selection. We show that the number of lineages of the ASG with and without mutation is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-23 Philip A. Hanson , Paul A. Jenkins , Jere Koskela , Dario Spanò

Motivated by the wide range of known self-replicating systems, some far from genetics, we study a system composed by individuals having an internal dynamics with many possible states that are partially stable, with varying mutation rates.…

Biological Physics · Physics 2015-10-07 Tommaso Brotto , Guy Bunin , Jorge Kurchan

Consider a haploid population of fixed finite size with a finite number of allele types and having Cannings exchangeable genealogy with neutral mutation. The stationary distribution of the Markov chain of allele counts in each generation is…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-09 H. L. Gan , Adrian Röllin , Nathan Ross

We review the problem of confounding in genetic association studies, which arises principally because of population structure and cryptic relatedness. Many treatments of the problem consider only a simple ``island'' model of population…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-10-25 William Astle , David J. Balding

In this work we address the analysis of discrete-time models of structured metapopulations subject to environmental stochasticity. Previous works on these models made use of the fact that migrations between the patches can be considered…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-02-07 Luis Sanz , Rafael Bravo de la Parra

We consider the problem of inference for the states and parameters of a continuous-time multitype branching process from partially observed time series data. Exact inference for this class of models, typically using sequential Monte Carlo,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-01 Angus Lewis , Antonio Parrella , John Maclean , Andrew J. Black

Spatial distribution of the human population is distinctly heterogeneous, e.g. showing significant difference in the population density between urban and rural areas. In the historical perspective, i.e. on the timescale of centuries, the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2022-08-30 Anna Zincenko , Sergei Petrovskii , Vitaly Volpert

While generic competitive systems exhibit mixtures of hierarchy and cycles, real-world systems are predominantly hierarchical. We demonstrate and extend a mechanism for hierarchy; systems with similar agents approach perfect hierarchy in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-02-12 Christopher Cebra , Alexander Strang

We are interested in modeling some two-level population dynamics, resulting from the interplay of ecological interactions and phenotypic variation of individuals (or hosts) and the evolution of cells (or parasites) of two types living in…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-21 Sylvie Méléard , Sylvie Roelly

We introduce a low dimensional function of the site frequency spectrum that is tailor-made for distinguishing coalescent models with multiple mergers from Kingman coalescent models with population growth, and use this function to construct…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-08-13 Jere Koskela

Statistical properties of the site frequency spectrum associated with Lambda-coalescents are our objects of study. In particular, we derive recursions for the expected value, variance, and covariance of the spectrum, extending earlier…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-08-27 Matthias Birkner , Jochen Blath , Bjarki Eldon

We consider a model of a population in which individuals are sampled from different species. The Yule-Kingman nested coalescent describes the genealogy of the sample when each species merges with another randomly chosen species with a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-20 Toni Gui

We consider a discrete-time stochastic growth model on the $d$-dimensional lattice with non-negative real numbers as possible values per site. The growth model describes various interesting examples such as oriented site/bond percolation,…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-07 Nobuo Yoshida

We study a one-dimensional spatial population model where the population sizes at each site are chosen according to a translation invariant and ergodic distribution and are uniformly bounded away from 0 and infinity. We suppose that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-14 Raphaël Forien

Measures of wealth and production have been found to scale superlinearly with the population of a city. Therefore, it makes economic sense for humans to congregate together in dense settlements. A recent model of population dynamics showed…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-12-28 James PL Tan