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We investigate the Poisson regression method for Markov and semi-Markov jump processes from a nonparametric angle, allowing the lengths of the time and duration intervals in the partition to vary with the number of observations. Imposing no…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Martin Bladt , Rasmus Frigaard Lemvig

Probabilistic approaches for handling count-valued time sequences have attracted amounts of research attentions because their ability to infer explainable latent structures and to estimate uncertainties, and thus are especially suitable for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Jiahao Wang , Sikun Yang , Heinz Koeppl , Xiuzhen Cheng , Pengfei Hu , Guoming Zhang

Stationarity is a key assumption in many statistical models for random processes. With recent developments in the field of graph signal processing, the conventional notion of wide-sense stationarity has been extended to random processes…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-10 Arman Hasanzadeh , Xi Liu , Nick Duffield , Krishna R. Narayanan

Fractional Poisson processes, a rapidly growing area of non-Markovian stochastic processes, are useful in statistics to describe data from counting processes when waiting times are not exponentially distributed. We show that the fractional…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2013-10-14 Markus Kreer , Ayse Kizilersu , Anthony W. Thomas

Quantization is the process of mapping an input signal from an infinite continuous set to a countable set with a finite number of elements. It is a non-linear irreversible process, which makes the traditional methods of system…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-31 Omar M. Sleem , Constantino M. Lagoa

Variational quantum circuits characterise the state of a quantum system through the use of parameters that are optimised using classical optimisation procedures that typically rely on gradient information. The circuit-execution complexity…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-07-28 Sayantan Pramanik , Chaitanya Murti , M Girish Chandra

We propose an efficient inference method for switching nonlinear dynamical systems. The key idea is to learn an inference network which can be used as a proposal distribution for the continuous latent variables, while performing exact…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-12 Zhe Dong , Bryan A. Seybold , Kevin P. Murphy , Hung H. Bui

This paper introduces a new stochastic process with values in the set Z of integers with sign. The increments of process are Poisson differences and the dynamics has an autoregressive structure. We study the properties of the process and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-12 Giulia Carallo , Roberto Casarin , Christian P. Robert

Dynamical scaling is an asymptotic property typical for the dynamics of first-order phase transitions in physical systems and related to self-similarity. Based on the integral-representation for the marginal probabilities of a fractional…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-23 Markus Kreer

A numerical framework based on network partition and operator splitting is developed to solve nonlinear differential equations of large-scale dynamic processes encountered in physics, chemistry and biology. Under the assumption that those…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-01-22 Shucheng Pan , Jianhang Wang , Xiangyu Hu , Nikolaus A. Adams

A compound Poisson process whose randomized time is an independent Poisson process is called compound Poisson process with Poisson subordinator. We provide its probability distribution, which is expressed in terms of the Bell polynomials,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-18 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Barbara Martinucci , Shelemyahu Zacks

In this paper we present an alternative approach to symbolic segmentation; instead of implementing a new method we approach symbolic segmentation as an algorithm selection problem. That is, let there be $n$ available algorithms for symbolic…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-06-01 Martin Lukac , Kamila Abdiyeva , Michitaka Kameyama

Time series are difficult to monitor, summarize and predict. Segmentation organizes time series into few intervals having uniform characteristics (flatness, linearity, modality, monotonicity and so on). For scalability, we require fast…

Databases · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Daniel Lemire

We propose a new sequential monitoring scheme for changes in the parameters of a multivariate time series. In contrast to procedures proposed in the literature which compare an estimator from the training sample with an estimator calculated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-28 Josua Gösmann , Tobias Kley , Holger Dette

We present a spectrogram separation method tailored for mixtures comprising two nonstationary components. By exploiting the unique characteristics of their time-frequency representations, we propose an inverse problem formulation to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-26 Adrien Meynard , Ama Marina Kreme

The stationarity is assumed in vanilla Hawkes process, which reduces the model complexity but introduces a strong assumption. In this paper, we propose a fast multi-resolution segmentation algorithm to capture the time-varying…

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-07 Feng Zhou , Zhidong Li , Xuhui Fan , Yang Wang , Arcot Sowmya , Fang Chen

In this paper we present multivariate space-time fractional Poisson processes by considering common random time-changes of a (finite-dimensional) vector of independent classical (non-fractional) Poisson processes. In some cases we also…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-22 Luisa Beghin , Claudio Macci

Non-stationary systems are found throughout the world, from climate patterns under the influence of variation in carbon dioxide concentration, to brain dynamics driven by ascending neuromodulation. Accordingly, there is a need for methods…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-07-15 Kieran S. Owens , Ben D. Fulcher

We introduce a Gaussian process-based model for handling of non-stationarity. The warping is achieved non-parametrically, through imposing a prior on the relative change of distance between subsequent observation inputs. The model allows…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-06 David Tolpin

The Propagation-Separation approach is an iterative procedure for pointwise estimation of local constant and local polynomial functions. The estimator is defined as a weighted mean of the observations with data-driven weights. Within…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-06 Saskia Becker , Peter Mathé
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