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Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) and unbiased estimators recently proposed by McLeish (Monte Carlo Methods Appl., 2011) and Rhee and Glynn (Oper. Res., 2015) are closely related. This connection is elaborated by presenting a new general class…

Computation · Statistics 2017-05-12 Matti Vihola

We propose a novel Markov chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) method for reverse engineering the topological structure of stochastic reaction networks, a notoriously challenging problem that is relevant in many modern areas of research, like…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-08 Daniel F. Linder , Grzegorz A. Rempala

We propose a very fast approximate Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling framework that is applicable to a large class of sparse Bayesian inference problems, where the computational cost per iteration in several models is of order…

Computation · Statistics 2021-08-17 Yves Atchadé , Liwei Wang

In this chapter, we review some of the most standard MCMC tools used in Bayesian computation, along with vignettes on standard misunderstandings of these approaches taken from Q \&~A's on the forum Cross-validated answered by the first…

Computation · Statistics 2020-01-20 Christian P. Robert , Wu Changye

We elaborate the idea behind Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods in a mathematically coherent, yet simple and understandable way. To this end, we proof a pivotal convergence theorem for finite Markov chains and a minimal version of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-30 Tobias Siems

Lecture notes (in French) of a master 2 level course in applied mathematics. Contents: Part I. Markov chains on a countable space. 1. Examples 2. Summary of basic properties. 3. Spectral theory and speed of convergence. 4. Lyapunov…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2024-12-11 Nils Berglund

Specifying a full Bayesian model that integrates multiple data sources can be challenging. One natural approach is to specify each individual model separately and join them afterwards. This is the approach adopted in Markov melding.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-22 Yixuan Liu , Robert J. B. Goudie

In statistical analysis, Monte Carlo (MC) stands as a classical numerical integration method. When encountering challenging sample problem, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a commonly employed method. However, the MCMC estimator is biased…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-11-05 Jiarui Du , Zhijian He

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods have become standard tools in statistics to sample from complex probability measures. Many available techniques rely on discrete-time reversible Markov chains whose transition kernels build up over the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-21 Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , Sebastian J. Vollmer , Arnaud Doucet

Sequential Monte Carlo methods which involve sequential importance sampling and resampling are shown to provide a versatile approach to computing probabilities of rare events. By making use of martingale representations of the sequential…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-22 Hock Peng Chan , Tze Leung Lai

This is a supplement to the article "Markov Chain Monte Carlo Based on Deterministic Transformations" available at http://arxiv.org/abs/1106.5850

Computation · Statistics 2013-07-01 Somak Dutta , Sourabh Bhattacharya

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) provide a promising framework for modeling predictive uncertainty and enhancing out-of-distribution robustness (OOD) by estimating the posterior distribution of network parameters. Stochastic Gradient Markov…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Hyunsu Kim , Giung Nam , Chulhee Yun , Hongseok Yang , Juho Lee

Recent advances in stochastic gradient variational inference have made it possible to perform variational Bayesian inference with posterior approximations containing auxiliary random variables. This enables us to explore a new synthesis of…

Computation · Statistics 2015-05-20 Tim Salimans , Diederik P. Kingma , Max Welling

This is the compilation of our comments submitted to the Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B, to be published within the discussion of the Read Paper of Andrieu, Doucet and Hollenstein.

Computation · Statistics 2009-11-06 Pierre Jacob , Nicolas Chopin , Christian P. Robert , Havard Rue

This paper introduces a Bayesian framework that combines Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling, dimensionality reduction, and neural density estimation to efficiently handle inverse problems that (i) must be solved multiple times, and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Giacomo Bottacini , Matteo Torzoni , Andrea Manzoni

This work introduces a class of rejection-free Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) samplers, named the Bouncy Hybrid Sampler, which unifies several existing methods from the literature. Examples include the Bouncy Particle Sampler of Peters and…

Computation · Statistics 2018-02-21 Jelena Markovic , Amir Sepehri

We propose new Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms to sample probability distributions on submanifolds, which generalize previous methods by allowing the use of set-valued maps in the proposal step of the MCMC algorithms. The motivation for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-10-07 Tony Lelièvre , Gabriel Stoltz , Wei Zhang

A discussion on the possibility of reducing the variance of quasi-Monte Carlo estimators in applications. Further details are provided in the accompanying paper "Variance Reduction for Quasi-Monte Carlo".

Computation · Statistics 2015-01-15 Chris. J. Oates , Daniel Simpson , Mark Girolami

Performing numerical integration when the integrand itself cannot be evaluated point-wise is a challenging task that arises in statistical analysis, notably in Bayesian inference for models with intractable likelihood functions. Markov…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-17 Lawrence Middleton , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet , Pierre E. Jacob

Bayesian regression remains a simple but effective tool based on Bayesian inference techniques. For large-scale applications, with complicated posterior distributions, Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods are applied. To improve the well-known…

Computation · Statistics 2020-09-28 Joris Tavernier , Jaak Simm , Adam Arany , Karl Meerbergen , Yves Moreau