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The main purpose of this paper is to investigate the strong approximation of the integrated empirical process. More precisely, we obtain the exact rate of the approximations by a sequence of weighted Brownian bridges and a weighted Kiefer…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-21 Sergio Alvarez-Andrade , Salim Bouzebda , Aimé Lachal

We propose a discrete time discrete space Markov chain approximation with a Brownian bridge correction for computing curvilinear boundary crossing probabilities of a general diffusion process on a finite time interval. For broad classes of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-13 Vincent Liang , Konstantin Borovkov

Under some weak conditions, the first-passage time of the Brownian motion to a continuous curved boundary is an almost surely finite stopping time. Its probability density function (pdf) is explicitly known only in few particular cases.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-22 Samuel Herrmann , Etienne Tanré

We calculate crossing probabilities and one-sided last exit time densities for a class of moving barriers on an interval $[0,T]$ via Schwartz distributions. We derive crossing probabilities and first hitting time densities for another class…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-08-28 Nabil Kahale

Fastest arrival events, where the first among many diffusing particles reaches a target, are central in triggering signal initiation in molecular stochastic systems. Classical approaches to simulate such events rely on full trajectory…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Emmanuel Akame Mfoumou , David Holcman

In this paper we propose a new method for approximating the nonstationary moment dynamics of one dimensional Markovian birth-death processes. By expanding the transition probabilities of the Markov process in terms of Poisson-Charlier…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-09-23 Stefan Engblom , Jamol Pender

We present a new method to sample conditioned trajectories of a system evolving under Langevin dynamics, based on Brownian bridges. The trajectories are conditioned to end at a certain point (or in a certain region) in space. The bridge…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-08-17 Patrice Koehl , Henri Orland

Piecewise-deterministic Markov processes form a general class of non-diffusion stochastic models that involve both deterministic trajectories and random jumps at random times. In this paper, we state a new characterization of the jump rate…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-03 Romain Azaïs , Alexandre Genadot

We address the theory of records for integrated random walks with finite variance. The long-time continuum limit of these walks is a non-Markov process known as the random acceleration process or the integral of Brownian motion. In this…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-03-03 Claude Godrèche , Jean-Marc Luck

In this paper, we introduce an extension of a Brownian bridge with a random length by including uncertainty also in the pinning level of the bridge. The main result of this work is that unlike for deterministic pinning point, the bridge…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-22 Mohammed Louriki

In this paper, we are concerned with centered Markov Additive Processes $\{(X_t,Y_t)\}_{t\in\T}$ where the driving Markov process $\{X_t\}_{t\in\T}$ has a finite state space. Under suitable conditions, we provide a local limit theorem for…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-25 Loïc Hervé , James Ledoux

This paper is a step in the direction of understanding the behavior of non-intersecting Brownian motions on the real line, when the number of particles becomes large. Consider 2k non-intersecting Brownian motions, all starting at the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Mark Adler , Pierre van Moerbeke

We consider the filtering problem of estimating a hidden random variable $X$ by noisy observations. The noisy observation process is constructed by a randomised Markov bridge (RMB) $(Z_t)_{t\in [0,T]}$ of which terminal value is set to…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-17 Andrea Macrina , Jun Sekine

This paper is concerned with the development of rigorous approximations to various expectations associated with Markov chains and processes having non-stationary transition probabilities. Such non-stationary models arise naturally in…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-07 Zeyu Zheng , Harsha Honnappa , Peter W. Glynn

We investigate the Poisson regression method for Markov and semi-Markov jump processes from a nonparametric angle, allowing the lengths of the time and duration intervals in the partition to vary with the number of observations. Imposing no…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Martin Bladt , Rasmus Frigaard Lemvig

We consider certain noncolliding interacting particle systems driven by Brownian noise. A key example is drifted Brownian motions conditioned not to intersect and related models of eigenvalues of Hermitian random matrices. We establish…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Mustazee Rahman

We consider a one-dimensional stationary stochastic process $x(\tau)$ of duration $T$. We study the probability density function (PDF) $P(t_{\rm m}|T)$ of the time $t_{\rm m}$ at which $x(\tau)$ reaches its global maximum. By using a path…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-10-15 Francesco Mori , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr

We introduce a class of Markov processes conditioned to avoid intersection over a moving time window of length T>0, a setting we refer to as myopic non-intersection. In particular, we study a system of myopic non-intersecting Brownian…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-06 Jonas Arista , Daniel Remenik , Avelio Sepúlveda

The probability density is a fundamental quantity for characterizing diffusion processes. However, it is seldom known except in a few renowned cases, including Brownian motion and the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and their bridges, geometric…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2024-03-05 Alain Mazzolo

We propose a method to exactly generate bridge run-and-tumble trajectories that are constrained to start at the origin with a given velocity and to return to the origin after a fixed time with another given velocity. The method extends the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-09-22 Benjamin De Bruyne , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr