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We fit the volatility fluctuations of the S&P 500 index well by a Chi distribution, and the distribution of log-returns by a corresponding superposition of Gaussian distributions. The Fourier transform of this is, remarkably, of the Tsallis…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-06-16 Petr Jizba , Hagen Kleinert , Patrick Haener

The scaling properties of the time series of asset prices and trading volumes of stock markets are analysed. It is shown that similarly to the asset prices, the trading volume data obey multi-scaling length-distribution of low-variability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Robert Kitt , Jaan Kalda

We discuss several models in order to shed light on the origin of power-law distributions and power-law correlations in financial time series. From an empirical point of view, the exponents describing the tails of the price increments…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Equity activity is an essential topic for financial market studies. To explore its statistical regularities, we comprehensively examine the trading value, a measure of the equity activity, of the 3314 most-traded stocks in the U.S. equity…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-24 Fengzhong Wang , Kazuko Yamasaki , Shlomo Havlin , H. Eugene Stanley

In this paper we study the high frequency dynamic of financial volumes of traded stocks by using a semi-Markov approach. More precisely we assume that the intraday logarithmic change of volume is described by a weighted-indexed semi-Markov…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-19 Guglielmo D'Amico , Filippo Petroni

Volatility measures the amplitude of price fluctuations. Despite it is one of the most important quantities in finance, volatility is not directly observable. Here we apply a maximum likelihood method which assumes that price and volatility…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-09-03 Jordi Camprodon , Josep Perelló

In this paper we demonstrate a striking regularity in the way people place limit orders in financial markets, using a data set consisting of roughly seven million orders from the London Stock Exchange. We define the relative limit price as…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Ilija I. Zovko , J. Doyne Farmer

Technical trading represents a class of investment strategies for Financial Markets based on the analysis of trends and recurrent patterns of price time series. According standard economical theories these strategies should not be used…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-25 Federico Garzarelli , Matthieu Cristelli , Andrea Zaccaria , Luciano Pietronero

This note continues investigation of randomness-type properties emerging in idealized financial markets with continuous price processes. It is shown, without making any probabilistic assumptions, that the strong variation exponent of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-25 Vladimir Vovk

In the information-based approach to asset pricing the market filtration is modelled explicitly as a superposition of signals concerning relevant market factors and independent noise. The rate at which the signal is revealed to the market…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-09-21 Dorje C. Brody , Yan Tai Law

In this pre-print we explore the multi-fractal properties of 1 minute traded volume of the equities which compose the Dow Jones 30. We also evaluate the weights of linear and non-linear dependences in the multi-fractal structure of the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 L. G. Moyano , J. de Souza , S. M. Duarte Queiros

Two major financial market complexities are transaction costs and uncertain volatility, and we analyze their joint impact on the problem of portfolio optimization. When volatility is constant, the transaction costs optimal investment…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-28 Maxim Bichuch , Ronnie Sircar

Stock prices are observed to be random walks in time despite a strong, long term memory in the signs of trades (buys or sells). Lillo and Farmer have recently suggested that these correlations are compensated by opposite long ranged…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 J. -P. Bouchaud , J. Kockelkoren , M. Potters

The trade of a fixed stock can be regarded as the basic process that measures its momentary price. The stock price is exactly known only at the time of sale when the stock is between traders, that is, only in the case when the owner is…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-12 Liviu-Adrian Cotfas

In this work, we aim to reconcile several apparently contradictory observations in market microstructure: is the famous "square-root law" of metaorder impact, which decays with time, compatible with the random-walk nature of prices and the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-05 Guillaume Maitrier , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

A new definition of events of game-theoretic probability zero in continuous time is proposed and used to prove results suggesting that trading in financial markets results in the emergence of properties usually associated with randomness.…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-25 Vladimir Vovk

Modern approaches to stock pricing in quantitative finance are typically founded on the 'Black-Scholes model' and the underlying 'random walk hypothesis'. Empirical data indicate that this hypothesis works well in stable situations but, in…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-08 Diederik Aerts , Bart D'Hooghe , Sandro Sozzo

In this paper, we introduce a parametrized family of prices derived from the Maximum Entropy Principle. The price is obtained from the distribution that minimizes bias, given the bid and ask volume imbalance at the top of the order book.…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-15 Przemysław Rola

Complex systems comprise a large number of interacting elements, whose dynamics is not always a priori known. In these cases -- in order to uncover their key features -- we have to turn to empirical methods, one of which was recently…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Janos Kertesz , Zoltan Eisler

The variance measures the portfolio risks the investors are taking. The investor, who holds his portfolio and doesn't trade his shares, at the current time can use the time series of the market trades that were made during the averaging…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-08 Victor Olkhov