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Forecasting the evolution of complex systems is one of the grand challenges of modern data science. The fundamental difficulty lies in understanding the structure of the observed stochastic process. In this paper, we show that every…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

Let $X=\{X_t: t\ge 0\}$ be a stationary piecewise continuous $\R^d$-valued process that moves between jumps along the integral curves of a given continuous vector field, and let $S\subset\R^d$ be a smooth surface. The aim of this paper is…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-21 K. A. Borovkov , G. Last

This research introduces a novel approach to resampling periodically correlated (PC) time series using bandpass filters for frequency separation called the Variable Bandpass Periodic Block Bootstrap (VBPBB) and then examines the significant…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-10 Edward Valachovic

A random coefficient autoregressive process is deeply investigated in which the coefficients are correlated. First we look at the existence of a strictly stationary causal solution, we give the second-order stationarity conditions and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-29 Frédéric Proïa , Marius Soltane

We consider a family of random locations, called intrinsic location functionals, of periodic stationary processes. This family includes but is not limited to the location of the path supremum and first/last hitting times. We first show that…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-06 Jie Shen , Yi Shen , Ruodu Wang

It is shown that large deviation statistical quantities of the discrete time, finite state Markov process $P_{n+1}^{(j)}=\sum_{k=1}^NH_{jk}P_n^{(k)}$, where P_n^{(j)} is the probability for the j-state at the time step n and H_{jk} is the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-13 Miki U. Kobayashi , Hirokazu Fujisaka , Syuji Miyazaki

We develop a formal framework for the behavioral comparison of linear systems across different time domains. We accomplish this by introducing the notion of system interpolation, which determines whether the input-state trajectories of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-26 Armin Pirastehzad , Bart Besselink

High-dimensional multivariate spatial-temporal data arise frequently in a wide range of applications; however, there are relatively few statistical methods that can simultaneously deal with spatial, temporal and variable-wise dependencies…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-05 Elynn Y. Chen , Xin Yun , Rong Chen , Qiwei Yao

We introduce the notion of symmetric covariation, which is a new measure of dependence between two components of a symmetric $\alpha$-stable random vector, where the stability parameter $\alpha$ measures the heavy-tailedness of its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-20 Yujia Ding , Qidi Peng

The paper investigates the theoretical properties of zero-mean stationary time series with cyclical components, admitting the representation $y_t=\alpha_t \cos \lambda t + \beta_t \sin \lambda t$, with $\lambda \in (0,\pi]$ and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-16 Łukasz Lenart

Gaussian processes (GPs) are commonplace in spatial statistics. Although many non-stationary models have been developed, there is arguably a lack of flexibility compared to equipping each location with its own parameters. However, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-19 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

The aim of the paper is to prove the existence and uniqueness of the $L^{p}$--variational solution, with $p>1,$ of the following multivalued backward stochastic differential equation with $p$--integrable data: \begin{equation*} \left\{…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-23 Lucian Maticiuc , Aurel Răşcanu

We consider stochastic processes $Y(t)$ which can be represented as $Y(t)=(X(t))^s, s \in \mathbb{N},$ where $X(t)$ is a stationary strictly sub-Gaussian process and build a wavelet-based model that simulates $Y(t)$ with given accuracy and…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-01 Ievgen Turchyn

We develop an extension of the process matrix (PM) framework for correlations between quantum operations with no causal order that allows multiple rounds of information exchange for each party compatibly with the assumption of well-defined…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-01-27 Timothée Hoffreumon , Ognyan Oreshkov

In this paper, we first prove that the local time associated with symmetric $\alpha$-stable processes is of bounded $p$-variation for any $p>\frac{2}{\alpha-1}$ partly based on Barlow's estimation of the modulus of the local time of such…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-09 Qingfeng Wang , Huaizhong Zhao

We propose a setup for fractionally cointegrated time series which is formulated in terms of latent integrated and short-memory components. It accommodates nonstationary processes with different fractional orders and cointegration of…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-01-30 Tobias Hartl , Roland Weigand

Locally stationary Hawkes processes have been introduced in order to generalise classical Hawkes processes away from stationarity by allowing for a time-varying second-order structure. This class of self-exciting point processes has…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-31 François Roueff , Rainer Von Sachs

The paper presents a systematic theory for asymptotic inference of autocovariances of stationary processes. We consider nonparametric tests for serial correlations based on the maximum (or ${\cal L}^\infty$) and the quadratic (or ${\cal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Han Xiao , Wei Biao Wu

We propose a difference-based nonparametric methodology for the estimation and inference of the time-varying auto-covariance functions of a locally stationary time series when it is contaminated by a complex trend with both abrupt and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-12 Yan Cui , Michael Levine , Zhou Zhou

A Spartan random process (SRP) is used to estimate the correlation structure of time series and to predict (extrapolate) the data values. SRP's are motivated from statistical physics, and they can be viewed as Ginzburg-Landau models. The…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-12-24 M. Zukovic , D. T. Hristopulos
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