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We investigate the small deviation probabilities of a class of very smooth stationary Gaussian processes playing an important role in Bayesian statistical inference. Our calculations are based on the appropriate modification of the entropy…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-22 F. Aurzada , I. A. Ibragimov , M. A. Lifshits , J. H. van Zanten

We show that the natural scaling of measurement for a particular problem defines the most likely probability distribution of observations taken from that measurement scale. Our approach extends the method of maximum entropy to use…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2010-03-02 Steven A. Frank , D. Eric Smith

We study the small deviation probabilities of a family of very smooth self-similar Gaussian processes. The canonical process from the family has the same scaling property as standard Brownian motion and plays an important role in the study…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-18 Frank Aurzada , Fuchang Gao , Thomas Kühn , Wenbo V. Li , Qi-Man Shao

We obtain several extensions of Talagrand's lower bound for the small deviation probability using metric entropy. For Gaussian processes, our investigations are focused on processes with sub-polynomial and, respectively, exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-14 Frank Aurzada , Mikhail Lifshits

Laplace-type results characterize the limit of sequence of measures $(\pi_\varepsilon)_{\varepsilon >0}$ with density w.r.t the Lebesgue measure $(\mathrm{d} \pi_\varepsilon / \mathrm{d} \mathrm{Leb})(x) \propto \exp[-U(x)/\varepsilon]$…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-29 Valentin De Bortoli , Agnès Desolneux

Using martingale methods, we provide bounds for the entropy of a probability measure on $\mathbb {R}^d$ with the right-hand side given in a certain integral form. As a corollary, in the one-dimensional case, we obtain a weighted log-Sobolev…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Alexei Kulik , Taras Tymoshkevych

Bayesian inference on non-Gaussian data is often non-analytic and requires computationally expensive approximations such as sampling or variational inference. We propose an approximate inference framework primarily designed to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-12 Marius Hobbhahn , Philipp Hennig

We study the gap processes in a degenerate system of three particles interacting through their ranks. We obtain the Laplace transform of the invariant measure of these gaps, and an explicit expression for the corresponding invariant…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-22 Sandro Franceschi , Tomoyuki Ichiba , Ioannis Karatzas , Kilian Raschel

On the space of unimodular lattices, we construct a sequence of invariant probability measures under a singular diagonal element with high entropy and show that the limit measure is 0.

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2010-09-14 Shirali Kadyrov

Given a probability distribution P, what is the minimum amount of bits needed to store a value x sampled according to P, such that x can later be recovered (except with some small probability)? Or, what is the maximum amount of uniform…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Thomas Holenstein , Renato Renner

The method of maximum entropy has proven to be a rather powerful way to solve the inverse problem consisting of determining a probability density $f_S(s)$ on $[0,\infty)$ from the knowledge of the expected value of a few generalized…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-04-22 Henryk Gzyl

For two gaussian states with given correlation matrices, in order that relative entropy between them is practically calculable, I in this paper describe the ways of transforming the correlation matrix to matrix in the exponential density…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 Xiao-yu Chen

We study the problem of estimating a distribution over a finite alphabet from an i.i.d. sample, with accuracy measured in relative entropy (Kullback-Leibler divergence). While optimal bounds on the expected risk are known, high-probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Jaouad Mourtada

An estimation method is proposed for a wide variety of discrete time stochastic processes that have an intractable likelihood function but are otherwise conveniently specified by an integral transform such as the characteristic function,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 T. Merkouris

We generate the fractional Poisson process by subordinating the standard Poisson process to the inverse stable subordinator. Our analysis is based on application of the Laplace transform with respect to both arguments of the evolving…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-24 Rudolf Gorenflo , Francesco Mainardi

We explore the class of probability distributions on the real line whose Laplace transform admits a strong upper bound of subgaussian type. Using Hadamard's factorization theorem, we extend the class $\mathfrak L$ of Newman and propose new…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-04 S. G. Bobkov , G. P. Chistyakov , F. Götze

Laplace's method, a family of asymptotic methods used to approximate integrals, is presented as a potential candidate for the tool box of techniques used for knowledge acquisition and probabilistic inference in belief networks with…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Adriano Azevedo-Filho , Ross D. Shachter

The Laplace approximation is a popular method for constructing a Gaussian approximation to the Bayesian posterior and thereby approximating the posterior mean and variance. But approximation quality is a concern. One might consider using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-17 Mikołaj J. Kasprzak , Ryan Giordano , Tamara Broderick

We construct ergodic probability measures with infinite metric entropy for typical continuous maps and homeomorphisms on compact manifolds. We also construct sequences of such measures that converge to a zero-entropy measure.

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Eleonora Catsigeras , Serge Troubetzkoy

We give two examples of periodic Gaussian processes, having entropy numbers of exactly same order but radically different small deviations. Our construction is based on classical Knopp's result yielding of existence of continuous nowhere…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-13 Michel Weber
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