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In this study, we explore the dynamic interplay between the timing of vaccination campaigns and the trajectory of disease spread in a population. Through comprehensive data analysis and modeling, we have uncovered a counter-intuitive…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-12-06 Piergiorgio Castioni , Sergio Gòmez , Clara Granell , Alex Arenas

Early on during a pandemic, vaccine availability is limited, requiring prioritisation of different population groups. Evaluating vaccine allocation is therefore a crucial element of pandemics response. In the present work, we develop a…

The threat of avian influenza and the 2004-2005 influenza vaccine supply shortage in the United States has sparked a debate about optimal vaccination strategies to reduce the burden of morbidity and mortality caused by the influenza virus.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-02-10 Shweta Bansal , Babak Pourbohloul , Lauren Ancel Meyers

We propose a framework for the description of the effects of vaccinations on the spreading of an epidemic disease. Different vaccines can be dosed, each providing different immunization times and immunization levels. Differences due to…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-07-23 Rinaldo M. Colombo , Mauro Garavello

Since early 2020, the world has been dealing with a raging pandemic outbreak: COVID-19. A year later, vaccines have become accessible, but in limited quantities, so that governments needed to devise a strategy to decide which part of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-04-13 Sander Tonkens , Paul de Klaver , Mauro Salazar

During the Covid-19 pandemic a key role is played by vaccination to combat the virus. There are many possible policies for prioritizing vaccines, and different criteria for optimization: minimize death, time to herd immunity, functioning of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-18 Qi Luo , Ryan Weightman , Sean T. McQuade , Mateo Diaz , Emmanuel Trélat , William Barbour , Dan Work , Samitha Samaranayake , Benedetto Piccoli

Background: Globally, influenza is a major cause of morbidity, hospitalization and mortality. Influenza vaccination has shown substantial protective effectiveness in the United States. We investigated state-level patterns of coverage rates…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-03-14 Alice P. Y. Chiu , Duo Yu , Jonathan Dushoff , Daihai He

We study an optimal control problem where the objective is to find the best vaccine allocation during an epidemic outbreak. The epidemic dynamics is described by an age-structured SIR model with nonlocal interactions. Both the infection and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Luís Almeida , Romain Ducasse , Elisa Paparelli

Effective strategies of vaccine prioritization are essential to mitigate the impacts of severe infectious diseases. We investigate the role of infection fatality ratio (IFR) and social contact matrices on vaccination prioritization using a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-04 Arthur Schulenburg , Wesley Cota , Guilherme S. Costa , Silvio C. Ferreira

A new age-distributed immuno-epidemiological model with information-based vaccine uptake suggested in this work represents a system of integro-differential equations for the numbers of susceptible individuals, infected individuals,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-04-02 Samiran Ghosh , Malay Banerjee , Vitaly Volpert

We examine here the effects of recurrent vaccination and waning immunity on the establishment of an endemic equilibrium in a population. An individual-based model that incorporates memory effects for transmission rate during infection and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-22 Félix Foutel-Rodier , Arthur Charpentier , Hélène Guérin

The limited availability of COVID-19 vaccines has prompted extensive research on optimal vaccination strategies. Previous studies have considered various non-pharmaceutical interventions, vaccine efficacy, and distribution strategies. In…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-02-27 Iker Atienza-Diez , Gabriel Rodriguez-Maroto , Saúl Ares , Susanna Manrubia

Inspired by Minority Games, we constructed a novel individual-level game of adaptive decision-making based on the dilemma of deciding whether to participate in voluntary influenza vaccination programs. The proportion of the population…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Raffaele Vardavas , Romulus Breban , Sally Blower

As infectious disease outbreaks emerge, public health agencies often enact vaccination and social distancing measures to slow transmission. Their success depends on not only strategies and resources, but also public adherence. Individual…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-08-20 José L. Herrera , Lauren Ancel Meyers

The unfolding of pandemic influenza A(H1N1) for Fall 2009 in the Northern Hemisphere is still uncertain. Plans for vaccination campaigns and vaccine trials are underway, with the first batches expected to be available early October. Several…

We introduce a novel compartmental model accounting for the effects of vaccine efficacy, deployment rates and timing of initiation of deployment. We simulate different scenarios and initial conditions, and we find that higher abundancy and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-06-28 Omar El Deeb , Maya Jalloul

National and local governments have implemented a large number of policies in response to the Covid-19 pandemic. Evaluating the effects of these policies, both on the number of Covid-19 cases as well as on other economic outcomes is a key…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-10-25 Brantly Callaway , Tong Li

Most vaccines require multiple doses, the first to induce recognition and antibody production and subsequent doses to boost the primary response and achieve optimal protection. We show that properly prioritizing the administration of first…

Given limited supply of approved vaccines and constrained medical resources, design of a vaccination strategy to control a pandemic is an economic problem. We use time-series and panel methods with real-world country-level data to estimate…

General Economics · Economics 2022-01-19 Dongwoo Kim , Young Jun Lee

In this study, we present an immuno-epidemic model to understand mitigation options during an epidemic break. The model incorporates comorbidity and multiple-vaccine doses through a system of coupled integro-differential equations to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-28 Samiran Ghosh , Malay Banerjee , Amit K Chattopadhyay
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