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The process of calibrating computer models of natural phenomena is essential for applications in the physical sciences, where plenty of domain knowledge can be embedded into simulations and then calibrated against real observations. Current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-20 Rafael Oliveira , Dino Sejdinovic , David Howard , Edwin V. Bonilla

Gaussian process regression is a popular Bayesian framework for surrogate modeling of expensive data sources. As part of a broader effort in scientific machine learning, many recent works have incorporated physical constraints or other a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-07 Laura Swiler , Mamikon Gulian , Ari Frankel , Cosmin Safta , John Jakeman

Central to several objective approaches to Bayesian model selection is the use of training samples (subsets of the data), so as to allow utilization of improper objective priors. The most common prescription for choosing training samples is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 James O. Berger , Luis R. Pericchi

This paper studies macroeconomic forecasting and variable selection using a folded-concave penalized regression with a very large number of predictors. The penalized regression approach leads to sparse estimates of the regression…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-07 Yoshimasa Uematsu , Shinya Tanaka

Gaussian time-series models are often specified through their spectral density. Such models present several computational challenges, in particular because of the non-sparse nature of the covariance matrix. We derive a fast approximation of…

Computation · Statistics 2012-11-20 Nicolas Chopin , Judith Rousseau , Brunero Liseo

We develop a new method for frequentist multiple testing with Bayesian prior information. Our procedure finds a new set of optimal p-value weights called the Bayes weights. Prior information is relevant to many multiple testing problems.…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-03 Edgar Dobriban , Kristen Fortney , Stuart K. Kim , Art B. Owen

We consider the estimation of a regression function with random design and heteroscedastic noise in a nonparametric setting. More precisely, we address the problem of characterizing the optimal penalty when the regression function is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-29 Adrien Saumard

The analytic inference, e.g. predictive distribution being in closed form, may be an appealing benefit for machine learning practitioners when they treat wide neural networks as Gaussian process in Bayesian setting. The realistic widths,…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2023-08-01 Chi-Ken Lu

One of the fundamental tasks of science is to find explainable relationships between observed phenomena. One approach to this task that has received attention in recent years is based on probabilistic graphical modelling with sparsity…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-04-16 Peter Orchard , Felix Agakov , Amos Storkey

This paper reviews minimax best equivariant estimation in these invariant estimation problems: a location parameter, a scale parameter and a (Wishart) covariance matrix. We briefly review development of the best equivariant estimator as a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-05 Yuzo Maruyama , William E. Strawderman

We consider chance constrained optimization where it is sought to optimize a function while complying with constraints, both of which are affected by uncertainties. The high computational cost of realistic simulations strongly limits the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-18 Julien Pelamatti , Rodolphe Le Riche , Céline Helbert , Christophette Blanchet-Scalliet

Many experiments in medicine and ecology can be conveniently modeled by finite Gaussian mixtures but face the problem of dealing with small data sets. We propose a robust version of the estimator based on self-regression and sparsity…

Computation · Statistics 2014-10-09 Stephane Chretien

We consider both $\ell _{0}$-penalized and $\ell _{0}$-constrained quantile regression estimators. For the $\ell _{0}$-penalized estimator, we derive an exponential inequality on the tail probability of excess quantile prediction risk and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-30 Le-Yu Chen , Sokbae Lee

We consider the inverse problem of estimating an unknown function $u$ from noisy measurements $y$ of a known, possibly nonlinear, map $\mathcal{G}$ applied to $u$. We adopt a Bayesian approach to the problem and work in a setting where the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-20 Masoumeh Dashti , Kody J. H. Law , Andrew M. Stuart , Jochen Voss

Precision matrix estimation in a multivariate Gaussian model is fundamental to network estimation. Although there exist both Bayesian and frequentist approaches to this, it is difficult to obtain good Bayesian and frequentist properties…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-19 Ksheera Sagar , Sayantan Banerjee , Jyotishka Datta , Anindya Bhadra

A greedy algorithm called Bayesian multiple matching pursuit (BMMP) is proposed to estimate a sparse signal vector and its support given $m$ linear measurements. Unlike the maximum a posteriori (MAP) support detection, which was proposed by…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-04-04 Kyung-Su Kim , Sae-Young Chung

Gaussian Graphical Models (GGM) are often used to describe the conditional correlations between the components of a random vector. In this article, we compare two families of GGM inference methods: nodewise edge selection and penalised…

In order to cluster or partition data, we often use Expectation-and-Maximization (EM) or Variational approximation with a Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM), which is a parametric probability density function represented as a weighted sum of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-07-04 Ji Won Yoon

In this paper we give a completely new approach to the problem of covariate selection in linear regression. A covariate or a set of covariates is included only if it is better in the sense of least squares than the same number of Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-25 Laurie Davies , Lutz Dümbgen

This paper is devoted to the estimation of a partial graphical model with a structural Bayesian penalization. Precisely, we are interested in the linear regression setting where the estimation is made through the direct links between…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-25 Eunice Okome Obiang , Pascal Jézéquel , Frédéric Proïa