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Performance-based engineering for natural hazards facilitates the design and appraisal of structures with rigorous evaluation of their uncertain structural behavior under potentially extreme stochastic loads expressed in terms of failure…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-05-11 Srinivasan Arunachalam , Seymour M. J. Spence

Current methods for population mean estimation from data collected by Respondent Driven Sampling (RDS) are based on the Horvitz-Thompson estimator together with a set of assumptions on the sampling model under which the inclusion…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-10 Adityanand Guntuboyina , Russell Barbour , Robert Heimer

Existing optimal estimators of nonequilibrium path-ensemble averages are shown to fall within the framework of extended bridge sampling. Using this framework, we derive a general minimal-variance estimator that can combine nonequilibrium…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-12-06 David D. L. Minh , John D. Chodera

An additive model-assisted nonparametric method is investigated to estimate the finite population totals of massive survey data with the aid of auxiliary information. A class of estimators is proposed to improve the precision of the well…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-19 Li Wang , Suojin Wang

Many functionals of interest in statistics and machine learning can be written as minimizers of expected loss functions. Such functionals are called $M$-estimands, and can be estimated by $M$-estimators -- minimizers of empirical average…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-27 Arunav Bhowmick , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

The generalization ability of minimizers of the empirical risk in the context of binary classification has been investigated under a wide variety of complexity assumptions for the collection of classifiers over which optimization is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-21 Clémençon Stephan , Patrice Bertail , Guillaume Papa

We consider the problem of statistical inference when the data is collected via a Thompson Sampling-type algorithm. While Thompson Sampling (TS) is known to be both asymptotically optimal and empirically effective, its adaptive sampling…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-17 Budhaditya Halder , Shubhayan Pan , Koulik Khamaru

Model performance evaluation is a critical and expensive task in machine learning and computer vision. Without clear guidelines, practitioners often estimate model accuracy using a one-time completely random selection of the data. However,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Riccardo Fogliato , Pratik Patil , Mathew Monfort , Pietro Perona

The survey experiment is widely used in economics and social sciences to evaluate the effects of treatments or programs. In a standard population-based survey experiment, the experimenter randomly draws experimental units from a target…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Pengfei Tian , Jiyang Ren , Yingying Ma

This paper introduces smoothed pseudo-population bootstrap methods for the purposes of variance estimation and the construction of confidence intervals for finite population quantiles. In an i.i.d. context, it has been shown that resampling…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-30 Vanessa McNealis , Christian Léger

A model-assisted semiparametric method of estimating finite population totals is investigated to improve the precision of survey estimators by incorporating multivariate auxiliary information. The proposed superpopulation model is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-19 Lily Wang

Researchers often use linear regression to analyse randomized experiments to improve treatment effect estimation by adjusting for imbalances of covariates in the treatment and control groups. Our work offers a randomization-based inference…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-08 Hanzhong Liu , Yuehan Yang

We develop conservative tests for the mean of a bounded population under stratified sampling and apply them to risk-limiting post-election audits. The tests are ``anytime valid'' under sequential sampling, allowing optional stopping in each…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Jacob V. Spertus , Mayuri Sridhar , Philip B. Stark

In this paper, we study the functional linear multiplicative model based on the least product relative error criterion. Under some regularization conditions, we establish the consistency and asymptotic normality of the estimator. Further,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-04 Qian Yan , Hanyu Li

In this paper, we consider a weighted local linear estimator based on the inverse selection probability for nonparametric regression with missing covariates at random. The asymptotic distribution of the maximal deviation between the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-03 Li Cai , Lijie Gu , Qihua Wang , Suojin Wang

The Horvitz-Thompson (HT), the Rao-Hartley-Cochran (RHC) and the generalized regression (GREG) estimators of the finite population mean are considered, when the observations are from an infinite dimensional space. We compare these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-25 Anurag Dey , Probal Chaudhuri

The local regularity of functional time series is studied under $L^p-m-$appro\-ximability assumptions. The sample paths are observed with error at possibly random design points. Non-asymptotic concentration bounds of the regularity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-21 Hassan Maissoro , Valentin Patilea , Myriam Vimond

We consider the problem of adaptive stratified sampling for Monte Carlo integration of a differentiable function given a finite number of evaluations to the function. We construct a sampling scheme that samples more often in regions where…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-10-22 Alexandra Carpentier , Rémi Munos

In this work, we investigate the statistical computation of the Boltzmann entropy of statistical samples. For this purpose, we use both histogram and kernel function to estimate the probability density function of statistical samples. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-23 Ning Sui , Min Li , Ping He

This paper studies covariate adjusted estimation of the average treatment effect in stratified experiments. We work in a general framework that includes matched tuples designs, coarse stratification, and complete randomization as special…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-23 Max Cytrynbaum