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Fitting a graphical model to a collection of random variables given sample observations is a challenging task if the observed variables are influenced by latent variables, which can induce significant confounding statistical dependencies…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-20 Armeen Taeb , Parikshit Shah , Venkat Chandrasekaran

One aspect of Poisson approximation is that the support of the random variable of interest is often finite while the support of the Poisson distribution is not. In this paper we will remedy this by examining truncated negative binomial (of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-02 H. L. Gan

Let $\{X, X_n, n\geq 1\}$ be a sequence of independent identically distributed non-degenerate random variables. Put $S_0=0, S_n = \sum^n_{i=1} X_i$ and $V_n^2=\sum^n_{i=1} X_i^2, n\ge 1.$ A weak convergence theorem is established for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-21 Miklós Csörgő , Zhishui Hu

We consider the approximation of a convolution of possibly different probability measures by (compound) Poisson distributions and also by related signed measures of higher order. We present new total variation bounds having a better…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-08 Bero Roos

In this article we recover the distribution function (and possible density) of an arbitrary random variable that is subject to an additive measurement error. This problem is also known as deconvolution and has a long tradition in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-07 Henrik Kaiser

This paper investigates the approximation of Gaussian random variables in Banach spaces, focusing on the high-probability bounds for the approximation of Gaussian random variables using finitely many observations. We derive non-asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-28 Daniel Winkle , Ingo Steinwart , Bernard Haasdonk

Given a set of independent Poisson random variables with common mean, we study the distribution of their maximum and obtain an accurate asymptotic formula to locate the most probable value of the maximum. We verify our analytic results with…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-26 K. M. Briggs , L. Song , T. Prellberg

The standard method for the propagation of errors, based on a Taylor series expansion, is approximate and frequently inadequate for realistic problems. A simple and generic technique is described in which the likelihood is constructed…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2015-06-25 J. Swain , L. Taylor

We generalize the Poisson limit theorem to binary functions of random objects whose law is invariant under the action of an amenable group. Examples include stationary random fields, exchangeable sequences, and exchangeable graphs. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-19 Haoyu Ye , Peter Orbanz , Morgane Austern

The general relationship between an arbitrary frequency distribution and the expectation value of the frequency distributions of its samples is esablished. A set of combinations of expectation values whose value does not in general depend…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-10-05 Paolo Rossi

We consider a limit theorem for the distribution of a r.v. $Y_n:=argmax {\{X_i, i= 1,..., n\}},$ where $X_i'$s are independent continuous non-negative random variables. The r.v.'s $\{X_i, i=1,..., n\}$, may be interpreted as the gains of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-07 Youri Davydov , Vladimir Rotar

Let $X$ be a $d$-dimensional random vector and $X_\theta$ its projection onto the span of a set of orthonormal vectors $\{\theta_1,...,\theta_k\}$. Conditions on the distribution of $X$ are given such that if $\theta$ is chosen according to…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-16 Elizabeth Meckes

We present novel bounds for estimating discrete probability distributions under the $\ell_\infty$ norm. These are nearly optimal in various precise senses, including a kind of instance-optimality. Our data-dependent convergence guarantees…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Aryeh Kontorovich , Amichai Painsky

We derive an asymptotic expansion for the distribution of a compound sum of independent random variables, all having the same light-tailed subexponential distribution. The examples of a Poisson and geometric number of summands serve as an…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ph . Barbe , W. P. McCormick , C. Zhang

The rules of a game of dice are extended to a "hyper-die" with $n\in\mathbb{N}$ equally probable faces, numbered from 1 to $n$. We derive recursive and explicit expressions for the probability mass function and the cumulative distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-30 Rudolf Frühwirth , Roman Malina , Winfried Mitaroff

Expectation Propagation is a very popular algorithm for variational inference, but comes with few theoretical guarantees. In this article, we prove that the approximation errors made by EP can be bounded. Our bounds have an asymptotic…

Computation · Statistics 2016-01-12 Guillaume P Dehaene , Simon Barthelmé

Let $\bX=\{X_n\}_{n\geq 1}$ and $\bY=\{Y_n\}_{n\geq 1}$ be two independent random sequences. We obtain rates of convergence to the normal law of randomly weighted self-normalized sums $$ \psi_n(\bX,\bY)=\sum_{i=1}^nX_iY_i/V_n,\quad…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-28 Siegfried Hoermann , Yvik Swan

E-variables are a relatively new approach for testing statistical hypotheses that has been experiencing major development during the last several years. In this paper we introduce the method of e-variable-approximability and use it to…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Georgii Potapov , Yuri Kalnishkan

We propose a fairly simple and natural extension of Stollmann's lemma to correlated random variables. This extension allows (just as the original Stollmann's lemma does) to obtain Wegner-type estimates even in some problems of spectral…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Victor Tchoulaevski

In this paper we develop the convergence theory of simultaneous, inhomogeneous Diophantine approximation on manifolds. A consequence of our main result is that if the manifold $M \subset \mathbb{R}^n$ is of dimension strictly greater than…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-17 Victor Beresnevich , Robert C. Vaughan , Sanju Velani , Evgeniy Zorin