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This paper formulates a model of utility for a continuous time framework that captures the decision-maker's concern with ambiguity about both volatility and drift. Corresponding extensions of some basic results in asset pricing theory are…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-22 Larry G. Epstein , Shaolin Ji

Rapid reliability assessment of transportation networks can enhance preparedness, risk mitigation, and response management procedures related to these systems. Network reliability analysis commonly considers network-level performance and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-26 Tong Liu , Hadi Meidani

Grasping the historical volatility of stock market indices and accurately estimating are two of the major focuses of those involved in the financial securities industry and derivative instruments pricing. This paper presents the results of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-04 Claudiu Vinte , Marcel Ausloos , Titus Felix Furtuna

Optimal B-robust estimate is constructed for multidimensional parameter in drift coefficient of diffusion type process with small noise. Optimal mean-variance robust (optimal V -robust) trading strategy is find to hedge in mean-variance…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 N. Lazrieva , T. Toronjadze

The article shows a bridge representation for the joint density of a system of stochastic processes consisting of a Brownian motion with drift coupled with a correlated fractional Brownian motion with drift. As a result, a small time…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-12 Jiro Akahori , Xiaoming Song , Tai-Ho Wang

We consider a multidimensional It\^o process $Y=(Y_t)_{t\in[0,T]}$ with some unknown drift coefficient process $b_t$ and volatility coefficient $\sigma(X_t,\theta)$ with covariate process $X=(X_t)_{t\in[0,T]}$, the function…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-18 Stefano M. Iacus , Nakahiro Yoshida

We investigate the predictability of several range-based stock volatility estimators, and compare them to the standard close-to-close estimator which is most commonly acknowledged as the volatility. The patterns of volatility changes are…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-21 Gábor Petneházi , József Gáll

We introduce a stochastic price model where, together with a random component, a moving average of logarithmic prices contributes to the price formation. Our model is tested against financial datasets, showing an extremely good agreement…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-02 R. Baviera , M. Pasquini , J. Raboanary , M. Serva

We introduce a new variational estimator for the intensity function of an inhomogeneous spatial point process with points in the $d$-dimensional Euclidean space and observed within a bounded region. The variational estimator applies in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-02 Jean-François Coeurjolly , Jesper Møller

We study the three-dimensional hyper-dissipative Navier-Stokes system in the near-critical regime below the Lions threshold. Leveraging a quantified analyticity-sparseness gap, we introduce a time-weighted bridge inequality across…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-12-04 Moses Patson Phiri

In this paper, a new way to integrate volatility information for estimating value at risk (VaR) and conditional value at risk (CVaR) of a portfolio is suggested. The new method is developed from the perspective of Bayesian statistics and it…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-04 Taras Bodnar , Vilhelm Niklasson , Erik Thorsén

This work develops a quantitative homogenization theory for random suspensions of rigid particles in a steady Stokes flow, and completes recent qualitative results. More precisely, we establish a large-scale regularity theory for this…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-03-12 Mitia Duerinckx , Antoine Gloria

The stochastic volatility model is one of volatility models which infer latent volatility of asset returns. The Bayesian inference of the stochastic volatility (SV) model is performed by the hybrid Monte Carlo (HMC) algorithm which is…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-06 Tetsuya Takaishi

In this paper we investigate general linear stochastic volatility models with correlated Brownian noises. In such models the asset price satisfies a linear SDE with coefficient of linearity being the volatility process. This class contains…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-16 Jacek Jakubowski , Maciej Wisniewolski

This paper studies attack-resilient estimation of a class of switched nonlinear systems subject to stochastic noises. The systems are threatened by both of signal attacks and switching attacks. The problem is formulated as the joint…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-05-09 Hunmin Kim , Pinyao Guo , Minghui Zhu , Peng Liu

We introduce a novel covariance estimator for portfolio selection that adapts to the non-stationary or persistent heteroskedastic environments of financial time series by employing exponentially weighted averages and nonlinearly shrinking…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-23 Vincent Tan , Stefan Zohren

We propose the use of statistical emulators for the purpose of valuing mortality-linked contracts in stochastic mortality models. Such models typically require (nested) evaluation of expected values of nonlinear functionals of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-09-15 James Risk , Michael Ludkovski

The aim of this work is to introduce a new stochastic volatility model for equity derivatives. To overcome some of the well-known problems of the Heston model, and more generally of the affine models, we define a new specification for the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-19 José Da Fonseca , Claude Martini

Multivariate stochastic volatility models with skew distributions are proposed. Exploiting Cholesky stochastic volatility modeling, univariate stochastic volatility processes with leverage effect and generalized hyperbolic skew…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-12-21 Jouchi Nakajima

In this paper the valuation problem of a European call option in presence of both stochastic volatility and transaction costs is considered. In the limit of small transaction costs and fast mean reversion, an asymptotic expression for the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-11-20 R. E. Caflisch , G. Gambino , M. Sammartino , C. Sgarra