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Related papers: Oscillations in SIRS model with distributed delays

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We present an epidemiological compartment model, SAIR(S), that explicitly captures the dynamics of asymptomatic infected individuals in an epidemic spread process. We first present a group model and then discuss networked versions. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-23 Xiaoqi Bi , Carolyn L. Beck

This research paper introduces an SQIR-V epidemic model to investigate the transmission of infectious diseases. Particular attention is paid to the roles of vaccination and quarantine (incorporating physical distancing interventions) in…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-26 Mehdi Bouziane , Silia Bercisse , Abdennasser Chekroun , Simon Girel

We consider a stochastic Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered (SEIR) epidemiological model. Through the use of a normal form coordinate transform, we are able to analytically derive the stochastic center manifold along with the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-05-13 Eric Forgoston , Lora Billings , Ira B. Schwartz

The paper discusses linear fractional representations of parameter-dependent nonlinear systems with dynamics defined by real rational nonlinearities and a finite set of point delays. The global asymptotic stability is investigated via…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2008-03-27 M. De la Sen

This paper analyses the dynamics of infectious disease with a concurrent spread of disease awareness. The model includes local awareness due to contacts with aware individuals, as well as global awareness due to reported cases of infection…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-21 G. O. Agaba , Y. N. Kyrychko , K. B. Blyuss

The spreading of epidemics is very much determined by the structure of the contact network, which may be impacted by the mobility dynamics of the individuals themselves. In confined scenarios where a small, closed population spends most of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-05-09 Clara Granell , Peter J. Mucha

We study the classic Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model for the spread of an infectious disease. In this stochastic process, there are two competing mechanism: infection and recovery. Susceptible individuals may contract the disease…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-05-08 E. Ben-Naim , P. L. Krapivsky

Many disease models focus on characterizing the underlying transmission mechanism but make simple, possibly naive assumptions about how infections are reported. In this note, we use a simple deterministic Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR)…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-11-28 Sang Woo Park , Benjamin M. Bolker

Natural fluctuations have played a crucial role in affecting the dynamics of pervasive diseases such as the coronavirus. Examining the effects of irregular unsettling disturbances on epidemic models is important for understanding these…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-12-17 Daniel Tesfay , Almaz Tesfay , James Brannan

We investigate the long-time dynamics of a SIR epidemic model in the case of a population of pathogens infecting a homogeneous host population. The pathogen population is structured by a genotypic variable. When the initial mass of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-06-05 Jean-Baptiste Burie , Arnaud Ducrot , Quentin Griette

We study the effects of a probabilistic refractory period in the collective behavior of coupled discrete-time excitable cells (SIRS-like cellular automata). Using mean-field analysis and simulations, we show that a synchronized phase with…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-18 Fernando Rozenblit , Mauro Copelli

We introduce two time-delay models of metabolic oscillations in yeast cells. Our model tests a hypothesis that the oscillations occur as multiple pathways share a limited resource which we equate to the number of available ribosomes. We…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-12-07 Max M. Chumley , Firas A. Khasawneh , Andreas Otto , Tomas Gedeon

The global pandemic due to the outbreak of COVID-19 ravages the whole world for more than two years in which all the countries are suffering a lot since December 2019. In order to control this ongoing waves of epidemiological infections,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-11 Kalpita Ghosh , Asim Kumar Ghosh

Inspired by the observation of a distributed time delay in the nonlinear response of an optical resonator, we investigate the effects of a similar delay on a noise-driven mechanical oscillator. For a delay time that is commensurate with the…

Optics · Physics 2022-02-16 K. J. H. Peters , S. R. K. Rodriguez

We study delay-independent stability in nonlinear models with a distributed delay which have a positive equilibrium. Such models frequently occur in population dynamics and other applications. In particular, we construct a relevant…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2009-01-12 Elena Braverman , Sergey Zhukovskiy

We have designed a computational model of a virus spread near the outbreak threshold. Using computer simulation we studied the Susceptible - Infected - Recovered (SIR) process where in consequence of a force of habit that is manifested by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-23 Jozef Černák

Spatially explicit models have been widely used in today's mathematical ecology and epidemiology to study persistence and extinction of populations as well as their spatial patterns. Here we extend the earlier work--static dispersal between…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-07-01 Quan-Xing Liu , Rong-Hua Wang , Zhen Jin

The Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model is the cornerstone of epidemiological models. However, this specification depends on two parameters only, which implies a lack of flexibility and the difficulty to replicate the volatile…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-17 Christian Gourieroux , Yang Lu

A comparative stochastic and deterministic study of a family of SEIRS epidemic dynamic models for malaria is presented. The family type is determined by the qualitative behavior of the nonlinear incidence rates of the disease. Furthermore,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-09-12 Divine Wanduku

We consider state and parameter estimation for compartmental models having both time-varying and time-invariant parameters. Though the described Bayesian computational framework is general, we look at a specific application to the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Brandon Robinson , Philippe Bisaillon , Jodi D. Edwards , Tetyana Kendzerska , Mohammad Khalil , Dominique Poirel , Abhijit Sarkar