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Related papers: Oscillations in SIRS model with distributed delays

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As the outbreak of COVID-19 enters its third year, we have now enough data to analyse the behavior of the pandemic with mathematical models over a long period of time. The pandemic alternates periods of high and low infections, in a way…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-17 Alex Viguerie , Margherita Carletti , Alessandro Veneziani , Guido Silvestri

This paper deals with a new epidemiological model of SIRS with stochastic perturbations. The primary objective is to establish the existence of a unique non-negative nonlocal solution. Using the basic reproduction number $\mathscr{R}_0$…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-10 Achraf Zinihi , Moulay Rchid Sidi Ammi , Matthias Ehrhardt

We show that the simplest stochastic epidemiological models with spatial correlations exhibit two types of oscillatory behaviour in the endemic phase. In a large parameter range, the oscillations are due to resonant amplification of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-06-02 Ganna Rozhnova , Ana Nunes

Assuming a general distribution for the sojourn time in the in- fectious class, we consider an SIS type epidemic model formulated as a scalar integral equation. We prove that the endemic equilibrium of the model is globally asymptotically…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-04-14 Yukihiko Nakata , Gergely Rost

We propose an integral model describing an epidemic of an infectious disease. The model is behavioural in the sense that the constitutive law for the force of infection includes a distributed delay, called "information index", that…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-05-31 Bruno Buonomo , Eleonora Messina , Claudia Panico , Antonia Vecchio

Infectious diseases often involve multiple strains that interact through the immune response generated after an infection. This study investigates the conditions under which a two-strain epidemic model with partial cross-immunity can lead…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-11 Nir Gavish

In this paper, we consider a compartmental SIRS epidemic model with asymptomatic infection and seasonal succession, which is a periodic discontinuous differential system. The basic reproduction number $\mathcal{R}_0$ is defined and valuated…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-08-15 Yilei Tang , Dongmei Xiao , Weinian Zhang , Di Zhu

This paper presents an SIR epidemic model with two different types of perturbations: white and L\'evy noises. We consecrate to develop a mathematical method to obtain the asymptotic properties of the perturbed model. We use the comparison…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-21 Driss Kiouach , Yassine Sabbar

We propose an extension of the classical susceptible infectious recovered (SIR) model that incorporates the effects of spatial propagation of an epidemic through a small number of additional compartments. The model is designed to capture…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-02 M. Soledad Aronna , Mariana Bergonzi , Ernesto Kofman

In this article a space-dependent epidemic model equipped with a constant latency period is examined. We construct a delay partial integro-differential equation and show that its solution possesses some biologically reasonable features. We…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-08-02 B. Takács , I. Faragó , R. Horváth , D. Repovš

We consider in this paper a general SEIRS model describing the dynamics of an infectious disease including latency, waning immunity and infection-induced mortality. We derive an infinite system of differential equations that provides an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-26 Marcel Fang , Pierre-Alexandre Bliman

The main purpose of this paper is to study the local dynamics and bifurcations of a discrete-time SIR epidemiological model. The existence and stability of disease-free and endemic fixed points are investigated along with a fairly complete…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-08-05 Johan Hallberg Szabadváry , Yishao Zhou

The problems of observability and identifiability have been of great interest as previous steps to estimating parameters and initial conditions of dynamical systems to which some known data (observations) are associated. While most works…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-06-16 Alicja B Kubik , Benjamin Ivorra , Alain Rapaport , Ángel M Ramos

This paper is concerned with a stochastic model for the spread of an SEIR (susceptible -> exposed (=latent) -> infective -> removed) epidemic with a contact tracing scheme, in which removed individuals may name some of their infectious…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-08 Frank G Ball , Edward S Knock , Philip D O'Neill

A network of noisy bistable elements with global time-delayed couplings is considered. A dichotomous mean field model has recently been developed describing the collective dynamics in such systems with uniform time delays near the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Daniel Huber , Lev Tsimring

TThis paper presents the dynamics of mosquitoes and humans, with general nonlinear incidence rate and multiple distributed delays for the disease. The model is a SEIRS system of delay differential equations. The normalized dimensionless…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-05-05 Divine Wanduku

Delayed processes are ubiquitous in biological systems and are often characterized by delay differential equations (DDEs) and their extension to include stochastic effects. DDEs do not explicitly incorporate intermediate states associated…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-09-28 Jingchen Feng , Stuart Sevier , Bin Huang , Dongya Jia , Herbert Levine

In this article we have successfully obtained an exact solution of a particular case of SIR and SIS epidemic models given by Kermack and Mckendrick [1] for constant population, which are described by coupled nonlinear differential…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2010-12-23 G. Shabbir , H. Khan , M. A. Sadiq

Predicting Pandemic evolution involves complex modeling challenges, often requiring detailed discrete mathematics executed on large volumes of epidemiological data. Differential equations have the advantage of offering smooth, well-behaved…

Biological Physics · Physics 2023-02-28 Clara Bender , Abhimanyu Ghosh , Hamed Vakili , Preetam Ghosh , Avik W. Ghosh

Linear scalar differential equations with distributed delays appear in the study of the local stability of nonlinear differential equations with feedback, which are common in biology and physics. Negative feedback loops tend to promote…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-05-29 Samuel Bernard , Fabien Crauste