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Related papers: Quantifying Uncertainties in Complex Systems

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Complex systems are sometimes subject to non Gaussian alpha stable Levy fluctuations. A new method is devised to estimate this uncertain parameter and other system parameters, using observations on either mean exit time or escape…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-06-04 Ting Gao , Jinqiao Duan

Complex systems are characterized by a huge number of degrees of freedom often interacting in a non-linear manner. In many cases macroscopic states, however, can be characterized by a small number of order parameters that obey stochastic…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-02-20 David Kleinhans

We investigate the well-posedness of stochastic differential equations driven by fractional Brownian motion, focusing on the long-range dependent case $H \in (\frac{1}{2}, 1)$. While existing results on regularization by such noise…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-01 Maximilian Buthenhoff , Ercan Sönmez

We consider the problem of Hurst index estimation for solutions of stochastic differential equations driven by an additive fractional Brownian motion. Using techniques of the Malliavin calculus, we analyze the asymptotic behavior of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-07 Jan Gairing , Peter Imkeller , Radomyra Shevchenko , Ciprian A. Tudor

A 2D Stochastic incompressible non-Newtonian fluids driven by fractional Bronwnian motion with Hurst parameter $H \in (1/2,1)$ is studied. The Wiener-type stochastic integrals are introduced for infinite-dimensional fractional Brownian…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2011-07-15 Jin Li , Jianhua Huang

Some probabilistic aspects of the number variance statistic are investigated. Infinite systems of independent Brownian motions and symmetric alpha-stable processes are used to construct new examples of processes which exhibit both divergent…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ben Hambly , Liza Jones

We estimate the Hurst parameter $H$ of a fractional Brownian motion from discrete noisy data observed along a high frequency sampling scheme. The presence of systematic experimental noise makes recovery of $H$ more difficult since relevant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-18 Arnaud Gloter , Marc Hoffmann

Stochastic inverse problems considered in this article consist of estimating the probability distributions of intrinsically random inputs of computer models. These estimations are based on observable outputs affected by model noise, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-17 Nicolas Bousquet , Mélanie Blazère , Thomas Cerbelaud

We study the problem of parameter estimation for the homogenization limit of multiscale systems involving fractional dynamics. In the case of stochastic multiscale systems driven by Brownian motion, it has been shown that in order for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-14 Pablo Ramses Alonso-Martin , Horatio Boedihardjo , Anastasia Papavasiliou

Given a fractional Brownian motion \,\,$(B_{t}^{H})_{t\geq 0}$,\, with Hurst parameter \,$> 1/2$\,\,we study the properties of all solutions of \,\,: {equation} X_{t}=B_{t}^{H}+\int_0^t X_{u}d\mu(u), \;\; 0\leq t\leq 1{equation} A different…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-20 Mamadou Abdoul Diop , Youssef Ouknine

In this paper, we consider discrete-time non-linear stochastic dynamical systems with additive process noise in which both the initial state and noise distributions are uncertain. Our goal is to quantify how the uncertainty in these…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-19 Steven Adams , Eduardo Figueiredo , Luca Laurenti

This paper is devoted to the synchronization of stochastic differential equations driven by the linear multiplicative fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H\in(\frac{1}{2},1)$. We firstly prove that the equation has a unique…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-12 Wei Wei , Hongjun Gao , Qiyong Cao

In this paper we prove a viability result for multidimensional, time dependent, stochastic differential equations driven by fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter1/2 < H < 1, using pathwise approach. The sufficient condition is…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2008-09-01 Ioana Ciotir , Aurel Rascanu

An assumption of smooth response to small parameter changes, of statistics or long-time averages of a chaotic system, is generally made in the field of sensitivity analysis, and the parametric derivatives of statistical quantities are…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2021-06-22 Adam A. Sliwiak , Nisha Chandramoorthy , Qiqi Wang

Fractional calculus provides a rigorous mathematical framework to describe anomalous stochastic processes by generalizing the notion of classical differential equations to their fractional-order counterparts. By introducing the fractional…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-06-04 Ehsan Kharazmi , Mohsen Zayernouri

In this article we study a class of singular stochastic differential equations driven by fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter H<1/2. The solution is constructed as the limit of a family of approximating processes, and its…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Xiaoming Song , Alexander Tortoriello

We propose a novel iterative algorithm for estimating a deterministic but unknown parameter vector in the presence of model uncertainties. This iterative algorithm is based on a system model where an overall noise term describes both, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-27 Oliver Lang , Michael Lunglmayr , Mario Huemer

In this paper, we establish a large deviation principle for stochastic differential delay equations driven by both Brownian motions and Poisson random measures. The weak convergence method plays an important role.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-01 Yumeng Li , Ran Wang , Nian Yao , Shuguang Zhang

In this article, we employ a collection of stochastic differential equations with drift and diffusion coefficients approximated by neural networks to predict the trend of chaotic time series which has big jump properties. Our contributions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-04 Luxuan Yang , Ting Gao , Yubin Lu , Jinqiao Duan , Tao Liu

Uncertainty quantification is a primary challenge for reliable modeling and simulation of complex stochastic dynamics. Such problems are typically plagued with incomplete information that may enter as uncertainty in the model parameters, or…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-15 Paul Dupuis , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Yannis Pantazis , Petr Plechac