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In my PhD thesis, we elaborate upon Bayesian changepoint analysis, whereby our focus is on three big topics: approximate sampling via MCMC, exact inference and uncertainty quantification. Besides, modeling matters are discussed in an…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-19 Tobias Siems

For wideband spectrum sensing, compressive sensing has been proposed as a solution to speed up the high dimensional signals sensing and reduce the computational complexity. Compressive sensing consists of acquiring the essential information…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-02-13 Fatima Salahdine , Naima Kaabouch , Hassan El Ghazi

In this note, we shortly survey some recent approaches on the approximation of the Bayes factor used in Bayesian hypothesis testing and in Bayesian model choice. In particular, we reassess importance sampling, harmonic mean sampling, and…

Computation · Statistics 2015-05-13 Christian P. Robert , Darren Wraith

A quality-Bayesian approach, combining the direct sampling method and the Bayesian inversion, is proposed to reconstruct the locations and intensities of the unknown acoustic sources using partial data. First, we extend the direct sampling…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-10 Zhaoxing Li , Yanfang Liu , Jiguang Sun , Liwei Xu

We introduce a data assimilation method to estimate model parameters with observations of passive tracers by directly assimilating Lagrangian Coherent Structures. Our approach differs from the usual Lagrangian Data Assimilation approach,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-11-22 John Maclean , Naratip Santitissadeekorn , Christopher KRT Jones

This paper presents the probability hypothesis density (PHD) filter for sets of trajectories: the trajectory probability density (TPHD) filter. The TPHD filter is capable of estimating trajectories in a principled way without requiring to…

Applications · Statistics 2018-09-14 Ángel F. García-Fernández , Lennart Svensson

In this paper, we consider the problem of recovering compressively sensed ultrasound images. We build on prior work, and consider a number of existing approaches that we consider to be the state-of-the-art. The methods we consider take…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-11-06 Richard Porter , Vladislav Tadic , Alin Achim

We address the problem of providing inference from a Bayesian perspective for parameters selected after viewing the data. We present a Bayesian framework for providing inference for selected parameters, based on the observation that…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-13 Daniel Yekutieli

In this study, we analyzed a continuous data assimilation scheme applied on a double-diffusive natural convection model. The algorithm is introduced with a first order backward Euler time scheme along with a finite element discretization in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-06 Mine Akbas , Aytekin Cibik

We propose a novel approach to approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) that seeks to cater for possible misspecification of the assumed model. This new approach can be equally applied to rejection-based ABC and to popular regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-11 David T. Frazier , Christopher Drovandi , Ruben Loaiza-Maya

Data assimilation algorithms integrate prior information from numerical model simulations with observed data. Ensemble-based filters, regarded as state-of-the-art, are widely employed for large-scale estimation tasks in disciplines such as…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Iris Rammelmüller , Gottfried Hastermann , Jana de Wiljes

We consider the problem of conditioning a geological process-based computer simulation, which produces basin models by simulating transport and deposition of sediments, to data. Emphasising uncertainty quantification, we frame this as a…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-22 Jacob Skauvold , Jo Eidsvik

We demonstrate the use of automatic Bayesian inference for the analysis of LISA data sets. In particular we describe a new automatic Reversible Jump Markov Chain Monte Carlo method to evaluate the posterior probability density functions of…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2009-11-11 Alexander Stroeer , Jonathan Gair , Alberto Vecchio

When constructing a Bayesian Machine Learning model, we might be faced with multiple different prior distributions and thus are required to properly consider them in a sensible manner in our model. While this situation is reasonably well…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-20 Sarem Seitz

Assimilation of continuously streamed monitored data is an essential component of a digital twin; the assimilated data are used to ensure the digital twin is a true representation of the monitored system. One way this is achieved is by…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-05-11 Rebecca Ward , Ruchi Choudhary , Alastair Gregory , Melanie Jans-Singh , Mark Girolami

This paper proposes an extension to the classical 3D variational data assimilation approach by explicitly incorporating as a prior information, the transform-domain sparsity observed in a large class of geophysical signals. In particular,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-07-03 Ardeshir M. Ebtehaj , Efi Foufoula-Georgiou , Sara Q. Zhang , Arthur Y. Hou

In this paper, a Bayesian method for piecewise regression is adapted to handle counting processes data distributed as Poisson. A numerical code in Mathematica is developed and tested analyzing simulated data. The resulting method is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-02-21 Diego Sevilla

Approximate Bayesian computation performs approximate inference for models where likelihood computations are expensive or impossible. Instead simulations from the model are performed for various parameter values and accepted if they are…

Computation · Statistics 2015-12-16 Dennis Prangle

A brief survey of the author and collaborators' work in compressive sensing applications to continuous imaging models.

Optics · Physics 2016-08-02 Albert Fannjiang

It is shown that a simple Dirichlet process mixture of multivariate normals offers Bayesian density estimation with adaptive posterior convergence rates. Toward this, a novel sieve for non-parametric mixture densities is explored, and its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-18 Surya T. Tokdar