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Making calibrated online predictions is a central challenge in modern AI systems. Much of the existing literature focuses on fully adversarial environments where outcomes may be arbitrary, leading to conservative algorithms that can perform…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Junyan Liu , Haipeng Luo , Lillian J. Ratliff

This paper introduces a novel model-based adaptive shared control to allow for the identification and design challenge for shared-control systems, in which humans and automation share control tasks. The main challenge is the adaptive…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-08 Balint Varga

Conditional McKean-Vlasov control problems involve controlling McKean-Vlasov diffusions where the interaction occurs through the law of the state process conditionally on it staying in a domain. Introduced by Lions in his 2016 lectures at…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-09 René Carmona , Ludovic Tangpi , Kaiwen Zhang

Throughout the cognitive-science literature, there is widespread agreement that decision-making agents operating in the real world do so under limited information-processing capabilities and without access to unbounded cognitive or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-01 Dilip Arumugam , Mark K. Ho , Noah D. Goodman , Benjamin Van Roy

In several applications such as databases, planning, and sensor networks, parameters such as selectivity, load, or sensed values are known only with some associated uncertainty. The performance of such a system (as captured by some…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2010-01-28 Sudipto Guha , Kamesh Munagala

We reformulate a class of non-linear stochastic optimal control problems introduced by Todorov (2007) as a Kullback-Leibler (KL) minimization problem. As a result, the optimal control computation reduces to an inference computation and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-01-19 B. Kappen , V. Gomez , M. Opper

We propose a novel numerical method for solving inverse problems subject to impulsive noises which possibly contain a large number of outliers. The approach is of Bayesian type, and it exploits a heavy-tailed t distribution for data noise…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-30 Bangti Jin

Robustness of decision rules to shifts in the data-generating process is crucial to the successful deployment of decision-making systems. Such shifts can be viewed as interventions on a causal graph, which capture (possibly hypothetical)…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-05-20 Benjie Wang , Clare Lyle , Marta Kwiatkowska

The Darwinian paradigm of biological evolution is based on the separability of the variation and selection processes. As a result, the population thinking had always been an integral part of the Darwinian approach. I propose an alternative…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Vasily Ogryzko

In this work, we broadly connect kernel-based filtering (e.g. approaches such as the bilateral filters and nonlocal means, but also many more) with general variational formulations of Bayesian regularized least squares, and the related…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-05-01 Frank Ong , Peyman Milanfar , Pascal Getreuer

We provide a rigorous analysis of training by variational inference (VI) of Bayesian neural networks in the two-layer and infinite-width case. We consider a regression problem with a regularized evidence lower bound (ELBO) which is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-12 Arnaud Descours , Tom Huix , Arnaud Guillin , Manon Michel , Éric Moulines , Boris Nectoux

Living organisms process information to interact and adapt to their changing environment with the goal of finding food, mates or averting hazards. The structure of their niche has profound repercussions by both selecting their internal…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-06-07 Hannes Hornischer , Stephan Herminghaus , Marco G. Mazza

Dropout, a stochastic regularisation technique for training of neural networks, has recently been reinterpreted as a specific type of approximate inference algorithm for Bayesian neural networks. The main contribution of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-06 Jiri Hron , Alexander G. de G. Matthews , Zoubin Ghahramani

Adaptive control is a control method that has an adaptation mechanism that reacts to model uncertainties. The control method is used to realized synchronization of a new chaotic system in a unidirectional master-slave topology. The master…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-04 Christian Nwachioma

Recently the adaption problem of Information-Based Complexity (IBC) for linear problems in the randomized setting was solved in Heinrich (J. Complexity 82, 2024, 101821). Several papers treating further aspects of this problem followed.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-01-26 Stefan Heinrich

This paper addresses the problem of steering an initial probability distribution to a target probability distribution through a deterministic or stochastic linear control system. Our proposed approach is inspired by the flow matching…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-15 Yuhang Mei , Mohammad Al-Jarrah , Amirhossein Taghvaei , Yongxin Chen

Here we focus on the description of the mechanisms behind the process of information aggregation and decision making, a basic step to understand emergent phenomena in society, such as trends, information spreading or the wisdom of crowds.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-04-15 Víctor M. Eguíluz , N. Masuda , J. Fernández-Gracia

Bayesian optimization is a methodology to optimize black-box functions. Traditionally, it focuses on the setting where you can arbitrarily query the search space. However, many real-life problems do not offer this flexibility; in…

In this work, an adaptive predictive control scheme for linear systems with unknown parameters and bounded additive disturbances is proposed. In contrast to related adaptive control approaches that robustly consider the parametric…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-03 Johannes Teutsch , Christopher Narr , Sebastian Kerz , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

In social learning, a network of agents assigns probability scores (beliefs) to some hypotheses of interest, which rule the generation of local streaming data observed by each agent. Belief formation takes place by means of an iterative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Marco Carpentiero , Virginia Bordignon , Vincenzo Matta , Ali H. Sayed