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We study principal-agent problems in which a principal commits to an outcome-dependent payment scheme (a.k.a. contract) so as to induce an agent to take a costly, unobservable action. We relax the assumption that the principal perfectly…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Matteo Castiglioni , Alberto Marchesi , Nicola Gatti

This paper deals with the problem of adaptive output regulation for multivariable nonlinear systems by presenting a learning-based adaptive internal model-based design strategy. The approach builds on the recently proposed adaptive internal…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-31 Lorenzo Gentilini , Michelangelo Bin , Lorenzo Marconi

Controlling evolutionary game-theoretic dynamics is a problem of paramount importance for the systems and control community, with several applications spanning from social science to engineering. Here, we study a population of individuals…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-22 Lorenzo Zino , Mengbin Ye , Alessandro Rizzo , Giuseppe Carlo Calafiore

Computer models, aiming at simulating a complex real system, are often calibrated in the light of data to improve performance. Standard calibration methods assume that the optimal values of calibration parameters are invariant to the model…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-01 Georgios Karagiannis , Bledar A. Konomi , Guang Lin

The paper presents a machine learning approach to design digital interfaces that can dynamically adapt to different users and usage strategies. The algorithm uses Bayesian statistics to model users' browsing behavior, focusing on their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Eric Petit , Denis Chêne

Prediction is a central task of statistics and machine learning, yet many inferential settings provide only partial information, typically in the form of moment constraints or estimating equations. We develop a finite, fully Bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-20 Nicholas G. Polson , Daniel Zantedeschi

Adaptive networks have the capability to pursue solutions of global stochastic optimization problems by relying only on local interactions within neighborhoods. The diffusion of information through repeated interactions allows for globally…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Stefan Vlaski , Ali H. Sayed

Distributed adaptive filtering has been considered as an effective approach for data processing and estimation over distributed networks. Most existing distributed adaptive filtering algorithms focus on designing different information…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-12 Chunxiao Jiang , Yan Chen , K. J. Ray Liu

Bayesian filtering deals with computing the posterior distribution of the state of a stochastic dynamic system given noisy observations. In this paper, motivated by applications in counter-adversarial systems, we consider the following…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-28 Robert Mattila , Cristian R. Rojas , Vikram Krishnamurthy , Bo Wahlberg

The principles of statistical mechanics and information theory play an important role in learning and have inspired both theory and the design of numerous machine learning algorithms. The new aspect in this paper is a focus on integrating…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-13 Susanne Still

The paper deals with the problem of output regulation of nonlinear systems by presenting a learning-based adaptive internal model-based design strategy. We borrow from the adaptive internal model design technique recently proposed in [1]…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-27 Lorenzo Gentilini , Michelangelo Bin , Lorenzo Marconi

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) enables statistical inference in simulator-based models whose likelihoods are difficult to calculate but easy to simulate from. ABC constructs a kernel-type approximation to the posterior distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Yuexi Wang , Tetsuya Kaji , Veronika Ročková

This paper develops a Bayesian mechanics for adaptive systems. Firstly, we model the interface between a system and its environment with a Markov blanket. This affords conditions under which states internal to the blanket encode information…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2021-12-22 Lancelot Da Costa , Karl Friston , Conor Heins , Grigorios A. Pavliotis

A network of agents attempt to learn some unknown state of the world drawn by nature from a finite set. Agents observe private signals conditioned on the true state, and form beliefs about the unknown state accordingly. Each agent may face…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-13 Shahin Shahrampour , Mohammad Amin Rahimian , Ali Jadbabaie

In this paper the problem of learning appropriate bias for an environment of related tasks is examined from a Bayesian perspective. The environment of related tasks is shown to be naturally modelled by the concept of an {\em objective}…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-15 Jonathan Baxter

Many safety-critical real-world problems, such as autonomous driving and collaborative robots, are of a distributed multi-agent nature. To optimize the performance of these systems while ensuring safety, we can cast them as distributed…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-20 Abdullah Tokmak , Thomas B. Schön , Dominik Baumann

Current LLM agents operate under an implicit but universal assumption: execution is a transaction -- the user submits a request, the agent works in isolation, and only upon completion does the dialogue resume. This forces users into a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Zhiyuan Zhai , Ming Li , Xin Wang

We study learning dynamics induced by strategic agents who repeatedly play a game with an unknown payoff-relevant parameter. In each step, an information system estimates a belief distribution of the parameter based on the players'…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-20 Manxi Wu , Saurabh Amin , Asuman Ozdaglar

In this work, we present a new perspective on the origin and interpretation of adaptive filters. By applying Bayesian principles of recursive inference from the state-space model and using a series of simplifications regarding the structure…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Leszek Szczecinski , Jacob Benesty , Eduardo Vinicius Kuhn

This study proposes the novel Bayesian and inverse Bayesian (BIB) inference framework that incorporates symmetry bias into the Bayesian updating process to perform both conventional and inverse Bayesian updates concurrently. Conventional…