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In the presence of modeling errors, the mainstream Bayesian methods seldom give a realistic account of uncertainties as they commonly underestimate the inherent variability of parameters. This problem is not due to any misconception in the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-19 Omid Sedehi , Costas Papadimitriou , Lambros S. Katafygiotis

The functional linear regression model is a common tool to determine the relationship between a scalar outcome and a functional predictor seen as a function of time. This paper focuses on the Bayesian estimation of the support of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-09 Paul-Marie Grollemund , Christophe Abraham , Meïli Baragatti , Pierre Pudlo

This paper proposes an extension to the classical 3D variational data assimilation approach by explicitly incorporating as a prior information, the transform-domain sparsity observed in a large class of geophysical signals. In particular,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-07-03 Ardeshir M. Ebtehaj , Efi Foufoula-Georgiou , Sara Q. Zhang , Arthur Y. Hou

In many applications, smooth processes generate data that is recorded under a variety of observation regimes, such as dense, sparse or fragmented observations that are often contaminated with error. The statistical goal of registering and…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-12 James Matuk , Karthik Bharath , Oksana Chkrebtii , Sebastian Kurtek

We introduce a general framework that extends Bayesian inference by allowing the researcher to explicitly encode confidence in each source of uncertainty within the model. This mechanism provides a new handle for model design and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-06 Rafael Mouallem Rosa , Julyan Arbel , Hien Duy Nguyen

We reconstruct the velocity field of incompressible flows given a finite set of measurements. For the spatial approximation, we introduce the Sparse Fourier divergence-free (SFdf) approximation based on a discrete $L^2$ projection. Within…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-10-13 Luis Espath , Dmitry Kabanov , Jonas Kiessling , Raúl Tempone

In deep learning it is common to overparameterize neural networks, that is, to use more parameters than training samples. Quite surprisingly training the neural network via (stochastic) gradient descent leads to models that generalize very…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-30 Hung-Hsu Chou , Johannes Maly , Holger Rauhut

In oversampled adaptive sensing (OAS), noisy measurements are collected in multiple subframes. The sensing basis in each subframe is adapted according to some posterior information exploited from previous measurements. The framework is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-12-11 Ali Bereyhi , Ralf R. Müller

How to estimate heterogeneity, e.g. the effect of some variable differing across observations, is a key question in political science. Methods for doing so make simplifying assumptions about the underlying nature of the heterogeneity to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-31 Max Goplerud

Dam breach models are commonly used to predict outflow hydrographs of potentially failing dams and are key ingredients for evaluating flood risk. In this paper a new dam breach modeling framework is introduced that shall improve the…

Computation · Statistics 2018-06-14 S. J. Peter , A. Siviglia , J. Nagel , S. Marelli , R. M. Boes , D. Vetsch , B. Sudret

In compressed sensing, a small number of linear measurements can be used to reconstruct an unknown signal. Existing approaches leverage assumptions on the structure of these signals, such as sparsity or the availability of a generative…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-02 Manik Dhar , Aditya Grover , Stefano Ermon

We explore various Bayesian approaches to estimate partial Gaussian graphical models. Our hierarchical structures enable to deal with single-output as well as multiple-output linear regressions, in small or high dimension, enforcing either…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-14 Eunice Okome Obiang , Pascal Jézéquel , Frédéric Proïa

A systematic Bayesian framework is developed for physics constrained parameter inference ofstochastic differential equations (SDE) from partial observations. The physical constraints arederived for stochastic climate models but are…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-11-25 Daniel Peavoy , Christian L. E. Franzke , Gareth O. Roberts

The present paper proposes a novel Bayesian, computational strategy in the context of model-based inverse problems in elastostatics. On one hand we attempt to provide probabilistic estimates of the material properties and their spatial…

Computation · Statistics 2015-12-21 P. S. Koutsourelakis

Identifying the governing equations of a nonlinear dynamical system is key to both understanding the physical features of the system and constructing an accurate model of the dynamics that generalizes well beyond the available data. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-16 Peter Y. Lu , Joan Ariño , Marin Soljačić

Learning governing equations allows for deeper understanding of the structure and dynamics of data. We present a random sampling method for learning structured dynamical systems from under-sampled and possibly noisy state-space…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-05-14 Hayden Schaeffer , Giang Tran , Rachel Ward , Linan Zhang

Uncertainty quantification of groundwater (GW) aquifer parameters is critical for efficient management and sustainable extraction of GW resources. These uncertainties are introduced by the data, model, and prior information on the…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-12-08 Amal Alghamdi , Marc Hesse , Jingyi Chen , Umberto Villa , Omar Ghattas

A nonparanormal graphical model is a semiparametric generalization of a Gaussian graphical model for continuous variables in which it is assumed that the variables follow a Gaussian graphical model only after some unknown smooth monotone…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-23 Jami J. Mulgrave , Subhashis Ghosal

This work presents a model reduction approach to the inverse problem in the application of subsurface flows. For the Bayesian inverse problem, the forward model needs to be repeatedly computed for a large number of samples to get a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-04-04 Lijian Jiang , Na Ou

We present an improved Bayesian framework for performing inference of affine transformations of constrained functions. We focus on quadrature with nonnegative functions, a common task in Bayesian inference. We consider constraints on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-28 Henry Chai , Roman Garnett