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We consider a nonlinear polynomial regression model in which we wish to test the null hypothesis of structural stability in the regression parameters against the alternative of a break at an unknown time. We derive the extreme value…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-23 Alexander Aue , Lajos Horváth , Marie Hušková , Piotr Kokoszka

Parametric modeling of non-stationary signals is addressed in this article. We present several models based on the characteristic features of the modeled signal, together with the methods for accurate estimation of model parameters.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-01-30 Pradip Sircar

We discuss nonparametric estimation of the distribution function $G(x)$ of the autoregressive coefficient $a \in (-1,1)$ from a panel of $N$ random-coefficient AR(1) data, each of length $n$, by the empirical distribution function of lag 1…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-06 Remigijus Leipus , Anne Philippe , Vytautė Pilipauskaitė , Donatas Surgailis

This paper presents a kernelized offset-free data-driven predictive control scheme for nonlinear systems. Traditional model-based and data-driven predictive controllers often struggle with inaccurate predictors or persistent disturbances,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-02 Thomas Oliver de Jong , Mircea Lazar

Extending the ideas of [7], this paper aims at providing a kernel based non-parametric estimation of a new class of time varying AR(1) processes (Xt), with local stationarity and periodic features (with a known period T), inducing the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-13 Jean-Marc Bardet , Paul Doukhan

We provide uniform convergence rates for kernel averages on $[0,1]$ under equally-spaced fixed design points of the form $x_{t,T}=t/T,\ t\in\{1,\dotsc, T\},\ T\in\mathbb{N}$. The rates of weak and strong uniform consistency are derived…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Danilo Hiroshi Matsuoka , Hudson da Silva Torrent

A nonparametric family of conditional distributions is introduced, which generalizes conditional exponential families using functional parameters in a suitable RKHS. An algorithm is provided for learning the generalized natural parameter,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-10 Michael Arbel , Arthur Gretton

We propose a novel class of time-varying nonparanormal graphical models, which allows us to model high dimensional heavy-tailed systems and the evolution of their latent network structures. Under this model, we develop statistical tests for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-14 Junwei Lu , Mladen Kolar , Han Liu

The nonparametric problem of detecting existence of an anomalous interval over a one dimensional line network is studied. Nodes corresponding to an anomalous interval (if exists) receive samples generated by a distribution q, which is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-04-11 Shaofeng Zou , Yingbin Liang , H. Vincent Poor

In many remote sensing applications one wants to estimate variables or parameters of interest from observations. When the target variable is available at a resolution that matches the remote sensing observations, standard algorithms such as…

In this paper, we develop a new and effective approach to nonparametric quantile regression that accommodates ultrahigh-dimensional data arising from spatio-temporal processes. This approach proves advantageous in staving off computational…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-27 Soudeep Deb , Claudia Neves , Subhrajyoty Roy

We propose two nonparametric statistical tests of goodness of fit for conditional distributions: given a conditional probability density function $p(y|x)$ and a joint sample, decide whether the sample is drawn from $p(y|x)r_x(x)$ for some…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-01 Wittawat Jitkrittum , Heishiro Kanagawa , Bernhard Schölkopf

In this paper, we consider the time-inhomogeneous nonlinear time series regression for a general class of locally stationary time series. On one hand, we propose sieve nonparametric estimators for the time-varying regression functions which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-17 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

We propose a new model for nonstationary integer-valued time series which is particularly suitable for data with a strong trend. In contrast to popular Poisson-INGARCH models, but in line with classical GARCH models, we propose to pick the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-28 Anne Leucht , Michael H. Neumann

We consider nonparametric estimation of mean regression and conditional variance (or volatility) functions in nonlinear stochastic regression models. Simultaneous confidence bands are constructed and the coverage probabilities are shown to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-08-08 Zhibiao Zhao , Wei Biao Wu

To address the difficult problem of multi-step ahead prediction of non-parametric autoregressions, we consider a forward bootstrap approach. Employing a local constant estimator, we can analyze a general type of non-parametric time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-02 Dimitris N. Politis , Kejin Wu

In this paper we suggest two statistical hypothesis tests for the regression function of binary classification based on conditional kernel mean embeddings. The regression function is a fundamental object in classification as it determines…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-22 Ambrus Tamás , Balázs Csanád Csáji

We propose an estimator of the kernel-based conditional mean dependence measure obtained from an appropriate modification of a naive estimator based on usual empirical estimators. We then get asymptotic normality of this estimator both…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-27 Terence Kevin Manfoumbi Djonguet , Guy Martial Nkiet

We propose a general scheme to create time sequences that fulfill given constraints but are random otherwise. Significance levels for nonlinearity tests are as usually obtained by Monte Carlo resampling. In a new scheme, constraints…

chao-dyn · Physics 2007-05-23 Thomas Schreiber , Andreas Schmitz

A wild bootstrap method for nonparametric hypothesis tests based on kernel distribution embeddings is proposed. This bootstrap method is used to construct provably consistent tests that apply to random processes, for which the naive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-28 Kacper Chwialkowski , Dino Sejdinovic , Arthur Gretton