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In this paper we propose using a nonparametric model specification test for parametric time series with long-range dependence (LRD). To establish asymptotic distributions of the proposed test statistic, we develop new central limit theorems…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-11 Jiti Gao , Qiying Wang , Jiying Yin

A common challenge in nonparametric inference is its high computational complexity when data volume is large. In this paper, we develop computationally efficient nonparametric testing by employing a random projection strategy. In the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-20 Meimei Liu , Zuofeng Shang , Guang Cheng

Modern Bayesian optimization and adaptive sampling methods increasingly rely on nonlinear parametric models, yet theoretical guarantees for such models under adaptive data collection remain limited. Existing analyses largely focus on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Rafael Oliveira

Kernel-based tests provide a simple yet effective framework that use the theory of reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces to design non-parametric testing procedures. In this paper we propose new theoretical tools that can be used to study the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-02 Tamara Fernández , Nicolás Rivera

We propose a new conditional dependence measure and a statistical test for conditional independence. The measure is based on the difference between analytic kernel embeddings of two well-suited distributions evaluated at a finite set of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-17 Meyer Scetbon , Laurent Meunier , Yaniv Romano

We investigate the nonparametric estimation for regression in a fixed-design setting when the errors are given by a field of dependent random variables. Sufficient conditions for kernel estimators to converge uniformly are obtained. These…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Mohamed El Machkouri

This paper discusses the solution of nonlinear integral equations with noisy integral kernels as they appear in nonparametric instrumental regression. We propose a regularized Newton-type iteration and establish convergence and convergence…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-04-01 Fabian Dunker , Jean-Pierre Florens , Thorsten Hohage , Jan Johannes , Enno Mammen

We develop a new methodology for the fitting of nonstationary time series that exhibit nonlinearity, asymmetry, local persistence and changes in location scale and shape of the underlying distribution. In order to achieve this goal, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Alexander Aue , Rex C. Y. Cheung , Thomas C. M. Lee , Ming Zhong

We consider the problem of predicting a real random variable from a functional explanatory variable. The problem is attacked by mean of nonparametric kernel approach which has been recently adapted to this functional context. We derive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Frédéric Ferraty , André Mas , Philippe Vieu

We consider testing the significance of a subset of covariates in a nonparametric regression. These covariates can be continuous and/or discrete. We propose a new kernel-based test that smoothes only over the covariates appearing under the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-28 Pascal Lavergne , Samuel Maistre , Valentin Patilea

We propose non-stationary spectral kernels for Gaussian process regression. We propose to model the spectral density of a non-stationary kernel function as a mixture of input-dependent Gaussian process frequency density surfaces. We solve…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-25 Sami Remes , Markus Heinonen , Samuel Kaski

This study compares statistical properties of ARCH tests that are robust to the presence of the misspecified conditional mean. The approaches employed in this study are based on two nonparametric regressions for the conditional mean. First…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-09-04 Daiki Maki , Yasushi Ota

Gaussian processes have become a popular tool for nonparametric regression because of their flexibility and uncertainty quantification. However, they often use stationary kernels, which limit the expressiveness of the model and may be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-17 Zachary James , Joseph Guinness

We propose a framework for hypothesis testing on conditional probability distributions, which we then use to construct statistical tests of functionals of conditional distributions. These tests identify the inputs where the functionals…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-03 Pierre-François Massiani , Christian Fiedler , Lukas Haverbeck , Friedrich Solowjow , Sebastian Trimpe

Identifying relationships among stochastic processes is a core objective in many fields, such as economics. While the standard toolkit for multivariate time series analysis has many advantages, it can be difficult to capture nonlinear…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-06 Michael Wieck-Sosa , Michel F. C. Haddad , Aaditya Ramdas

In this paper we introduce a kernel-based measure for detecting differences between two conditional distributions. Using the `kernel trick' and nearest-neighbor graphs, we propose a consistent estimate of this measure which can be computed…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-30 Anirban Chatterjee , Ziang Niu , Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya

There are many environments in econometrics which require nonseparable modeling of a structural disturbance. In a nonseparable model with endogenous regressors, key conditions are validity of instrumental variables and monotonicity of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-07-22 Christoph Breunig

Competing risk data appear widely in modern biomedical research. Cause-specific hazard models are often used to deal with competing risk data in the past two decades. There is no current study on the kernel likelihood method for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-14 Xiaomeng Qi , Zhangsheng Yu

The paper considers nonparametric specification tests of quantile curves for a general class of nonstationary processes. Using Bahadur representation and Gaussian approximation results for nonstationary time series, simultaneous confidence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-20 Zhou Zhou

This paper provides a specification test for semiparametric models with nonparametrically generated regressors. Such variables are not observed by the researcher but are nonparametrically identified and estimable. Applications of the test…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-26 Elia Lapenta