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Motivated by the model- independent pricing of derivatives calibrated to the real market, we consider an optimization problem similar to the optimal Skorokhod embedding problem, where the embedded Brownian motion needs only to reproduce a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-31 Gaoyue Guo

This paper presents a methodology to introduce time-dependent parameters for a wide family of models preserving their analytic tractability. This family includes hybrid models with stochastic volatility, stochastic interest-rates, jumps and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 A. Elices

Weighted Monte Carlo prices exotic options calibrating the probabilities of previously generated paths by a regular Monte Carlo to fit a set of option premiums. When only vanilla call and put options and forward prices are considered, the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-02-18 Alberto Elices , Eduard Giménez

We introduce a new class of continuous-time models of the stochastic volatility of asset prices. The models can simultaneously incorporate roughness and slowly decaying autocorrelations, including proper long memory, which are two stylized…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-06 Mikkel Bennedsen , Asger Lunde , Mikko S. Pakkanen

Multivariate volatility modeling and forecasting are crucial in financial economics. This paper develops a copula-based approach to model and forecast realized volatility matrices. The proposed copula-based time series models can capture…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-21 Wenjing Wang , Minjing Tao

We have recently presented an extension of the standard variational calculus to include the presence of deformed derivatives in the Lagrangian of a system of particles and in the Lagrangian density of field-theoretic models. Classical…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2017-06-30 J. Weberszpil , J. A. Helayël-Neto

Neural processes (NPs) constitute a family of variational approximate models for stochastic processes with promising properties in computational efficiency and uncertainty quantification. These processes use neural networks with latent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Qi Wang , Herke van Hoof

In this work we study a nonlinear Volterra equation with non-symmetric feedback that arises as a particular case of the Gurtin-MacCamy model in population dynamics. We are particularly interested in the existence of slowly oscillating…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-06-12 Quentin Griette , Franco Herrera

In April 2020, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange temporarily switched the pricing formula for West Texas Intermediate oil market options from the Black model to the Bachelier model. In this context, we introduce an additive Bachelier model…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-26 Roberto Baviera , Michele Domenico Massaria

Based on criteria of mathematical simplicity and consistency with empirical market data, a stochastic volatility model is constructed, the volatility process being driven by fractional noise. Price return statistics and asymptotic behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Rui Vilela Mendes , M. J. Oliveira

This paper offers a new approach for estimating and forecasting the volatility of financial time series. No assumption is made about the parametric form of the processes. On the contrary, we only suppose that the volatility can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Danilo Mercurio , Vladimir Spokoiny

We discuss the possibility of obtaining model-free bounds on volatility derivatives, given present market data in the form of a calibrated local volatility model. A counter-example to a wide-spread conjecture is given.

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-16 Mathias Beiglboeck , Peter Friz , Stephan Sturm

In this article, we consider non-smooth time-dependent domains and single-valued, smoothly varying directions of reflection at the boundary. In this setting, we first prove existence and uniqueness of strong solutions to stochastic…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-05-03 Niklas L. P. Lundström , Thomas Önskog

Nonlinear fractional dynamics with scale invariance in continuous and discrete time approaches are described. We use non-integer-order integro-differential operators that can be interpreted as generalizations of scaling (dilation)…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2025-09-22 Vasily E. Tarasov

In this paper we solve the discrete time mean-variance hedging problem when asset returns follow a multivariate autoregressive hidden Markov model. Time dependent volatility and serial dependence are well established properties of financial…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-13 Massimo Caccia , Bruno Rémillard

Given discrete time observations over a fixed time interval, we study a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimation of the volatility coefficient of a stochastic differential equation. We postulate a histogram-type prior on the volatility…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-01 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

We develop theory and applications of forward characteristic processes in discrete time following a seminal paper of Jan Kallsen and Paul Kr\"uhner. Particular emphasis is placed on the dynamics of volatility surfaces which can be easily…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-08 Anja Richter , Josef Teichmann

Exponential L\'evy processes can be used to model the evolution of various financial variables such as FX rates, stock prices, etc. Considerable efforts have been devoted to pricing derivatives written on underliers governed by such…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-06-29 Leif Andersen , Alexander Lipton

We analyze the relative price change of assets starting from basic supply/demand considerations subject to arbitrary motivations. The resulting stochastic differential equation has coefficients that are functions of supply and demand. We…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-08-26 Carey Caginalp , Gunduz Caginalp

In the past years, the phenomenon of fractional regularity has been addressed for a large class of linear and/or quasilinear differential operators, mostly, in terms of certain Besov spaces. As it turned out, for equations governed by the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-09-05 Anderson L. A. de Araújo , Luís H. de Miranda
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