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We introduce a Bayesian solution to the problem of inferring the density profile of strong gravitational lenses when the lens galaxy may contain multiple dark or faint substructures. The source and lens models are based on a superposition…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-10-12 Brendon J. Brewer , David Huijser , Geraint F. Lewis

Numerous applications in biology, statistics, science, and engineering require generating samples from high-dimensional probability distributions. In recent years, the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) method has emerged as a state-of-the-art…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-05-09 Dhruv V. Patel , Jonghyun Lee , Matthew W. Farthing , Peter K. Kitanidis , Eric F. Darve

Bayesian model selection provides a powerful framework for objectively comparing models directly from observed data, without reference to ground truth data. However, Bayesian model selection requires the computation of the marginal…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-17 Xiaohao Cai , Jason D. McEwen , Marcelo Pereyra

Gaussian process (GP) regression is a non-parametric, Bayesian framework to approximate complex models. Standard GP regression can lead to an unbounded model in which some points can take infeasible values. We introduce a new GP method that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-04 Didem Kochan , Xiu Yang

Variational inference lies at the core of many state-of-the-art algorithms. To improve the approximation of the posterior beyond parametric families, it was proposed to include MCMC steps into the variational lower bound. In this work we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-28 Christopher Wolf , Maximilian Karl , Patrick van der Smagt

In machine learning and statistics, probabilistic inference involving multimodal distributions is quite difficult. This is especially true in high dimensional problems, where most existing algorithms cannot easily move from one mode to…

Computation · Statistics 2015-06-22 Shiwei Lan , Jeffrey Streets , Babak Shahbaba

A fully Bayesian approach is proposed for ultrahigh-dimensional nonparametric additive models in which the number of additive components may be larger than the sample size, though ideally the true model is believed to include only a small…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-09-24 Zuofeng Shang , Ping Li

Global fits of physics models require efficient methods for exploring high-dimensional and/or multimodal posterior functions. We introduce a novel method for accelerating Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling by pairing a…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2023-09-06 N. T. Hunt-Smith , W. Melnitchouk , F. Ringer , N. Sato , A. W Thomas , M. J. White

Latent variable models are increasingly used in economics for high-dimensional categorical data like text and surveys. We demonstrate the effectiveness of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) with parallelized automatic differentiation for…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-03-04 Szymon Sacher , Laura Battaglia , Stephen Hansen

We extend the application of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo to allow for sampling from probability distributions defined over symmetric or Hermitian positive definite matrices. To do so, we exploit the Riemannian structure induced by Cartan's…

Computation · Statistics 2016-12-28 Andrew Holbrook , Shiwei Lan , Alexander Vandenberg-Rodes , Babak Shahbaba

With its systematic exploration of probability distributions, Hamiltonian Monte Carlo is a potent Markov Chain Monte Carlo technique; it is an approach, however, ultimately contingent on the choice of a suitable Hamiltonian function. By…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-12-20 Michael Betancourt , Leo C. Stein

Recent developments in big data and analytics research have produced an abundance of large data sets that are too big to be analyzed in their entirety, due to limits on computer memory or storage capacity. To address these issues,…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-06 Alexey Miroshnikov , Erin M. Conlon

Many statistical models can be simulated forwards but have intractable likelihoods. Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methods are used to infer properties of these models from data. Traditionally these methods approximate the posterior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-03 George Papamakarios , Iain Murray

We present a method to transform multivariate unimodal non-Gaussian posterior probability densities into approximately Gaussian ones via non-linear mappings, such as Box--Cox transformations and generalisations thereof. This permits an…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2016-06-14 Robert L. Schuhmann , Benjamin Joachimi , Hiranya V. Peiris

HMCF "Hamiltonian Monte Carlo for Fields" is a software add-on for the NIFTy "Numerical Information Field Theory" framework implementing Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) sampling in Python. HMCF as well as NIFTy are designed to address…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-12-04 Christoph Lienhard , Torsten A. Enßlin

We demonstrate for the first time that ill-conditioned, non-smooth, constrained distributions in very high dimension, upwards of 100,000, can be sampled efficiently $\textit{in practice}$. Our algorithm incorporates constraints into the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Yunbum Kook , Yin Tat Lee , Ruoqi Shen , Santosh S. Vempala

Radio weak lensing, while a highly promising complementary probe to optical weak lensing, will require incredible precision in the measurement of galaxy shape parameters. In this paper, we extend the Bayesian Inference for Radio…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-11-05 M. Rivi , M. Lochner , S. T. Balan , I. Harrison , F. B. Abdalla

In this paper, we describe a procedure for modelling strong lensing galaxy clusters with parametric methods, and to rank models quantitatively using the Bayesian evidence. We use a publicly available Markov chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) sampler…

Many generative models can be expressed as a differentiable function of random inputs drawn from some simple probability density. This framework includes both deep generative architectures such as Variational Autoencoders and a large class…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-06 Matthew M. Graham , Amos J. Storkey

We propose Kernel Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (KMC), a gradient-free adaptive MCMC algorithm based on Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC). On target densities where classical HMC is not an option due to intractable gradients, KMC adaptively learns…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-25 Heiko Strathmann , Dino Sejdinovic , Samuel Livingstone , Zoltan Szabo , Arthur Gretton