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In celebration of the work of Richard Threlkeld Cox, we explore inductive logic and its role in science touching on both experimental design and analysis of experimental results. In this exploration we demonstrate that the duality between…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-07 Kevin H. Knuth

The relationship between three probability distributions and their maximizable entropy forms is discussed without postulating entropy property. For this purpose, the entropy I is defined as a measure of uncertainty of the probability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-10-28 Qiuping A. Wang

We give some results relating asymptotic characterisations of maximum entropy probability measures to characterisations of Bayes optimal classifiers. Our main theorems show that maximum entropy is a universally Bayes optimal decision rule…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Dalton A R Sakthivadivel

We present a general holistic theory for the organization of complex networks, both human-engineered and naturally-evolved. Introducing concepts of value of interactions and satisfaction as generic network performance measures, we show that…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-07-13 Venkat Venkatasubramanian , Dimitris N. Politis , Priyan R. Patkar

It is well understood that Bayesian decision theory and average case analysis are essentially identical. However, if one is interested in performing uncertainty quantification for a numerical task, it can be argued that standard approaches…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-16 Chris. J. Oates , Jon Cockayne , Dennis Prangle , T. J. Sullivan , Mark Girolami

Non-deductive reasoning systems are often {\em representation dependent}: representing the same situation in two different ways may cause such a system to return two different answers. Some have viewed this as a significant problem. For…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Joseph Y. Halpern , Daphne Koller

The maximum entropy approach operating with quite general entropy measure and constraint is considered. It is demonstrated that for a conditional or parametrized probability distribution $f(x|\mu)$ there is a "universal" relation among the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-19 E. V. Vakarin , J. P. Badiali

The combination of evidence in Dempster-Shafer theory is compared with the combination of evidence in probabilistic logic. Sufficient conditions are stated for these two methods to agree. It is then shown that these conditions are minimal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Daniel Hunter

The method of maximum entropy (ME) is extended to address the following problem: Once one accepts that the ME distribution is to be preferred over all others, the question is to what extent are distributions with lower entropy supposed to…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-10-31 Ariel Caticha

The maximum entropy principle advocates to evaluate events' probabilities using a distribution that maximizes entropy among those that satisfy certain expectations' constraints. Such principle can be generalized for arbitrary decision…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-16 Santiago Mazuelas , Yuan Shen , Aritz Pérez

Entropy is a very useful concept from physics that tries to explain how a system behaves from a point of view of the thermodynamics. However, there are two ways to explain entropy, and it depends on if we are studying a microsystem or a…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-02 Martin Pomares Calero

We propose modal Markov logic as an extension of propositional Markov logic to reason under the principle of maximum entropy for modal logics K45, KD45, and S5. Analogous to propositional Markov logic, the knowledge base consists of…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2013-10-29 Tivadar Papai , Henry Kautz , Daniel Stefankovic

Mechanisms for the automation of uncertainty are required for expert systems. Sometimes these mechanisms need to obey the properties of probabilistic reasoning. A purely numeric mechanism, like those proposed so far, cannot provide a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Alan Bundy

I show that the maximum entropy principle can be replaced by a more natural assumption, that there exists a phenomenological function of entropy consistent with the microscopic model. The requirement of existence provides then a unique…

Classical Physics · Physics 2014-07-22 Łukasz Rudnicki

This paper presents a plausible reasoning system to illustrate some broad issues in knowledge representation: dualities between different reasoning forms, the difficulty of unifying complementary reasoning styles, and the approximate nature…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-26 Wray L. Buntine

Given entropy's central role in multiple areas of physics and science, one important task is to develop a systematic and unifying approach to defining entropy. Games of chance become a natural candidate for characterising the uncertainty of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-02-23 Sarah Brandsen , Isabelle Jianing Geng , Gilad Gour

In this work we develop on the recently suggested concept of superstatistics [C. Beck and E.G.D. Cohen, Physica A {\bf 322}, 267 (2003)], face the problem of devising a viable way for estimating the correct statistics for a system in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 F. Sattin

We apply the Principle of Maximum Entropy to the study of a general class of deterministic fractal sets. The scaling laws peculiar to these objects are accounted for by means of a constraint concerning the average content of information in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 R. Pastor-Satorras , J. Wagensberg

The uncertainty principle can be expressed in entropic terms, also taking into account the role of entanglement in reducing uncertainty. The information exclusion principle bounds instead the correlations that can exist between the outcomes…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-02-26 Patrick J. Coles , Marco Piani

We describe a method to computationally estimate the probability density function of a univariate random variable by applying the maximum entropy principle with some local conditions given by Gaussian functions. The estimation errors and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-21 Mihail-Ioan Pop