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Related papers: On Bayesian Curve Fitting Via Auxiliary Variables

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Pseudo-marginal Metropolis-Hastings (pmMH) is a powerful method for Bayesian inference in models where the posterior distribution is analytical intractable or computationally costly to evaluate directly. It operates by introducing…

Computation · Statistics 2016-08-06 Johan Dahlin , Fredrik Lindsten , Joel Kronander , Thomas B. Schön

Fitting B-splines to discrete data is especially challenging when the given data contain noise, jumps, or corners. Here, we describe how periodic data sets with these features can be efficiently and robustly approximated with B-splines by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-12-09 David Lenz , Oana Marin , Vijay Mahadevan , Raine Yeh , Tom Peterka

This paper studies how to capture dependency graph structures from real data which may not be Gaussian. Starting from marginal loss functions not necessarily derived from probability distributions, we utilize an additive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-03 Yiyuan She , Shao Tang , Qiaoya Zhang

Additive models and generalized additive models are effective semiparametric tools for multidimensional data. In this article we propose an online smoothing backfitting method for generalized additive models with local polynomial smoothers.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-20 Ying Yang , Fang Yao

The availability of data sets with large numbers of variables is rapidly increasing. The effective application of Bayesian variable selection methods for regression with these data sets has proved difficult since available Markov chain…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-08 Jim Griffin , Krys Latuszynski , Mark Steel

A nonparametric procedure for robust regression estimation and for quantile regression is proposed which is completely data-driven and adapts locally to the regularity of the regression function. This is achieved by considering in each…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-04-06 Markus Reiss , Yves Rozenholc , Charles-Andre Cuenod

The Bayesian uncertainty quantification technique has become well established in turbulence modeling over the past few years. However, it is computationally expensive to construct a globally accurate surrogate model for Bayesian inference…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-03-16 Fanzhi Zeng , Wei Zhang , Jinping Li , Tianxin Zhang , Chao Yan

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees [BART, Chipman et al., 2010] have gained significant popularity due to their remarkable predictive performance and ability to quantify uncertainty. However, standard decision tree models rely on recursive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-20 Stamatina Lamprinakou , Huiyan Sang , Bledar A. Konomi , Ligang Lu

Changepoint models typically assume the data within each segment are independent and identically distributed conditional on some parameters which change across segments. This construction may be inadequate when data are subject to local…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-10 Karl L. Hallgren , Nicholas A. Heard , Niall M. Adams

Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) are well-established tools for probabilistic exploration of dependence structures using precision matrices. We develop a Bayesian method to incorporate covariate information in this GGMs setup in a nonlinear…

Variable selection is an important statistical problem. This problem becomes more challenging when the candidate predictors are of mixed type (e.g. continuous and binary) and impact the response variable in nonlinear and/or non-additive…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-30 Chuji Luo , Michael J. Daniels

Estimation and inference on causal parameters is typically reduced to a generalized method of moments problem, which involves auxiliary functions that correspond to solutions to a regression or classification problem. Recent line of work on…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-11-16 Qizhao Chen , Vasilis Syrgkanis , Morgane Austern

Non-random sample selection is a commonplace amongst many empirical studies and it appears when an output variable of interest is available only for a restricted non-random sub-sample of data. We introduce an extension of the generalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-18 M. Wojtyś , G. Marra

Learning to infer Bayesian posterior from a few-shot dataset is an important step towards robust meta-learning due to the model uncertainty inherent in the problem. In this paper, we propose a novel Bayesian model-agnostic meta-learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-20 Taesup Kim , Jaesik Yoon , Ousmane Dia , Sungwoong Kim , Yoshua Bengio , Sungjin Ahn

In linear regression models, fusion of coefficients is used to identify predictors having similar relationships with a response. This is called variable fusion. This paper presents a novel variable fusion method in terms of Bayesian linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-22 Shengyi Wu , Kaito Shimamura , Kohei Yoshikawa , Kazuaki Murayama , Shuichi Kawano

The smooth backfitting introduced by Mammen, Linton and Nielsen [Ann. Statist. 27 (1999) 1443-1490] is a promising technique to fit additive regression models and is known to achieve the oracle efficiency bound. In this paper, we propose…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Enno Mammen , Byeong U. Park

The problem of identifying change points in high-dimensional Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) in an online fashion is of interest, due to new applications in biology, economics and social sciences. The offline version of the problem, where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-18 Hossein Keshavarz , George Michailidis

Low-rank approximation is a popular strategy to tackle the "big n problem" associated with large-scale Gaussian process regressions. Basis functions for developing low-rank structures are crucial and should be carefully specified.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-04 Yan Song , Wenlin Dai , Marc G. Genton

Sparseness of the regression coefficient vector is often a desirable property, since, among other benefits, sparseness improves interpretability. In practice, many true regression coefficients might be negligibly small, but non-zero, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-01 Daniel Andrade , Kenji Fukumizu

This paper proposes the asymmetric linear double autoregression, which jointly models the conditional mean and conditional heteroscedasticity characterized by asymmetric effects. A sufficient condition is established for the existence of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-22 Songhua Tan , Qianqian Zhu
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