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Drawdowns measuring the decline in value from the historical running maxima over a given period of time, are considered as extremal events from the standpoint of risk management. To date, research on the topic has mainly focus on the side…
The drawdown process of an one-dimensional regular diffusion process $X$ is given by $X$ reflected at its running maximum. The drawup process is given by $X$ reflected at its running minimum. We calculate the probability that a drawdown…
In this paper we give excursion theoretical proofs of Lehoczky's formula (in an extended form allowing a lower bound for the underlying diffusion) for the joint distribution of the first drawdown time and the maximum before this time, and…
First, we give a closed-form formula for first passage time of a reflected Brownian motion with drift. This modifies a formula by Perry et al (2004). Second, we show that the maximum before a fixed drawdown is exponentially distributed for…
Systems switching between different dynamical phases is an ubiquitous phenomenon. The general understanding of such a process is limited. To this end, we present a general expression that captures fluctuations of a system exhibiting a…
We consider a particle diffusing along the links of a general graph possessing some absorbing vertices. The particle, with a spatially-dependent diffusion constant D(x) is subjected to a drift U(x) that is defined in every point of each…
Sub-diffusion equations are used in a large range of applications including fluids, plasma physics and biology. Their mathematical analysis is advanced even if a much larger literature addresses super-diffusions. The goal of this paper is…
Drawdown (resp. drawup) of a stochastic process, also referred as the reflected process at its supremum (resp. infimum), has wide applications in many areas including financial risk management, actuarial mathematics and statistics. In this…
The presented explanations are provided for the one--dimensional diffusion process with constant drift by using forward Fokker--Planck technique. We are interested in the outflow probability in a finite interval, i.e. first passage time…
We give a proof of Lehoczky's drawdown formula for one-dimensional diffusion processes, using the Poisson structure of the excursions of the diffusion below its running maximum.
In this paper we study a spectrally negative L\'{e}vy process that is reflected at its draw-down level whenever a draw-down time from the running supremum arrives. Using an excursion-theoretical approach, for such a reflected process we…
We consider a Brownian motion on a general graph, that starts at time t=0 from some vertex O and stops at time t somewhere on the graph. Denoting by g the last time when O is reached, we establish a simple expression for the Laplace…
For spectrally negative L\'evy processes, we prove several fluctuation results involving a general draw-down time, which is a downward exit time from a dynamic level that depends on the running maximum of the process. In particular, we find…
Motivated by recent studies of record statistics in relation to strongly correlated time series, we consider explicitly the drawdown time of a Levy process, which is defined as the time since it last achieved its running maximum when…
In the paper "On Truncated Variation of Brownian Motion with Drift" (Bull. Pol. Acad. Sci. Math. 56 (2008), no.4, 267 - 281) we defined truncated variation of Brownian motion with drift, $W_t = B_t + \mu t, t\geq 0,$ where $(B_t)$ is a…
In this paper, we analyse some equity-linked contracts that are related to drawdown and drawup events based on assets governed by a geometric spectrally negative L\'evy process. Drawdown and drawup refer to the differences between the…
We propose an approach to approximate the boundary crossing probabilities for general one-dimensional diffusion processes, and derive the convergence rate for this approximation scheme. There results are based on the explicit expression of…
This paper studies the stochastic modeling of market drawdown events and the fair valuation of insurance contracts based on drawdowns. We model the asset drawdown process as the current relative distance from the historical maximum of the…
We derive expressions for the first three moments of the decision time (DT) distribution produced via first threshold crossings by sample paths of a drift-diffusion equation. The "pure" and "extended" diffusion processes are widely used to…
In this paper we consider a (reflected) Brownian motion with broken drift hitting a random boundary. Some dedicated calculations allow us to obtain the formula on the joint Laplace transform of the hitting time and hitting position. These…