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Related papers: Empirical asset pricing with nonlinear risk premia

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This paper proposes a semiparametric stochastic volatility (SV) model that relaxes the restrictive Gaussian assumption in both the return and volatility error terms, allowing them to follow flexible, nonparametric distributions with…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-03 Yudong Feng , Ashis Gangopadhyay

In this paper, we focus on option pricing models based on space-time fractional diffusion. We briefly revise recent results which show that the option price can be represented in the terms of rapidly converging double-series and apply these…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-09 Jean-Philippe Aguilar , Jan Korbel

This paper is devoted to a study of robust fundamental theorems of asset pricing in discrete time and finite horizon settings. Uncertainty is modelled by a (possibly uncountable) family of price processes on the same probability space. Our…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-04 Huy N. Chau

We present a Bayesian non-parametric way of inferring stochastic differential equations for both regression tasks and continuous-time dynamical modelling. The work has high emphasis on the stochastic part of the differential equation, also…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-29 Martin Jørgensen , Marc Peter Deisenroth , Hugh Salimbeni

In this paper, we propose the uncertain volatility models with stochastic bounds. Like the regular uncertain volatility models, we know only that the true model lies in a family of progressively measurable and bounded processes, but instead…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-17 Jean-Pierre Fouque , Ning Ning

We explore the statistical and economic importance of restrictions on the dynamics of risk compensation from the perspective of a real-time Bayesian learner who predicts bond excess returns using dynamic term structure models (DTSMs). The…

We introduce and study a non-equilibrium continuous-time dynamical model of the price of a single asset traded by a population of heterogeneous interacting agents in the presence of uncertainty and regulatory constraints. The model takes…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-04-23 V. I. Yukalov , D. Sornette , E. P. Yukalova

This paper studies an equity market of stochastic dimension, where the number of assets fluctuates over time. In such a market, we develop the fundamental theorem of asset pricing, which provides the equivalence of the following statements:…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-06 Erhan Bayraktar , Donghan Kim , Abhishek Tilva

We use a continuous version of the standard deviation premium principle for pricing in incomplete equity markets by assuming that the investor issuing an unhedgeable derivative security requires compensation for this risk in the form of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Erhan Bayraktar , Virginia R. Young

A simple statement and accessible proof of a version of the Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing in discrete time is provided. Careful distinction is made between prices and cash flows in order to provide uniform treatment of all…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-04 Keith A. Lewis

We propose a new financial model, the stochastic volatility model with sticky drawdown and drawup processes (SVSDU model), which enables us to capture the features of winning and losing streaks that are common across financial markets but…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-20 Yuhao Liu , Pingping Jiang , Gongqiu Zhang

Accurately assessing financial risk requires capturing both individual asset volatility and the complex, asymmetric dependence structures that emerge during extreme market events. While modern diffusion-based models have advanced…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-20 David Huk , Dongshan Wang , Miha Bresar

Standard models of asset price dynamics, such as geometric Brownian motion (see, for example, Osborne, 1959, Samuelson, 2016), do not formally incorporate investor inertia. This paper presents a two-stage framework for modelling this…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-11-27 Diego da Silva Santos , Luiz Gustavo Bastos Pinho

Prudent management of insurance investment portfolios requires competent asset pricing of fixed-income assets with time-to-event contingent cash flows, such as consumer asset-backed securities (ABS). Current market pricing techniques for…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-27 Jackson P. Lautier , Vladimir Pozdnyakov , Jun Yan

High frequency data in finance have led to a deeper understanding on probability distributions of market prices. Several facts seem to be well stablished by empirical evidence. Specifically, probability distributions have the following…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Jaume Masoliver , Miquel Montero , Josep M. Porra

In this paper we propose a new model for pricing stock and dividend derivatives. We jointly specify dynamics for the stock price and the dividend rate such that the stock price is positive and the dividend rate non-negative. In its simplest…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-27 Sander Willems

In this study, we consider the asset pricing under model uncertainty with discrete time and states structure. For the single-period securities model, we give a novel definition of arbitrage under a family of probability, and explore of its…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-25 Shuzhen Yang , Wenqing Zhang

Pricing assets has attracted significant attention from the financial technology community. We observe that the existing solutions overlook the cross-sectional effects and not fully leveraged the heterogeneous data sets, leading to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Qiong Wu , Christopher G. Brinton , Zheng Zhang , Andrea Pizzoferrato , Zhenming Liu , Mihai Cucuringu

We prove the Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing for a discrete time financial market where trading is subject to proportional transaction cost and the asset price dynamic is modeled by a family of probability measures, possibly…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-01 Erhan Bayraktar , Yuchong Zhang

We introduce a new class of continuous-time models of the stochastic volatility of asset prices. The models can simultaneously incorporate roughness and slowly decaying autocorrelations, including proper long memory, which are two stylized…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-06 Mikkel Bennedsen , Asger Lunde , Mikko S. Pakkanen