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Standard geostatistical models assume second order stationarity of the underlying Random Function. In some instances, there is little reason to expect the spatial dependence structure to be stationary over the whole region of interest. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-04 Francky Fouedjio , Nicolas Desassis , Jacques Rivoirard

A nonparametric procedure to estimate the conditional probability that a nonstationary geostatistical process exceeds a certain threshold value is proposed. The method consists of a bootstrap algorithm that combines conditional simulation…

Sampling of physical fields with mobile sensor is an emerging area. In this context, this work introduces and proposes solutions to a fundamental question: can a spatial field be estimated from samples taken at unknown sampling locations?…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-07-12 Animesh Kumar

Stochastic parameterisations deployed in models of the Earth system frequently invoke locality assumptions such as Markovianity or spatial locality. This work highlights the impact of such assumptions on predictive performance. Both in…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Martin T. Brolly

Locally adapted parameterizations of a model (such as locally weighted regression) are expressive but often suffer from high variance. We describe an approach for reducing the variance, based on the idea of estimating simultaneously a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Doina Precup , Philip Bachman

A nonparametric and locally adaptive Bayesian estimator is proposed for estimating a binary regression. Flexibility is obtained by modeling the binary regression as a mixture of probit regressions with the argument of each probit regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-09-25 Sally Wood , Robert Kohn , Remy Cottet , Wenxin Jiang , Martin Tanner

In this paper, we study nonparametric models allowing for locally stationary regressors and a regression function that changes smoothly over time. These models are a natural extension of time series models with time-varying coefficients. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Michael Vogt

This paper deals with nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation for Gaussian locally stationary processes. Our nonparametric MLE is constructed by minimizing a frequency domain likelihood over a class of functions. The asymptotic behavior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Rainer Dahlhaus , Wolfgang Polonik

The propensity score is widely used for causal inference in observational studies, but common parametric estimators can produce biased and inefficient effect estimates when model assumptions are violated. Nonparametric approaches reduce…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-09 Maosen Peng , Yan Li , Chong Wu , Liang Li

This note explores probabilistic sampling weighted by uncertainty in active learning. This method has been previously used and authors have tangentially remarked on its efficacy. The scheme has several benefits: (1) it is computationally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-12 Vinay Jethava

We consider an empirical likelihood inference for parameters defined by general estimating equations when some components of the random observations are subject to missingness. As the nature of the estimating equations is wide-ranging, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-05 Dong Wang , Song Xi Chen

The Model-free Prediction Principle has been successfully applied to general regression problems, as well as problems involving stationary and locally stationary time series. In this paper we demonstrate how Model-Free Prediction can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-07 Srinjoy Das , Yiwen Zhang , Dimitris N. Politis

The best known methods for estimating hazard rate functions in survival analysis models are either purely parametric or purely nonparametric. The parametric ones are sometimes too biased while the nonparametric ones are sometimes too…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-20 Nils Lid Hjort

We study how sampling geometry contributes to uncertainty in modeling spatial geophysical observations as sampled random fields characterized by stationary, isotropic, parametric covariance functions. We incorporate the signature of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Olivia L. Walbert , Frederik J. Simons , Arthur P. Guillaumin , Sofia C. Olhede

We introduce computational methods that allow for effective estimation of a flexible, parametric non-stationary spatial model when the field size is too large to compute the multivariate normal likelihood directly. In this method, the field…

Computation · Statistics 2018-09-20 Amanda Muyskens , Joseph Guinness , Montserrat Fuentes

In spatial statistics, fast and accurate parameter estimation, coupled with a reliable means of uncertainty quantification, can be challenging when fitting a spatial process to real-world data because the likelihood function might be slow…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-31 Julia Walchessen , Amanda Lenzi , Mikael Kuusela

This paper proposes a local representation for Empirical Likelihood (EL). EL admits the classical local linear quadratic representation by its likelihood ratio property. A local estimator is derived by using the new representation.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-27 Zhengyuan Gao

In this study, we develop an asymptotic theory of nonparametric regression for locally stationary random fields (LSRFs) $\{{\bf X}_{{\bf s}, A_{n}}: {\bf s} \in R_{n} \}$ in $\mathbb{R}^{p}$ observed at irregularly spaced locations in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-07 Daisuke Kurisu

Conditional local independence is an asymmetric independence relation among continuous time stochastic processes. It describes whether the evolution of one process is directly influenced by another process given the histories of additional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-26 Alexander Mangulad Christgau , Lasse Petersen , Niels Richard Hansen

Current statistics literature on statistical inference of random fields typically assumes that the fields are stationary or focuses on models of non-stationary Gaussian fields with parametric/semiparametric covariance families, which may…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Yunyi Zhang , Zhou Zhou