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In this paper we consider a Bayesian framework for making inferences about dynamical systems from ergodic observations. The proposed Bayesian procedure is based on the Gibbs posterior, a decision theoretic generalization of standard…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-28 Kevin McGoff , Sayan Mukherjee , Andrew Nobel

Although the specification of bivariate probability models using a collection of assumed conditional distributions is not a novel concept, it has received considerable attention in the last decade. In this study, a bivariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-20 Indranil Ghosh , Mina Norouzirad , Filipe J. Marques

We consider some of the main notions of Gibbs measures on subshifts introduced by different communities, such as dynamical systems, probability, operator algebras, and mathematical physics. For potentials with $d$-summable variation, we…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2023-09-01 Rodrigo Bissacot , Bruno Hideki Fukushima-Kimura , Rafael Pereira Lima , Thiago Raszeja

We study the random loop model with crosses and bars on sparse random graphs. Our main objective is to prove the existence of macroscopic loops, in the sense that a loop visits a positive proportion of the vertices. We develop a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-23 Andreas Klippel

We consider the problem of determining the proportion of edges that are discovered in an Erdos-Renyi graph when one constructs all shortest paths from a given source node to all other nodes. This problem is equivalent to the one of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Vincent D. Blondel , Jean-Loup Guillaume , Julien M. Hendrickx , Raphael M. Jungers

Large random matrices appear in different fields of mathematics and physics such as combinatorics, probability theory, statistics, operator theory, number theory, quantum field theory, string theory etc... In the last ten years, they…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Alice Guionnet

How might a smooth probability distribution be estimated, with accurately quantified uncertainty, from a limited amount of sampled data? Here we describe a field-theoretic approach that addresses this problem remarkably well in one…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-10-24 Wei-Chia Chen , Ammar Tareen , Justin B. Kinney

The Gibbs Paradox is essentially a set of open questions as to how sameness of gases or fluids (or masses, more generally) are to be treated in thermodynamics and statistical mechanics. They have a variety of answers, some restricted to…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2018-08-07 Simon Saunders

Recently, it has been recognized that phase transitions play an important role in the probabilistic analysis of combinatorial optimization problems. However, there are in fact many other relations that lead to close ties between computer…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 O. C. Martin , R. Monasson , R. Zecchina

This paper addresses the issue of inversion in cases where (1) the observation system is modeled by a linear transformation and additive noise, (2) the problem is ill-posed and regularization is introduced in a Bayesian framework by an a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-12 Jean-François Giovannelli

Gibbs states are familiar from statistical mechanics, yet their use is not limited to that domain. For instance, they also feature in the maximum entropy reconstruction of quantum states from incomplete measurement data. Outside the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2011-07-04 Jochen Rau

We present a modified Gibbs sampler for general state spaces. We establish that this modification can lead to substantial gains in statistical efficiency while maintaining the overall quality of convergence. We illustrate our results in two…

Computation · Statistics 2013-08-28 Alicia A. Johnson , James M. Flegal

We propose a novel statistical model for sparse networks with overlapping community structure. The model is based on representing the graph as an exchangeable point process, and naturally generalizes existing probabilistic models with…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-06 Adrien Todeschini , Xenia Miscouridou , François Caron

Graph Gaussian Processes (GGPs) provide a data-efficient solution on graph structured domains. Existing approaches have focused on static structures, whereas many real graph data represent a dynamic structure, limiting the applications of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-04 David Blanco-Mulero , Markus Heinonen , Ville Kyrki

Bayesian posterior distributions are widely used for inference, but their dependence on a statistical model creates some challenges. In particular, there may be lots of nuisance parameters that require prior distributions and posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-12 Nicholas Syring , Ryan Martin

This paper considers a non-standard problem of generating samples from a low-temperature Gibbs distribution with \emph{constrained} support, when some of the coordinates of the mode lie on the boundary. These coordinates are referred to as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Ruixiao Wang , Xiaohong Chen , Sinho Chewi

In recent years, the shortcomings of Bayesian posteriors as inferential devices have received increased attention. A popular strategy for fixing them has been to instead target a Gibbs measure based on losses that connect a parameter of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-24 David T. Frazier , Jeremias Knoblauch , Jack Jewson , Christopher Drovandi

Transfer learning where the behavior of extracting transferable knowledge from the source domain(s) and reusing this knowledge to target domain has become a research area of great interest in the field of artificial intelligence.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-29 Junyu Xuan , Jie Lu , Guangquan Zhang

This thesis deals with applications of experimental mathematics to a number of problems. The first problem is related to random graph statistics. We consider a certain class of Galton-Watson random trees and look at the total height…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2018-05-02 Andrew Lohr

This thesis consists of two separate parts: in each we study the stability under small perturbations of certain probability models in different contexts. In the first, we study small random perturbations of a deterministic dynamical system…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-21 Santiago Saglietti