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The paper introduces a new methodology for assessing on-line the prediction risk of short-term wind power forecasts. The first part of this methodology consists in computing confidence intervals with a confidence level defined by the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-10-05 Georges Kariniotakis , Pierre Pinson

Convection initiation (CI) nowcasting remains a challenging problem for both numerical weather prediction models and existing nowcasting algorithms. In this study, object-based probabilistic deep learning models are developed to predict CI…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-23 Da Fan , Steven J. Greybush , David John Gagne , Eugene E. Clothiaux

Accurate prediction of wind speed and power is vital for enhancing the efficiency of wind energy systems. Numerous solutions have been implemented to date, demonstrating their potential to improve forecasting. Among these, deep learning is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Mulomba Mukendi Christian , Yun Seon Kim , Hyebong Choi , Jaeyoung Lee , SongHee You

Expensive ultrasonic anemometers are usually required to measure wind speed accurately. The aim of this work is to overcome the loss of accuracy of a low cost hot-wire anemometer caused by the changes of air temperature, by means of a…

WindBorne Systems has developed a constellation of long-duration atmospheric balloons to collect meteorological data across the globe, filling gaps in current in-situ data collection methods. Each Global Sounding Balloon (GSB) is capable of…

Unmanned underwater vehicles are increasingly employed for maintenance and surveying tasks at sea, but their operation in shallow waters is often hindered by hydrodynamic disturbances such as waves, currents, and turbulence. These unsteady…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Tobias Cook , Leo Micklem , Huazhi Dong , Yunjie Yang , Michael Mistry , Francesco Giorgio-Serchi

During the afternoon of 15 June 2005, convective storms developed along and west of the dryline over eastern Colorado and New Mexico. One such storm tracked eastward into Cimarron County, Oklahoma and produced a strong downburst at Kenton.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Kenneth Pryor

While sound emergence is used in several countries to regulate wind energy development, there is no published evidence that it is a relevant noise descriptor for this purpose. In the present work, we carried out two listening tests to…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-22 Elise Ruaud , Guillaume Dutilleux

This work demonstrates the possibilities for improving wildfire and air quality management in the western United States by leveraging the unprecedented hourly data from NASA's TEMPO satellite mission and advances in self-supervised deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Nicholas LaHaye , Thilanka Munashinge , Hugo Lee , Xiaohua Pan , Gonzalo Gonzalez Abad , Hazem Mahmoud , Jennifer Wei

Wind gust prediction plays an important role in warning strategies of national meteorological services due to the high impact of its extreme values. However, forecasting wind gusts is challenging because they are influenced by small-scale…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-24 Cristina Primo , Benedikt Schulz , Sebastian Lerch , Reinhold Hess

Accurately representing surface weather at the sub-kilometer scale is crucial for optimal decision-making in a wide range of applications. This motivates the use of statistical techniques to provide accurate and calibrated probabilistic…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-11-15 Francesco Zanetta , Daniele Nerini , Matteo Buzzi , Henry Moss

Microbursts are short duration intensifications in precipitating electron flux that are believed to be a significant contributor to electron losses in the magnetosphere. Microbursts have been observed in the form of bouncing electron…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2023-12-08 Wyatt Wetzel , John Sample , Eric Engel , Mykhaylo Shumko

The electric power system is one of the largest and most intricate infrastructures. Therefore, it is critical to assess and maintain its security. A power system security assessment is indispensable for identifying post-contingency issues,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-22 Umair Shahzad

The efficient placement of wind turbines relies on accurate local wind speed forecasts. Climate projections provide valuable insight into long-term wind speed conditions, yet their spatial data resolution is typically insufficient for…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-12 Luca Schmidt , Nicole Ludwig

We propose a new concept of modulated bipower variation for diffusion models with microstructure noise. We show that this method provides simple estimates for such important quantities as integrated volatility or integrated quarticity.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-07 Mark Podolskij , Mathias Vetter

Sound recordings are used in various ecological studies, including acoustic wildlife monitoring. Such surveys require automatic detection of target sound events. However, current detectors, especially those relying on band-limited energy,…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-13 Julius Juodakis , Stephen Marsland

AI-based systems, such as Google's GenCast, have recently redefined the state of the art in weather forecasting, offering more accurate and timely predictions of both everyday weather and extreme events. While these systems are on the verge…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-04-23 Erik Imgrund , Thorsten Eisenhofer , Konrad Rieck

Whispering-gallery-mode (WGM) microcavities have emerged as a promising alternative to traditional ultrasound probes, offering high sensitivity and wide bandwidth. In our research, we propose a novel silica WGM microprobe device, with…

The increasing demand of large scale wind integration in the conventional power system brings a lot of challenges. One of them is the stability of the power system when subjected to a large disturbance, such as a fault. This paper proposes…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-10 Umair Shahzad

We study methods for simultaneous analysis of many noisy experiments in the presence of rich covariate information. The goal of the analyst is to optimally estimate the true effect underlying each experiment. Both the noisy experimental…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-14 Nikolaos Ignatiadis , Stefan Wager