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We describe how graphical Markov models started to emerge in the last 40 years, based on three essential concepts that had been developed independently more than a century ago. Sequences of joint or single regressions and their regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-05 Nanny Wermuth , D. R. Cox

Much research in systemic risk is focused on default contagion. While this demands an understanding of valuation, fewer articles specifically deal with the existence, the uniqueness, and the computation of equilibrium prices in structural…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-01-30 Johannes Hain , Tom Fischer

Betting markets are gaining in popularity. Mean beliefs generally differ from prices in prediction markets. Logarithmic utility is employed to study the risk and return adjustments to prices. Some consequences are described. A modified…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-19 Bernhard K Meister

We develop an expansion approach for the pricing of European quanto options written on LIBOR rates (of a foreign currency). We derive the dynamics of the system of foreign LIBOR rates under the domestic forward measure and then consider the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-04 Julien Hok , Philip Ngare , Antonis Papapantoleon

The pricing of options, warrants and other derivative securities is one of the great success of financial economics. These financial products can be modeled and simulated using quantum mechanical instruments based on a Hamiltonian…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-18 Belal E. Baaquie , Claudio Coriano , Marakani Srikant

The shortcomings of the popular Black-Scholes-Merton (BSM) model have led to models which could more accurately model the behavior of the underlying assets in energy markets, particularly in electricity and future oil prices. In this paper…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-01 Konrad Gajewski , Sebastian Ferrando , Pablo Olivares

This paper provides an introduction to structural estimation methods for matching markets with transferable utility.

Econometrics · Economics 2021-09-17 Alfred Galichon , Bernard Salanié

We construct a no-arbitrage model of bond prices where the long bond is used as a numeraire. We develop bond prices and their dynamics without developing any model for the spot rate or forward rates. The model is arbitrage free and all…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Victor Goodman , Kyounghee Kim

We introduce a new and highly tractable structural model for spot and derivative prices in electricity markets. Using a stochastic model of the bid stack, we translate the demand for power and the prices of generating fuels into electricity…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-27 Rene Carmona , Michael Coulon , Daniel Schwarz

Markov-modulated fluids have a long history. They form a simple class of Markov additive processes, and were initially developed in the 1950s as models for dams and reservoirs, before gaining much popularity in the 1980s as models for…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-14 Guy Latouche , Giang Nguyen

Stochastic processes find applications in modelling systems in a variety of disciplines. A large number of stochastic models considered are Markovian in nature. It is often observed that higher order Markov processes can model the data…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Suryadeepto Nag

We outline a mathematical model for pricing hydropower generation. The model involves a Markov decision process that reflects the seasonal variation in historical time series of water inflows. The procedure is computationally efficient and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-08 Jonathan Pearce , Arash Khojaste , Golbon Zakeri , Geoffrey Pritchard

The hypothesis that committed revolving credit lines with fixed spreads can provide firms with interest rate insurance is a standard feature of models on these credit facilities' interest rate structure. Nevertheless, this hypothesis has…

General Economics · Economics 2024-01-24 Miguel A. Duran

This paper reports investigations on the computation of material fronts in multi-fluid models using a Lagrange-Projection approach. Various forms of the Projection step are considered. Particular attention is paid to minimization of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2010-12-22 Christophe Chalons , Frédéric Coquel

This paper makes a selective survey on the recent development of the factor model and its application on statistical learnings. We focus on the perspective of the low-rank structure of factor models, and particularly draws attentions to…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-09-23 Jianqing Fan , Kunpeng Li , Yuan Liao

We present a new model for prediction markets, in which we use risk measures to model agents and introduce a market maker to describe the trading process. This specific choice on modelling tools brings us mathematical convenience. The…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-03-05 Jinli Hu , Amos Storkey

In recent times, the functioning of various aspects of modern society---ranging from the various infrastructural utilities such as electrical power, water to socio-economical aspects such as telecommunications, business, commerce,…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2016-12-30 Waqar Ahmed , Osman Hasan , Usman Pervez , Junaid Qadir

A stochastic model with hidden discrete Markov processes is constructed to understand the behavior of debtors.

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-02-20 Wenjun Zhang , John Holt

Combining models in appropriate ways to achieve high performance is commonly seen in machine learning fields today. Although a large amount of combinatorial models have been created, little attention is drawn to the commons in different…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-01-19 Jinli Hu

We study pricing and hedging under parameter uncertainty for a class of Markov processes which we call generalized affine processes and which includes the Black-Scholes model as well as the constant elasticity of variance (CEV) model as…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-30 Eva Lütkebohmert , Thorsten Schmidt , Julian Sester