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We examine the feasibility of predicting and subsequently managing the future evolution of a Complex Adaptive System. Our archetypal system mimics a competitive population of mechanical, biological, informational or human objects. We show…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 David M. D. Smith , Neil F. Johnson

Many complex adaptive systems contain a large diversity of specialized components. The specialization at the level of the microscopic degrees of freedom, and diversity at the level of the system as a whole are phenomena that appear during…

adap-org · Physics 2007-05-23 Vivek S. Borkar , Sanjay Jain , Govindan Rangarajan

Many organisms live in populations structured by space and by class, exhibit plastic responses to their social partners, and are subject to non-additive ecological and fitness effects. Social evolution theory has long recognized that all of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-04-24 Jeremy Van Cleve , Erol Akçay

We propose a model for the dynamics of frequencies of a costly defense trait. More precisely, we consider Lotka-Volterra-type models involving a prey (or host) population consisting of two types and a predator (or parasite) population,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-22 Martin Hutzenthaler , Felix Jordan , Dirk Metzler

Evolutionary game dynamics in finite populations provides a new framework to understand the selection of traits with frequency-dependent fitness. Recently, a simple but fundamental law of evolutionary dynamics, which we call {\sigma} law,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-04-19 Changbing Tang , Xiang Li , Lang Cao , Jingyuan Zhan

The adaptive evolution of large asexual populations is generally characterized by competition between clones carrying different beneficial mutations. This interference phenomenon slows down the adaptation speed and makes the theoretical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-12-20 Maria Rita Fumagalli , Matteo Osella , Philippe Thomen , Francois Heslot , Marco Cosentino Lagomarsino

Differential diffusion is a source of instability in population dynamics systems when species diffuse with different rates. Predator-prey systems show this instability only under certain specific conditions, usually requiring Holling-type…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-01-01 Luciano Stucchi , Javier Galeano , Desiderio A. Vasquez

Evolution is simultaneously driven by a number of processes such as mutation, competition and random sampling. Understanding which of these processes is dominating the collective evolutionary dynamics in dependence on system properties is a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-09-13 Hinrich Arnoldt , Marc Timme , Stefan Grosskinsky

Many socio-economic and biological processes can be modeled as systems of interacting individuals. The behaviour of such systems can be often described within game-theoretic models. In these lecture notes, we introduce fundamental concepts…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-05-30 Jacek Miekisz

Two density-dependent branching processes are considered to model predator-prey populations. For both models, preys are considered to be the main food supply of predators. Moreover, in each generation the number of individuals of each…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-01 Cristina Gutiérrez , Carmen Minuesa

I discuss the so-called stochastic individual based model of adaptive dynamics and in particular how different scaling limits can be obtained by taking limits of large populations, small mutation rate, and small effect of single mutations…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-06 Anton Bovier

Understanding the mechanisms of species coexistence has always been a fundamental topic in ecology. Classical theory predicts that interspecific competition may select for traits that stabilize niche differences, although recent work shows…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-16 José F. Fontanari , Margarida Matos , Mauro Santos

Organisms that exploit different environments may experience a stochastic delay in adjusting their fitness when they switch habitats. We study two species whose fitness is determined by the species composition of the local environment, as…

Biological Physics · Physics 2019-02-04 Marianne Bauer , Erwin Frey

Modern ecology has re-emphasized the need for a quantitative understanding of the original 'survival of the fittest theme' based on analyzis of the intricate trade-offs between competing evolutionary strategies that characterize the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-16 Jacopo Grilli , Samir Suweis , Amos Maritan

Owing to the analogies between the problem of wealth redistribution with taxation in a multi-agent society, we introduce and discuss a kinetic model describing the statistical distributions in time of the sizes of groups of biological…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-15 Giuseppe Toscani , Mattia Zanella

We study an abstract model for the co-evolution between mutating viruses and the adaptive immune system. In sequence space, these two populations are localized around transiently dominant strains. Delocalization or error thresholds exhibit…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-22 Alexander Seeholzer , Erwin Frey , Benedikt Obermayer

We consider a stochastic version of the basic predator-prey differential equation model. The model, which contains a parameter \omega which represents the number of individuals for one unit of prey -- If x denotes the quantity of prey in…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-11-29 Fabien Campillo , Claude Lobry

Epochal dynamics, in which long periods of stasis in an evolving population are punctuated by a sudden burst of change, is a common behavior in both natural and artificial evolutionary processes. We analyze the population dynamics for a…

adap-org · Physics 2007-05-23 Erik van Nimwegen , James P. Crutchfield

Ecological systems are complex dynamical systems. Modelling efforts on ecosystems' dynamical stability have revealed that population dynamics, being highly nonlinear, can be governed by complex fluctuations. Indeed, experimental and field…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-02-19 Lluís Alsedà , José Tomás Lázaro , Ricard Solé , Blai Vidiella , Josep Sardanyés

The process of evolutionary emergence of purposeful adaptive behavior is investigated by means of computer simulations. The model proposed implies that there is an evolving population of simple agents, which have two natural needs: energy…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Mikhail S. Burtsev , Vladimir G. Redko , Roman V. Gusarev