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Estimating the state of a dynamical system from partial and noisy observations is a ubiquitous problem in a large number of applications, such as probabilistic weather forecasting and prediction of epidemics. Particle filters are a widely…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-21 E. Calvello , J. A. Carrillo , F. Hoffmann , P. Monmarché , A. M. Stuart , U. Vaes

A recursive state estimation procedure is derived for a linear time varying system with both parametric uncertainties and stochastic measurement droppings. This estimator has a similar form as that of the Kalman filter with intermittent…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Tong Zhou

We design a particle interpretation of Feynman-Kac measures on path spaces based on a backward Markovian representation combined with a traditional mean field particle interpretation of the flow of their final time marginals. In contrast to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-19 Pierre Del Moral , Arnaud Doucet , Sumeetpal S. Singh

Recursive estimation of nonlinear dynamical systems is an important problem that arises in several engineering applications. Consistent and accurate propagation of uncertainties is important to ensuring good estimation performance. It is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-03-16 Dilshad Raihan Akkam Veettil , Suman Chakravorty

We consider the problem of designing efficient particle filters for twisted Feynman--Kac models. Particle filters using twisted models can deliver low error approximations of statistical quantities and such twisting functions can be learnt…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-09 Joshua J Bon , Christopher Drovandi , Anthony Lee

In recent work it is shown that importance sampling can be avoided in the particle filter through an innovation structure inspired by traditional nonlinear filtering combined with Mean-Field Game formalisms. The resulting feedback particle…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-11-18 Tao Yang , Richard S. Laugesen , Prashant G. Mehta , Sean P. Meyn

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is a method for combining a dynamical model with data in a sequential fashion. Despite its widespread use, there has been little analysis of its theoretical properties. Many of the algorithmic innovations…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-17 D. T. B. Kelly , K. J. H. Law , A. M. Stuart

This paper is concerned with the convergence and the error analysis for the feedback particle filter (FPF) algorithm. The FPF is a controlled interacting particle system where the control law is designed to solve the nonlinear filtering…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-31 Amirhossein Taghvaei , Prashant G. Mehta

The universality of the celebrated Kalman filtering can be found in control theory. The Kalman filter has found its striking applications in sophisticated autonomous systems and smart products, which are attributed to its realization in a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-09 Sandhya Rathore , Shambhu N. Sharma , Shaival H. Nagarsheth

Biomolecular systems are often modeled with partially known nonlinear stochastic dynamics, making state and parameter estimation a central challenge. While Kalman filtering techniques are widely used in this setting, their performance…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-28 Suryasnata Dash , Abhishek Dey

This paper is concerned with optimality and stability analysis of a family of ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) algorithms. EnKF is commonly used as an alternative to the Kalman filter for high-dimensional problems, where storing the covariance…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-22 Amirhossein Taghvaei , Prashant G. Mehta , Tryphon T. Georgiou

This paper is concerned with the convergence and long-term stability analysis of the feedback particle filter (FPF) algorithm. The FPF is an interacting system of $N$ particles where the interaction is designed such that the empirical…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-24 Amirhossein Taghvaei , Prashant G. Mehta

We present recent results on the existence of a continuous time limit for Ensemble Kalman Filter algorithms. In the setting of continuous signal and observation processes, we apply the original Ensemble Kalman Filter algorithm proposed by…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-08 Theresa Lange , Wilhelm Stannat

Stochastic stability for centralized time-varying Kalman filtering over a wireles ssensor network with correlated fading channels is studied. On their route to the gateway, sensor packets, possibly aggregated with measurements from several…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-08-09 Daniel E. Quevedo , Anders Ahlen , Karl H. Johansson

Particle filters flexibly represent multiple posterior modes nonparametrically, via a collection of weighted samples, but have classically been applied to tracking problems with known dynamics and observation likelihoods. Such generative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-16 Ali Younis , Erik Sudderth

Robustness and adaptivity are two competing objectives in Kalman filters (KF). Robustness involves temporarily inflating prior estimates of noise covariances, while adaptivity updates prior beliefs by exploiting measurements. In practical…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Shilei Li , Dawei Shi , Hao Yu , Ling Shi

The purpose of this review is to present a comprehensive overview of the theory of ensemble Kalman-Bucy filtering for continuous-time, linear-Gaussian signal and observation models. We present a system of equations that describe the flow of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-16 Adrian N. Bishop , Pierre Del Moral

The Kalman filter is ubiquitous for state space models because of its desirable statistical properties, ease of implementation, and generally good performance. However, it can perform poorly in the presence of outliers, or measurements with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-26 Michael J. Walsh

Data assimilation methodologies are designed to incorporate noisy observations of a physical system into an underlying model in order to infer the properties of the state of the system. Filters refer to a class of data assimilation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-10-13 C. E. A. Brett , K. F. Lam , K. J. H. Law , D. S. McCormick , M. R. Scott , A. M. Stuart

The stability properties of matrix-valued Riccati diffusions are investigated. The matrix-valued Riccati diffusion processes considered in this work are of interest in their own right, as a rather prototypical model of a matrix-valued…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Adrian N. Bishop , Pierre Del Moral