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This paper focuses on estimating the invariant density function $f_X$ of the strongly mixing stationary process $X_t$ in the multiplicative measurement errors model $Y_t = X_t U_t$, where $U_t$ is also a strongly mixing stationary process.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-21 Duc Trong Dang , Van Ha Hoang , Phuc Hung Thai

Nonparametric density estimation is considered for a discretely observed stationary continuous-time process. For each of three given time sampling procedures either random or deterministic, we establish that histograms and frequency…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-01-19 François-Xavier Lejeune

In this work, we propose a new inference procedure for understanding non-stationary processes, under the framework of evolutionary spectra developed by Priestley. Among various frameworks of modeling non-stationary processes, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-20 Yu Xiang , Jie Ding , Vahid Tarokh

Variational methods are widely used for approximate posterior inference. However, their use is typically limited to families of distributions that enjoy particular conjugacy properties. To circumvent this limitation, we propose a family of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-22 Samuel Gershman , Matt Hoffman , David Blei

We consider the development of unbiased estimators, to approximate the stationary distribution of Mckean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations (MVSDEs). These are an important class of processes, which frequently appear in applications…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-03 Elsiddig Awadelkarim , Neil K. Chada , Ajay Jasra

This work proposes a new procedure for estimating the non-stationary spatial covariance function for Spatial-Temporal Deformation. The proposed procedure is based on a monotonic function approach. The deformation functions are expanded as a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-05 Yangyang Chen , Pedro Alberto Morettin , Ronaldo Dias , Chang Chiann

In this paper we derive stochastic representations for the finite dimensional distributions of a multidimensional diffusion on a fixed time interval, conditioned on the terminal state. The conditioning can be with respect to a fixed point…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-29 Christian Bayer , John Schoenmakers

A technique for on-line estimation of spot volatility for high-frequency data is developed. The algorithm works directly on the transaction data and updates the volatility estimate immediately after the occurrence of a new transaction.…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-01-15 Rainer Dahlhaus , Jan C. Neddermeyer

Envelope methodology can provide substantial efficiency gains in multivariate statistical problems, but in some applications the estimation of the envelope dimension can induce selection volatility that may mitigate those gains. Current…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-17 Daniel J. Eck , R. Dennis Cook

Volatility forecasts play a central role among equity risk measures. Besides traditional statistical models, modern forecasting techniques based on machine learning can be employed when treating volatility as a univariate, daily…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-09 Fernando Moreno-Pino , Stefan Zohren

In this paper we study the problem of density deconvolution under general assumptions on the measurement error distribution. Typically deconvolution estimators are constructed using Fourier transform techniques, and it is assumed that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Denis Belomestny , Alexander Goldenshluger

Multivariate spatial-statistical models are often used when modeling environmental and socio-demographic processes. The most commonly used models for multivariate spatial covariances assume both stationarity and symmetry for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-11 Quan Vu , Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Noel Cressie

The estimation of entropy rates for stationary discrete-valued stochastic processes is a well studied problem in information theory. However, estimating the entropy rate for stationary continuous-valued stochastic processes has not received…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-05-26 Andrew Feutrill , Matthew Roughan

Autocovariance of the error term in a time series model plays a key role in the estimation and inference for the model that it belongs to. Typically, some arbitrary parametric structure is assumed upon the error to simplify the estimation,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-17 Yoon Bae Jun , Chae Young Lim , Kun Ho Kim

We derive an efficient stochastic algorithm for inverse problems that present an unknown linear forcing term and a set of nonlinear parameters to be recovered. It is assumed that the data is noisy and that the linear part of the problem is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Darko Volkov

This paper considers the problem of adaptive estimation of a mean pattern in a randomly shifted curve model. We show that this problem can be transformed into a linear inverse problem, where the density of the random shifts plays the role…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-21 Jérémie Bigot , Sébastien Gadat

Modeling the time-varying covariance structures of high-dimensional variables is critical across diverse scientific and industrial applications; however, existing approaches exhibit notable limitations in either modeling flexibility or…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Taehee Lee , Jun S. Liu

Mixture models are regularly used in density estimation applications, but the problem of estimating the mixing distribution remains a challenge. Nonparametric maximum likelihood produce estimates of the mixing distribution that are…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-28 Minwoo Chae , Ryan Martin , Stephen G. Walker

We propose Variational Heteroscedastic Volatility Model (VHVM) -- an end-to-end neural network architecture capable of modelling heteroscedastic behaviour in multivariate financial time series. VHVM leverages recent advances in several…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-13 Zexuan Yin , Paolo Barucca

Consider discrete values of functions shifted by unobserved translation effects, which are independent realizations of a random variable with unknown distribution $\mu$, modeling the variability in the response of each individual. Our aim…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Ismael Castillo , Jean-Michel Loubes
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