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We describe a simple Importance Sampling strategy for Monte Carlo simulations based on a least squares optimization procedure. With several numerical examples, we show that such Least Squares Importance Sampling (LSIS) provides efficiency…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-10 Luca Capriotti

Many approaches for conducting Bayesian inference on discretely observed diffusions involve imputing diffusion bridges between observations. This can be computationally challenging in settings in which the temporal horizon between…

Computation · Statistics 2022-04-07 Marcin Mider , Paul A. Jenkins , Murray Pollock , Gareth O. Roberts

This paper presents an improved implicit sampling method for hierarchical Bayesian inverse problems. A widely used approach for sampling posterior distribution is based on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). However, the samples generated by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-11-27 Xiaoyan Song , Lijian Jiang , Guanghui Zheng

Denoising diffusion models have recently emerged as a powerful class of generative models. They provide state-of-the-art results, not only for unconditional simulation, but also when used to solve conditional simulation problems arising in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-28 Yuyang Shi , Valentin De Bortoli , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet

The simulation of exit times for diffusion processes is a challenging task since it concerns many applications in different fields like mathematical finance, neuroscience, reliability... The usual procedure is to use discretiza-tion schemes…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-14 Samuel Herrmann , C. Zucca

This work presents a comprehensive framework for enhanced diffusion modeling in fluid-structure interactions by combining the Immersed Boundary Method (IBM) with stochastic trajectories and high-order spectral boundary conditions. Using…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-10-31 Rômulo Damasclin Chaves dos Santos , Jorge Henrique de Oliveira Sales

Modeling and simulating movement of vehicles in established transportation infrastructures, especially in large urban road networks is an important task. It helps with understanding and handling traffic problems, optimizing traffic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-09 Renátó Besenczi , Norbert Bátfai , Péter Jeszenszky , Roland Major , Fanny Monori , Márton Ispány

We present a new method, Non-Stationary Forward Flux Sampling, that allows efficient simulation of rare events in both stationary and non-stationary stochastic systems. The method uses stochastic branching and pruning to achieve uniform…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-03 Nils B. Becker , Rosalind J. Allen , Pieter Rein ten Wolde

Switching dynamical systems are an expressive model class for the analysis of time-series data. As in many fields within the natural and engineering sciences, the systems under study typically evolve continuously in time, it is natural to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-19 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

Offline planning often struggles with poor sampling efficiency as it tries to learn policies from scratch. Especially with diffusion models, such cold start practices mean that both training and sampling become very expensive. We…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Adarsh Srivastava

Understanding transition pathways between two meta-stable states of a molecular system is crucial to advance drug discovery and material design. However, unbiased molecular dynamics (MD) simulations are computationally infeasible because of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Kiyoung Seong , Seonghyun Park , Seonghwan Kim , Woo Youn Kim , Sungsoo Ahn

We consider a one-dimensional diffusion process $(X_t)$ which is observed at $n+1$ discrete times with regular sampling interval $\Delta$. Assuming that $(X_t)$ is strictly stationary, we propose nonparametric estimators of the drift and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Fabienne Comte , Valentine Genon-Catalot , Yves Rozenholc

Expectations of path integrals of killed stochastic processes play a central role in several applications across physics, chemistry, and finance. Simulation-based evaluation of these functionals is often biased and numerically expensive due…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-06 Henrique B. N. Monteiro , Daniel M. Tartakovsky

We propose a new algorithm for learning bridged diffusion processes using score-matching methods. Our method relies on reversing the dynamics of the forward process and using this to learn a score function, which, via Doob's $h$-transform,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-14 Elizabeth L. Baker , Moritz Schauer , Stefan Sommer

We consider the problem to steer a linear dynamical system with full state observation from an initial gaussian distribution in state-space to a final one with minimum energy control. The system is stochastically driven through the control…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-08-12 Yongxin Chen , Tryphon Georgiou , Michele Pavon

We address the problem of sampling double-ended diffusive paths. The ensemble of paths is expressed using a symmetric version of the Onsager-Machlup formula, which only requires evaluation of the force field and which, upon direct time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-07-27 Thomas F. Miller , Cristian Predescu

Diffusion models (DMs) have become the dominant paradigm of generative modeling in a variety of domains by learning stochastic processes from noise to data. Recently, diffusion denoising bridge models (DDBMs), a new formulation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-01 Guande He , Kaiwen Zheng , Jianfei Chen , Fan Bao , Jun Zhu

Recent progress has been made with Adaptive Multiple Importance Sampling (AMIS) methods that show improvement in effective sample size. However, consistency for the AMIS estimator has only been established in very restricted cases.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-03-22 Sep Thijssen , H. J. Kappen

A one dimensional diffusion process $X=\{X_t, 0\leq t \leq T\}$, with drift $b(x)$ and diffusion coefficient $\sigma(\theta, x)=\sqrt{\theta} \sigma(x)$ known up to $\theta>0$, is supposed to switch volatility regime at some point $t^*\in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-09-20 A. De Gregorio , S. M. Iacus

In this work, we are concerned with existence and uniqueness of invariant measures for path-dependent random diffusions and their time discretizations. The random diffusion here means a diffusion process living in a random environment…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-20 Jianhai Bao , Jinghai Shao , Chenggui Yuan
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