Related papers: A characterization of the martingale property of e…
In this paper, we introduce a class of processes that contains many natural examples. The interesting feature of such type processes lays on its infinite memory that allows it to record a quite ancient history. Then, using the martingale…
Consider additive functionals of a Markov chain $W_k$, with stationary (marginal) distribution and transition function denoted by $\pi$ and $Q$, say $S_n=g(W_1)+...+g(W_n)$, where $g$ is square integrable and has mean 0 with respect to…
We construct $P(phi)_1$-processes indexed by the full time-line, separately derived from the functional integral representations of the relativistic and non-relativistic Nelson models in quantum field theory. These two cases differ…
We define dynamic treatment regimes and associated potential outcomes for data described by marked point processes (MPPs). These definitions motivate MPP analogues of the commonly used consistency, exchangeability, and positivity conditions…
We consider decompositions of processes of the form $Y=f(t,X_t)$ where $X$ is a semimartingale. The function $f$ is not required to be differentiable, so It\^{o}'s lemma does not apply. In the case where $f(t,x)$ is independent of $t$, it…
This paper presents a general study of one-dimensional differentiability for functionals defined on convex domains that are not necessarily open. The local approximation is carried out using affine functionals, as opposed to linear…
The paper develops multiplicative compensation for complex-valued semimartingales and studies some of its consequences. It is shown that the stochastic exponential of any complex-valued semimartingale with independent increments becomes a…
First we provide a simple set of sufficient conditions for the weak convergence of scaled affine processes with state space $R_+ \times R^d$. We specialize our result to one-dimensional continuous state branching processes with immigration.…
In this paper, we provide a pathwise spine decomposition for superprocesses with both local and non-local branching mechanisms under a martingale change of measure. This result complements the related results obtained in Evans (1993),…
We provide a characterization of continuous semimartingales whose law is invariant with respect to predictable random rotations. In particular we prove that all such semimartingales are obtained by integrating a predictable process with…
In environmental applications of extreme value statistics, the underlying stochastic process is often modeled either as a max-stable process in continuous time/space or as a process in the domain of attraction of such a max-stable process.…
This work shows how exponential concentration inequalities for additive functionals of stochastic processes over a finite time interval can be derived from concentration inequalities for martingales. The approach is entirely probabilistic…
This paper deals with asset price bubbles modeled by strict local martingales. With any strict local martingale, one can associate a new measure, which is studied in detail in the first part of the paper. In the second part, we determine…
In this paper, we assume that the filtration $\bb F$ is generated by a $d$-dimensional Brownian motion $W=(W_1,\cdots,W_d)'$ as well as an integer-valued random measure $\mu(du,dy)$. The random variable $\ttau$ is the default time and $L$…
We study the predictable representation property in the progressive enlargement F^\tau of a reference filtration F by a random time \tau. Our approach is based on the decomposition of any random time into two parts, one overlapping…
We introduce a class of probability measure-valued diffusions, coined polynomial, of which the well-known Fleming--Viot process is a particular example. The defining property of finite dimensional polynomial processes considered by Cuchiero…
Bayesian diversity estimators are martingales converging almost surely and in mean with common limit and local behavior with plug in estimators.
On a probability space $(\Omega,\mathcal{A},\mathbb{Q})$ we consider two filtrations $\mathbb{F}\subset \mathbb{G}$ and a $\mathbb{G}$ stopping time $\theta$ such that the $\mathbb{G}$ predictable processes coincide with $\mathbb{F}$…
Using changes of probability measure developed by \mbox{Grama} and Haeusler (Stochastic Process.\ Appl., 2000), we obtain two generalizations of the deviation inequalities of Lanzinger and Stadtm\"{u}ller (Stochastic Process.\ Appl., 2000)…
We investigate a possible definition of expectation and conditional expectation for random variables with values in a local field such as the $p$-adic numbers. We define the expectation by analogy with the observation that for real-valued…