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Bass and Pardoux (1987) deduce from the Krein-Rutman theorem a reverse ergodic theorem for a sub-probability transition function, which turns out to be a key tool in proving uniqueness of reflecting Brownian Motion in cones in Kwon and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-15 Cristina Costantini , Thomas G. Kurtz

Motivated by a model presented by S. Gudder, we study a quantum generalization of Markov chains and discuss the relation between these maps and open quantum random walks, a class of quantum channels described by S. Attal et al. We consider…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-08-10 Carlos F. Lardizabal , Rafael R. Souza

The first motivation of this paper is to study stationarity and ergodic properties for a general class of time series models defined conditional on an exogenous covariates process. The dynamic of these models is given by an autoregressive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-16 Paul Doukhan , Michael H. Neumann , Lionel Truquet

Filter stability is a classical problem in the study of partially observed Markov processes (POMP), also known as hidden Markov models (HMM). For a POMP, an incorrectly initialized non-linear filter is said to be (asymptotically) stable if…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-22 Curtis McDonald , Serdar Yuksel

We consider the filtering of continuous-time finite-state hidden Markov models, where the rate and observation matrices depend on unknown time-dependent parameters, for which no prior or stochastic model is available. We quantify and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-17 Andrew L. Allan

We establish conditions for an exponential rate of forgetting of the initial distribution of nonlinear filters in $V$-norm, path-wise along almost all observation sequences. In contrast to previous works, our results allow for unbounded…

Computation · Statistics 2015-12-16 Mathieu Gerber , Nick Whiteley

We give a new proof of existence as well as two proofs of uniqueness of the invariant measure of the open-boundary KPZ equation on [0,1], for all possible choices of inhomogeneous Neumann boundary data. Both proofs yield an exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-13 Shalin Parekh

Max-stable processes are central models for spatial extremes. In this paper, we focus on some space-time max-stable models introduced in Embrechts et al. (2016). The processes considered induce discrete-time Markov chains taking values in…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-09 Erwan Koch , Christian Y. Robert

This note presents a simple proof of the monotonicity of the invariant distribution of a discrete Markov chain with a finite state space. This answers a question recently raised by David Siegmund.

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-09 Mark Whitmeyer

Consider a stochastic nonlinear system controlled over a possibly noisy communication channel. An important problem is to characterize the largest class of channels for which there exist coding and control policies so that the closed-loop…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-11 Nicolas Garcia , Christoph Kawan , Serdar Yuksel

We study existence and uniqueness of invariant probability measures for continuous-time Markov processes on general state spaces. Existence is obtained from tightness of time averages under a weak regularity assumption inspired by…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Jean-Gabriel Attali

We analyze a stochastic process resulting from the normalization of states in the zeroth-order optimization method CMA-ES. On a specific class of minimization problems where the objective function is scaling-invariant, this process defines…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-02 Armand Gissler , Shan-Conrad Wolf , Anne Auger , Nikolaus Hansen

We study ergodic properties of some Markov chains models in random environments when the random Markov kernels that define the dynamic satisfy some usual drift and small set conditions but with random coefficients. In particular, we adapt a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-16 Lionel Truquet

Nonlinear filtering is a pivotal problem that has attracted significant attention from mathematicians, statisticians, engineers, and various other scientific disciplines. The solution to this problem is governed by the so-called filtering…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-19 Dan Crisan , Etienne Pardoux

The aim of this note is to present an elementary proof of a variation of Harris' ergodic theorem of Markov chains. This theorem, dating back to the fifties essentially states that a Markov chain is uniquely ergodic if it admits a ``small''…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-10-16 Martin Hairer , Jonathan C. Mattingly

This paper revisits the classical question of the stability of the nonlinear Wonham filter. The novel contributions of this paper are two-fold: (i) definition of the stabilizability for the (control-theoretic) dual to the nonlinear filter;…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-12 Jin Won Kim , Prashant G. Mehta

This article develops a comprehensive framework for stability analysis of a broad class of commonly used continuous and discrete time-filters for stochastic dynamic systems with non-linear state dynamics and linear measurements under…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-11 Toni Karvonen , Silvère Bonnabel , Eric Moulines , Simo Särkkä

We consider the problem of estimating the state of a continuous-time Markov chain from noisy observations. We show that the corresponding optimal filter is strictly contracting pathwise, when considered in the Hilbert projective space, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-04 Samuel N. Cohen , Eliana Fausti

We consider a stochastic electroconvection model describing the nonlinear evolution of a surface charge density in a two-dimensional fluid with additive stochastic forcing. We prove the existence and uniqueness of solutions, we define the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-10-20 Elie Abdo , Nathan Glatt-Holtz , Mihaela Ignatova

Let X be a continuous-time Markov chain in a finite set I, let h be a mapping of I onto another set, and let Y be defined by Y_t=h(X_t), (for t nonnegative). We address the filtering problem for X in terms of the observation Y, which is not…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-07 Fulvia Confortola , Marco Fuhrman