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In this short note, we show how to use concentration inequalities in order to build exact confidence intervals for the Hurst parameter associated with a one-dimensional fractional Brownian motion

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-29 Jean-Christophe Breton , Ivan Nourdin , Giovanni Peccati

We consider stochastic differential equation involving pathwise integral with respect to fractional Brownian motion. The estimates for the Hurst parameter are constructed according to first- and second-order quadratic variations of observed…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-28 K. Kubilius , Y. Mishura

In this paper, we study the recovery of the Hurst parameter from a given discrete sample of fractional Brownian motion with statistical inverse theory. In particular, we show that in the limit the posteriori distribution of the parameter…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-25 Lassi Päivärinta , Petteri Piiroinen

We study statistical inference for small-noise-perturbed multiscale dynamical systems where the slow motion is driven by fractional Brownian motion. We develop statistical estimators for both the Hurst index as well as a vector of unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-26 Solesne Bourguin , Siragan Gailus , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We obtain bounds for probabilities of deviations of the truncated variation functional of fractional Brownian motions (fBm) of any Hurst index $H \in (0,1)$ from their expected values. Obtained bounds are optimal for large values of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-17 Witold M. Bednorz , Rafał M. Łochowski

The main goal of this work is to provide sample-path estimates for the solution of slowly time-dependent SPDEs perturbed by a cylindrical fractional Brownian motion. Our strategy is similar to the approach by Berglund and Nader for…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-25 Nils Berglund , Alexandra Blessing

We propose some class of statistics suitable for estimation of the Hurst index of the fractional Brownian motion based on the second order increments of an observed discrete trajectory.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-28 Kestutis Kubilius , Viktor Skorniakov

We estimate the Hurst parameter $H$ of a fractional Brownian motion from discrete noisy data observed along a high frequency sampling scheme. The presence of systematic experimental noise makes recovery of $H$ more difficult since relevant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-18 Arnaud Gloter , Marc Hoffmann

In this study, we develop a new theory of estimating Hurst parame- ter using conic multivariate adaptive regression splines (CMARS) method. We concentrate on the strong solution of stochastic differentional equations (SDEs) driven by…

In certain applications, for instance biomechanics, turbulence, finance, or Internet traffic, it seems suitable to model the data by a generalization of a fractional Brownian motion for which the Hurst parameter $H$ is depending on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Jean-Marc Bardet , Pierre Bertrand

We investigated the quality of forecasting of fractional Brownian motion, and new method for estimating of Hurst exponent is validated. Stochastic model of the time series in the form of converted fractional Brownian motion is proposed. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-05 Valeria Bondarenko , Victor Bondarenko , Kiryl Truskovsky , Ina Taralova

We investigate the Local Asymptotic Property for fractional Brownian models based on discrete observations contaminated by a Gaussian moving average process. We consider both situations of low and high-frequency observations in a unified…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-01 Grégoire Szymanski , Tetsuya Takabatake

This paper addresses the problem of estimating the Hurst exponent of the fractional Brownian motion from continuous time noisy sample. Consistent estimation in the setup under consideration is possible only if either the length of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-09 P. Chigansky , M. Kleptsyna

Fractional Brownian motion is a non-Markovian Gaussian process $X_t$, indexed by the Hurst exponent $H$. It generalises standard Brownian motion (corresponding to $H=1/2$). We study the probability distribution of the maximum $m$ of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-11-25 Mathieu Delorme , Kay Joerg Wiese

In this work we introduce correlated random walks on $\Z$. When picking suitably at random the coefficient of correlation, and taking the average over a large number of walks, we obtain a discrete Gaussian process, whose scaling limit is…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Enriquez Nathanael

We find the best approximation of the fractional Brownian motion with the Hurst index $H\in (0,1/2)$ by Gaussian martingales of the form $\int _0^ts^{\gamma}dW_s$, where $W$ is a Wiener process, $\gamma >0$.

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-29 Oksana Banna , Filipp Buryak , Yuliya Mishura

Herein we develop a dynamical foundation for fractional Brownian Motion. A clear relation is established between the asymptotic behaviour of the correlation function and diffusion in a dynamical system. Then, assuming that scaling is…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 R Mannella , P Grigolini , BJ West

We consider fractional Brownian motion with the Hurst parameters from (1/2,1). We found that the increment of a fractional Brownian motion can be represented as the sum of a two independent Gaussian processes one of which is smooth in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-14 Nikolai Dokuchaev

For equidistant discretizations of fractional Brownian motion (fBm), the probabilities of ordinal patterns of order d=2 are monotonically related to the Hurst parameter H. By plugging the sample relative frequency of those patterns…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-11 Mathieu Sinn , Karsten Keller

Rough volatility models are becoming increasingly popular in quantitative finance. In this framework, one considers that the behavior of the log-volatility process of a financial asset is close to that of a fractional Brownian motion with…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-17 Eyal Neuman , Mathieu Rosenbaum
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