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In several applications, ultimately at the largest data, truncation effects can be observed when analysing tail characteristics of statistical distributions. In some cases truncation effects are forecasted through physical models such as…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-17 Jan Beirlant , Isabel Fraga Alves , Tom Reynkens

We study the condensation phenomenon for the invariant measures of the mean-field model of reversible coagulation-fragmentation processes conditioned to a supercritical density of particles. It is shown that when the parameters of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-16 Wen Sun

Understanding posterior contraction behavior in Bayesian hierarchical models is of fundamental importance, but progress in this question is relatively sparse in comparison to the theory of density estimation. In this paper, we study two…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-22 Dat Do , Sunrit Chakraborty , Jonathan Terhorst , XuanLong Nguyen

We give a new predictive mathematical model for macroeconomics, which deals specifically with asset prices and earnings fluctuations, in the presence of a dynamic economy involving mergers, acquisitions, and hostile takeovers. Consider a…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 William Gordon Ritter

Background properties in experimental particle physics are typically estimated using control samples corresponding to large numbers of events. This can provide precise knowledge of average background distributions, but typically does not…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-03-17 Federico Colecchia

The mesosocpic concept is applied to the theory of mixtures. The aim is to investigate the diffusion phenomenon from a mesoscopic point of view. The domain of the field quantities is extended by the set of mesoscopic variables, here the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Palumbo , C. Papenfuss , P. Rogolino

This paper deals with the problem of inference associated with linear fractional diffusion process with random effects in the drift. In particular we are concerned with the maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) of the random effect…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-04 El Omari Mohamed , Hamid El Maroufy , Christiane Fuchs

Recently, a new formalism describing the anomalous diffusion processes, based on the Onsager-Machlup fluctuation theory, has been suggested \cite{Smain, Spub}. We study particles performing this new type of motion, under the action of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-08-26 A. S. Bodrova , S. I. Serdyukov

We discuss and briefly overview recent progress with studying fluctuations in scattering on a resonance state coupled to the background of many chaotic states. Such a problem arises naturally, e.g., when dealing with wave propagation in the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-12-21 D. V. Savin

We introduce a mean-reverting SDE whose solution is naturally defined on the space of correlation matrices. This SDE can be seen as an extension of the well-known Wright-Fisher diffusion. We provide conditions that ensure weak and strong…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-14 Abdelkoddousse Ahdida , Aurélien Alfonsi

Complex systems consist of many interacting elements which participate in some dynamical process. The activity of various elements is often different and the fluctuation in the activity of an element grows monotonically with the average…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-04-24 Zoltan Eisler , Imre Bartos , Janos Kertesz

For certain types of statistical models, the characteristic function (Fourier transform) is available in closed form, whereas the probability density function has an intractable form, typically as an infinite sum of probability weighted…

Computation · Statistics 2020-08-20 Berent Å. S. Lunde , Tore S. Kleppe , Hans J. Skaug

We study the probability distribution $P$ of the sum of a large number of non-identically distributed random variables $n_m$. Condensation of fluctuations, the phenomenon whereby one of such variables provides a macroscopic contribution to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-04-29 Federico Corberi

Wright-Fisher diffusions and their dual ancestral graphs occupy a central role in the study of allele frequency change and genealogical structure, and they provide expressions, explicit in some special cases but generally implicit, for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Martina Favero , Paul A. Jenkins

In the paper, multivariate probability distributions are considered that are representable as scale mixtures of multivariate elliptically contoured stable distributions. It is demonstrated that these distributions form a special subclass of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-05 Victor Korolev , Alexander Zeifman

Mixing a passive scalar field by stirring can be measured in a variety of ways including tracer particle dispersion, via the flux-gradient relationship, or by suppression of scalar concentration variations in the presence of inhomogeneous…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2010-11-08 Zhi Lin , Katarína Bodová , Charles R. Doering

We expose an interesting connection between the distribution of local spectral density of states arising in the theory of disordered systems and the notion of superstatistics introduced by Beck and Cohen and recently incorporated in random…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-06-13 A. Y. Abul-Magd

We introduce matrix H theory, a framework for analyzing collective behavior arising from multivariate stochastic processes with hierarchical structure. The theory models the joint distribution of the multiple variables (the measured signal)…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-13 Luan M. T. de Moraes , Antônio M. S. Macedo , Raydonal Ospina , Giovani L. Vasconcelos

We develop a structural framework for modeling and inferring unobserved heterogeneity in dynamic panel-data models. Unlike methods treating clustering as a descriptive device, we model heterogeneity as arising from a latent clustering…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-29 Jean-Pierre Florens , Anna Simoni

Score-based generative models (SGMs) have achieved remarkable empirical success, motivating their application to a broad range of data distributions. However, extending them to heavy-tailed targets remains a largely open problem. Although…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-15 Tiziano Fassina , Gabriel Cardoso , Sylvan Le Corff , Thomas Romary