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Nonparametric and machine learning methods are flexible methods for obtaining accurate predictions. Nowadays, data sets with a large number of predictors and complex structures are fairly common. In the presence of item nonresponse,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-23 Mehdi Dagdoug , Camelia Goga , David Haziza

Linear mixed-effect models with two variance components are often used when variability comes from two sources. In genetics applications, variation in observed traits can be attributed to biological and environmental effects, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-19 Qianshun Cheng , Xu Gao , Ryan Martin

Missing values arise in most real-world data sets due to the aggregation of multiple sources and intrinsically missing information (sensor failure, unanswered questions in surveys...). In fact, the very nature of missing values usually…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-04 Alexis Ayme , Claire Boyer , Aymeric Dieuleveut , Erwan Scornet

It is widely believed that the prediction accuracy of decision tree models is invariant under any strictly monotone transformation of the individual predictor variables. However, this statement may be false when predicting new observations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-16 Tal Galili , Isaac Meilijson

Statistical inference is considered for variables of interest, called primary variables, when auxiliary variables are observed along with the primary variables. We consider the setting of incomplete data analysis, where some primary…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-27 Shinpei Imori , Hidetoshi Shimodaira

Variable selection, also known as feature selection in machine learning, plays an important role in modeling high dimensional data and is key to data-driven scientific discoveries. We consider here the problem of detecting influential…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-24 Bo Jiang , Jun S. Liu

Degrees of freedom is a fundamental concept in statistical modeling, as it provides a quantitative description of the amount of fitting performed by a given procedure. But, despite this fundamental role in statistics, its behavior not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-01 Ryan J. Tibshirani

State-of-the-art machine learning models require access to significant amount of annotated data in order to achieve the desired level of performance. While unlabelled data can be largely available and even abundant, annotation process can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-15 Rahaf Aljundi , Nikolay Chumerin , Daniel Olmeda Reino

For high-dimensional inference problems, statisticians have a number of competing interests. On the one hand, procedures should provide accurate estimation, reliable structure learning, and valid uncertainty quantification. On the other…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-11 Ryan Martin

A method for estimating nonlinear regression errors and their distributions without performing regression is presented. Assuming continuity of the modeling function the variance is given in terms of conditional probabilities extracted from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-04-15 Hong Pi , Carsten Peterson

In empirical research, when we have multiple estimators for the same parameter of interest, a central question arises: how do we combine unbiased but less precise estimators with biased but more precise ones to improve the inference? Under…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-19 Zhexiao Lin , Peter J. Bickel , Peng Ding

Learning models that can handle distribution shifts is a key challenge in domain generalization. Invariance learning, an approach that focuses on identifying features invariant across environments, improves model generalization by capturing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-11 Yiran Jia , Jelena Bradic

Environmental epidemiologists are often interested in estimating the effect of time-varying functions of the exposure history on health outcomes. However, the individual exposure measurements that constitute the history upon which an…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-23 Ce Yang , Ning Zhang , Jiaxuan Li , Unnati V. Mehta , Jaime E. Hart , Donna Spiegelman , Molin Wang

Constructing prediction sets with coverage guarantees for unobserved outcomes is a core problem in modern statistics. Methods for predictive inference have been developed for a wide range of settings, but usually only consider test data…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-11 Yonghoon Lee , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen , Edgar Dobriban

Estimation of the prediction error of a linear estimation rule is difficult if the data analyst also use data to select a set of variables and construct the estimation rule using only the selected variables. In this work, we propose an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-13 Xiaoying Tian Harris

Fair inference in supervised learning is an important and active area of research, yielding a range of useful methods to assess and account for fairness criteria when predicting ground truth targets. As shown in recent work, however, when…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-18 Laura Boeschoten , Erik-Jan van Kesteren , Ayoub Bagheri , Daniel L. Oberski

Estimating the expected output quality of generation systems is central to NLG. This paper qualifies the notion that automatic metrics are not as good as humans in estimating system-level quality. Statistically, humans are unbiased, high…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Johnny Tian-Zheng Wei , Robin Jia

Discrimination-aware classification is receiving an increasing attention in data science fields. The pre-process methods for constructing a discrimination-free classifier first remove discrimination from the training data, and then learn…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-30 Lu Zhang , Yongkai Wu , Xintao Wu

Estimating the free energy in molecular simulation requires, implicitly or explicitly, counting how many times the system is observed in a finite region. If the simulation is biased by an external potential, the weight of the configurations…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2021-12-22 Matteo Carli , Alessandro Laio

Pre-validation is a way to build prediction model with two datasets of significantly different feature dimensions. Previous work showed that the asymptotic distribution of the resulting test statistic for the pre-validated predictor…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-23 Jing Shang , Sourav Chatterjee , Trevor Hastie , Robert Tibshirani
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