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The issue of discrete probability estimation for samples of small size is addressed in this study. The maximum likelihood method often suffers over-fitting when insufficient data is available. Although the Bayesian approach can avoid…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-12-13 Takashi Isozaki

Weather extremes produce major impacts on society and ecosystems and are likely to change in likelihood and magnitude with climate change. However, very low probability events are hard to characterize statistically using observations or…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-28 Christopher J. Paciorek , Daniel Cooley

Self-assembly kinetics is usually described by approaches which assume that the shape of the aggregates has a definite form (e.g., spherical, cylindrical, cubic, etc), however that is unlikely to be the case in many finite-sized…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2022-07-13 L. F. Trugilho , L. G. Rizzi

We present existence, uniqueness and continuous dependence results for some kinetic equations motivated by models for the collective behavior of large groups of individuals. Models of this kind have been recently proposed to study the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2011-12-07 José A. Cañizo , José A. Carrillo , Jesús Rosado

We deal with the random combinatorial structures called assemblies. By weakening the logarithmic condition which assures regularity of the number of components of a given order, we extend the notion of logarithmic assemblies. Using the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-06 Eugenijus Manstavičius

We develop a diffusion approximation for systems subject to fast random resetting by small amplitudes. Equivalently, this describes systems with frequent but small catastrophes. We demonstrate the validity of the approximation by computing…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-26 Tobias Galla

The most efficient MC weights for the calculation of physical, canonical expectation values are not necessarily those of the canonical ensemble. The use of suitably generalized ensembles can lead to a much faster convergence of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-01-24 Bernd A. Berg

We analyze here in details the probability to find a given number of particles in a finite volume inside a normal or superfluid finite system. This probability, also known as counting statistics, is obtained using projection operator…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2020-01-22 Denis Lacroix , Sakir Ayik

We study the bulk properties of isotropic bidisperse granular mixtures using discrete element simulations. The focus is on the influence of the size (radius) ratio of the two constituents and volume fraction on the mixture properties. We…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2016-07-12 Nishant Kumar , Vanessa Magnanimo , Marco Ramaioli , Stefan Luding

Simulating energy systems is vital for energy planning to understand the effects of fluctuating renewable energy sources and integration of multiple energy sectors. Capacity expansion is a powerful tool for energy analysts and consists of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-21 Mette Gamst , Stefanie Buchholz , David Pisinger

Recent predictions for quantum-mechanical enhancements in the operation of small heat engines have raised renewed interest in their study from both a fundamental perspective and in view of applications. One essential question is whether…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-07-29 Leonardo da Silva Souza , Gonzalo Manzano , Rosario Fazio , Fernando Iemini

N-Body simulations are an important tool in the study of formation of large scale structures. Much of the progress in understanding the physics of galaxy clustering and comparison with observations would not have been possible without…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-09-09 J. S. Bagla , Jayanti Prasad , Nishikanta Khandai

We investigate volume-element sampling strategies for the stochastic homogenization of particle-reinforced composites and show, via computational experiments, that an improper treatment of particles intersecting the boundary of the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-03-16 Matti Schneider , Marc Josien , Felix Otto

Traditionally, it is understood that fluctuations in the equilibrium distribution are not evident in thermodynamic systems of large $N$ (the number of particles in the system) \cite{Huang1}. In this paper we examine the validity of this…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-10-03 Kieran Kelly , Przemysław Repetowicz , Seosamh macRéamoinn

Obtaining accurate estimates of uncertainty in climate scenarios often requires generating large ensembles of high-resolution climate simulations, a computationally expensive and memory intensive process. To address this challenge, we train…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-08 Johannes Meuer , Maximilian Witte , Tobias Sebastian Finn , Claudia Timmreck , Thomas Ludwig , Christopher Kadow

We study analytically giant fluctuations and temporal intermittency in a stochastic one-dimensional model with diffusion and aggregation of masses in the bulk, along with influx of single particles and outflux of aggregates at the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-17 Himani Sachdeva , Mustansir Barma

Nanoscale machines are strongly influenced by thermal fluctuations, contrary to their macroscopic counterparts. As a consequence, even the efficiency of such microscopic machines becomes a fluctuating random variable. Using geometric…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-04-16 Sreekanth K Manikandan , Lennart Dabelow , Ralf Eichhorn , Supriya Krishnamurthy

The postulational basis of classical thermodynamics has been expanded to incorporate equilibrium fluctuations. The main additional elements of the proposed thermodynamic theory are the concept of quasi-equilibrium states, a definition of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-06-11 Y. Mishin

In this paper we are discussing the question how a continuous quantum system can be simulated by mean field fluctuations of a finite number of qubits. On the kinematical side this leads to a convergence result which states that…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-01-20 Zoltan Kadar , Michael Keyl , Geza Toth , Zoltan Zimboras

In the microcanonical ensemble, suitably defined observables show non-analyticities and power law behaviour even for finite systems. For these observables, a microcanonical finite-size scaling theory is established which facilitates an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Michael Promberger , Michael Kastner , Alfred Hueller
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