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A nonhomogeneous hidden semi-Markov model is proposed to segment toroidal time series according to a finite number of latent regimes and, simultaneously, estimate the influence of time-varying covariates on the process' survival under each…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-25 Francesco Lagona , Marco Mingione

We introduce a stochastic dynamics related to the measures that arise in harmonic analysis on the infinite-dimensional unitary group. Our dynamics is obtained as a limit of a sequence of natural Markov chains on Gelfand-Tsetlin graph. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-19 Vadim Gorin

In this paper we investigate the long time behavior of solutions to fractional in time evolution equations which appear as results of random time changes in Markov processes. We consider inverse subordinators as random times and use the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-25 Anatoly N. Kochubei , Yuri Kondratiev , José L. da Silva

We study Lorentz processes in two different settings. Both cases are characterized by infinite expectation of the free-flight times, contrary to what happens in the classical Gallavotti-Spohn models. Under a suitable Boltzmann-Grad type…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-23 Lorenzo Facciaroni , Costantino Ricciuti , Enrico Scalas , Bruno Toaldo

We study discrete-time, discrete-state multistate Markov models from the perspective of algebraic statistics. These models are widely studied in event history analysis, and are characterized by the state space, the initial distribution and…

We analyze certain stationary fields with linear regressions and quadratic conditional variances. This classic probabilistic problem leads somewhat unexpectedly to stationary Markov processes closely tied to non-commutative probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Wlodzimierz Bryc

The interplay between bifurcations and random switching processes of vector fields is studied. More precisely, we provide a classification of piecewise deterministic Markov processes arising from stochastic switching dynamics near fold,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-01-03 Tobias Hurth , Christian Kuehn

In this short paper, we consider discrete-time Markov chains on lattices as approximations to continuous-time diffusion processes. The approximations can be interpreted as finite difference schemes for the generator of the process. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-08 Christoph Reisinger

This note provides several recent progresses in the study of long time behavior of Markov processes. The examples presented below are related to other scientific fields as PDE's, physics or biology. The involved mathematical tools as…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-22 Florian Bouguet , Florent Malrieu , Fabien Panloup , Christophe Poquet , Julien Reygner

Exponential relaxation to equilibrium is a typical property of physical systems, but inhomogeneities are known to distort the exponential relaxation curve, leading to a wide variety of relaxation patterns. Power law relaxation is related to…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-22 Mark M. Meerschaert , Bruno Toaldo

A piecewise-deterministic Markov process, specified by random jumps and switching semi-flows, as well as the associated Markov chain given by its post-jump locations, are investigated in this paper. The existence of an exponentially…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-07 Dawid Czapla , Katarzyna Horbacz , Hanna Wojewódka-Ściążko

For a Markov and stationary stochastic process described by the well-known classical master equation, we introduce complex transition rates instead of real transition rates to study the pre-thermal oscillatory behaviour in complex…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-10-22 Anwesha Chattopadhyay

We consider a time inhomogeneous strong Markov process $(\xi_t)_{t\ge 0}$ taking values in a Polish state space whose semigroup has a $T$-periodic structure. We give simple conditions which imply ergodicity of the grid chain…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-09 Reinhard Hoepfner , Eva Loecherbach

Any exchangeable Markov processes on $[k]^{\mathbb{N}}$ with cadlag sample paths projects to a Markov process on the simplex whose sample paths are cadlag and of locally bounded variation. Furthermore, any such process has a de Finetti-type…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-22 Harry Crane , Steven P. Lalley

In recent work, Baez, Fong and the author introduced a framework for describing Markov processes equipped with a detailed balanced equilibrium as open systems of a certain type. These `open Markov processes' serve as the building blocks for…

Biological Physics · Physics 2016-11-02 Blake S. Pollard

We consider a discrete time semi-Markov process where the characteristics defining the process depend on a small perturbation parameter. It is assumed that the state space consists of one finite communicating class of states and, in…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-21 Mikael Petersson

We study the limit behaviour of a generally non-linear ordinary differential equation whose solution is a superadditive generalisation of a stochastic matrix, and provide necessary and sufficient conditions for this solution to be ergodic,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-21 Jasper De Bock

We consider the context of molecular motors modelled by a diffusion process driven by the gradient of a weakly periodic potential that depends on an internal degree of freedom. The switch of the internal state, that can freely be…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-02 Serena Della Corte , Richard C. Kraaij

A special class of doubly stochastic (Markov) operators is constructed. These operators come from measure preserving transformations and inherit some of their properties, namely ergodicity and positivity of entropy, yet they may have no…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-01-08 Bartosz Frej

This article gives conditions on a probability measure and drift field b such that for a given killing field k and a given time t > 0, there is function a such that there is a time homogeneous Markov process with infinitesimal generator…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-07 John M. Noble
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