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We propose in this work an original estimator of the conditional intensity of a marker-dependent counting process, that is, a counting process with covariates. We use model selection methods and provide a non asymptotic bound for the risk…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-24 F. Comte , S. Gaïffas , A. Guilloux

We give a general result concerning the rates of convergence of penalized empirical risk minimizers (PERM) in the regression model. Then, we consider the problem of agnostic learning of the regression, and give in this context an oracle…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-30 S. Gaïffas , G. Lecué

We provide in this paper a fully adaptive penalized procedure to select a covariance among a collection of models observing i.i.d replications of the process at fixed observation points. For this we generalize previous results of Bigot and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-05 Rolando Biscay , Hélène Lescornel , Jean-Michel Loubes

In a general counting process setting, we consider the problem of obtaining a prognostic on the survival time adjusted on covariates in high-dimension. Towards this end, we construct an estimator of the whole conditional intensity. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-10-15 Sarah Lemler

We propose an estimation procedure for linear functionals based on Gaussian model selection techniques. We show that the procedure is adaptive, and we give a non asymptotic oracle inequality for the risk of the selected estimator with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-27 Béatrice Laurent , Carenne Ludeña , Clémentine Prieur

We introduce new quantile estimators with adaptive importance sampling. The adaptive estimators are based on weighted samples that are neither independent nor identically distributed. Using a new law of iterated logarithm for martingales,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-01 Daniel Egloff , Markus Leippold

This paper investigates the supervised learning problem with observations drawn from certain general stationary stochastic processes. Here by \emph{general}, we mean that many stationary stochastic processes can be included. We show that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-11 Hanyuan Hang , Yunlong Feng , Ingo Steinwart , Johan A. K. Suykens

The problem of adaptive multivariate function estimation in the single-index regression model with random design and weak assumptions on the noise is investigated. A novel estimation procedure that adapts simultaneously to the unknown index…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-29 Oleg Lepski , Nora Serdyukova

Assume one observes independent categorical variables or, equivalently, one observes the corresponding multinomial variables. Estimating the distribution of the observed sequence amounts to estimating the expectation of the multinomial…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-15 C. Durot , E. Lebarbier , A. -S. Tocquet

We consider the problem of adaptation to the margin and to complexity in binary classification. We suggest an exponential weighting aggregation scheme. We use this aggregation procedure to construct classifiers which adapt automatically to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Guillaume Lecué

The purpose of this paper is to estimate the intensity of a Poisson process $N$ by using thresholding rules. In this paper, the intensity, defined as the derivative of the mean measure of $N$ with respect to $ndx$ where $n$ is a fixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-01-22 Patricia Reynaud-Bouret , Vincent Rivoirard

As an alternative to the well-known methods of "chaining" and "bracketing" that have been developed in the study of random fields, a new method, which is based on a stochastic maximal inequality derived by using It\^o's formula and on a new…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-12 Yoichi Nishiyama

We observe $n$ inhomogeneous Poisson processes with covariates and aim at estimating their intensities. We assume that the intensity of each Poisson process is of the form $s (\cdot, x)$ where $x$ is the covariate and where $s$ is an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-14 Mathieu Sart

In many statistical problems, stochastic signals can be represented as a sequence of noisy wavelet coefficients. In this paper, we develop general empirical Bayes methods for the estimation of true signal. Our estimators approximate certain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Cun-Hui Zhang

We introduce a novel framework to account for sensitivity to rewards uncertainty in sequential decision-making problems. While risk-sensitive formulations for Markov decision processes studied so far focus on the distribution of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-16 Nelson Vadori , Sumitra Ganesh , Prashant Reddy , Manuela Veloso

This paper develops a general concentration inequality for the suprema of empirical processes with dependent data. The concentration inequality is obtained by combining generic chaining with a coupling-based strategy. Our framework…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-23 Chiara Amorino , Christian Brownlees , Ankita Ghosh

A $d$-dimensional nonparametric additive regression model with dependent observations is considered. Using the marginal integration technique and wavelets methodology, we develop a new adaptive estimator for a component of the additive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-08-07 Christophe Chesneau , Jalal M. Fadili , Bertrand Maillot

We present a probabilistic model for stochastic iterative algorithms with the use case of optimization algorithms in mind. Based on this model, we present PAC-Bayesian generalization bounds for functions that are defined on the trajectory…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-22 Michael Sucker , Peter Ochs

We address the problem of density estimation with $\mathbb{L}_s$-loss by selection of kernel estimators. We develop a selection procedure and derive corresponding $\mathbb{L}_s$-risk oracle inequalities. It is shown that the proposed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-26 Alexander Goldenshluger , Oleg Lepski

We consider the problem of model selection type aggregation in the context of density estimation. We first show that empirical risk minimization is sub-optimal for this problem and it shares this property with the exponential weights…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Pierre C. Bellec
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