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One of the standardized features of financial data is that log-returns are uncorrelated, but absolute log-returns or their squares namely the fluctuating volatility are correlated and is characterized by heavy tailed in the sense that some…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-11 Geoffrey Ducournau

Bayesian inference and uncertainty quantification in a general class of non-linear inverse regression models is considered. Analytic conditions on the regression model $\{\mathscr G(\theta): \theta \in \Theta\}$ and on Gaussian process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-16 François Monard , Richard Nickl , Gabriel P. Paternain

Bayesian probability theory is used as a framework to develop a formalism for the scientific method based on principles of inductive reasoning. The formalism allows for precise definitions of the key concepts in theories of physics and also…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-09-12 Roberto C. Alamino

The fluctuation theorem (FT), the first derived consequence of the {\it Chaotic Hypothesis} (CH) of ref. [GC1], can be considered as an extension to arbitrary forcing fields of the fluctuation dissipation theorem (FD) and the corresponding…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-28 Giovanni Gallavotti

A mechanism for the validity of a local version of the fluctuation theorem, uniform in the system size, is discussed for a reversible chain of weakly coupled Anosov systems.

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Giovanni Gallavotti

The dissipation function for a system is defined as the natural logarithm of the ratio between probabilities of a trajectory and its time-reversed trajectory, and its probability distribution follows a well-known relation called the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-01-16 Harsh Soni

A stochastic approach for charge transport in diodes is developed in consistency with the laws of electricity, thermodynamics, and microreversibility. In this approach, the electron and hole densities are ruled by diffusion-reaction…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-06-06 Jiayin Gu , Pierre Gaspard

Stationary states of Navier-Stokes fluids have been proposed to be described equivalently by several alternative equations, besides the NS equation itself. In particular equivalence between the NS evolution and a reversible. It is natural…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-06-30 Giovanni Gallavotti

Using the Feynman-Kac and Cameron-Martin-Girsanov formulas, we obtain a generalized integral fluctuation theorem (GIFT) for discrete jump processes by constructing a time-invariable inner product. The existing discrete IFTs can be derived…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-06-11 Fei Liu , Yu-Pin Luo , Ming-Chang Huang , Zhong-can Ou-Yang

Stochastic dynamics in the energy representation is employed as a method to study non-equilibrium Brownian-like systems. It is shown that the equation of motion for the energy of such systems can be taken in the form of the Langevin…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-18 Bohdan I. Lev , Alexei D. Kiselev

We prove the Jarzynski relation for general stochastic processes including non-Markovian systems with memory. The only requirement for our proof is the existence of a stationary state, therefore excluding non-ergodic systems. We then show…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-09-27 Thomas Speck , Udo Seifert

The proposed approach extends the confidence posterior distribution to the semi-parametric empirical Bayes setting. Whereas the Bayesian posterior is defined in terms of a prior distribution conditional on the observed data, the confidence…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-05-02 David R. Bickel

Causal reversibility blends reversibility and causality for concurrent systems. It indicates that an action can be undone provided that all of its consequences have been undone already, thus making it possible to bring the system back to a…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Marco Bernardo , Claudio A. Mezzina

Starting out from the recently established quantum correlation function expression of the characteristic function for the work performed by a force protocol on the system [cond-mat/0703213] the quantum version of the Crooks fluctuation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-06-21 Peter Talkner , Peter Hanggi

Thermal fluctuations are a fundamental feature of dissipative systems that are essential for understanding physics near the expected critical point of QCD and in small systems. When such fluctuations are modeled naively in relativistic…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2025-10-02 Nicki Mullins , Mauricio Hippert , Jorge Noronha

We consider the response of a dynamical system driven by external adiabatic fluctuations. Based on the `adiabatic following approximation' we have made a systematic separation of time-scales to carry out an expansion in $\alpha |\mu|^{-1}$,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 S. K. Banik , J. R. Chaudhuri , D. S. Ray

We consider a system of multiscale stochastic differential equations whose slow component is drivenby a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter H greater than 1/2. Under ergodic assumptions ensuring the applicability of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-10 Xue-Mei Li , Colin Piernot , Szymon Sobczak , Kexing Ying

In this paper, we present a general derivation of a modified fluctuation-dissipation theorem (MFDT) valid near an arbitrary non-stationary state for a system obeying markovian dynamics. We show that the method to derive modified…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-12-23 Gatien Verley , Raphaël Chétrite , David Lacoste

We present a stochastic approach for charge transport in transistors. In this approach, the electron and hole densities are governed by diffusion-reaction stochastic differential equations satisfying local detailed balance and the electric…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-02-08 Jiayin Gu , Pierre Gaspard

Domain theory has a long history of applications in theoretical computer science and mathematics. In this article, we explore the relation of domain theory to probability theory and stochastic processes. The goal is to establish a theory in…

Logic · Mathematics 2020-02-06 Michael Mislove
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